【新唐人2013年02月06日讯】中共新任总书记与军委主席习近平，这一段时间以来一直备受关注，尤其是他的政治走向，更是人们关注的焦点。香港媒体报导，“习近平将被中共劣根性吞噬”。也有分析认为，习近平有完全有机会解套。但同时指出，历史给人们的时间已经不多了。
香港《苹果日报》报导，虽然中共“十七大”前，中共党魁江泽民和前中共国家副主席曾庆红，推荐习近平接班，是因为他是个出名的“老好人”。习近平使出浑身解数成为“强势一哥”，但是如果他在改革的大是大非问题上敷衍了事，报导指出，习近平会彻底被积重难返的中共劣根性吞噬，而对中华民族构成的伤害将难以弥补！
时事评论家文昭表示，中共接班人必须具备的要素，在于延续前任的政治路线，并保护他们的切身利益。
时事评论家文昭：“不管谁上台都是要借助这个体制，为自己和自己家族谋求物质利益，这个是一个比较主要的内容，所以这就是当前中共政治的一个生态，现在习近平之所以能够被选中，是各方面比较能够接受的一个人物，过去他没有什么突出的政绩，也没有看出他有什么魄力，或者有什么主观愿望去改变现实。”
不过，有海外媒体认为，习近平是因为浸透党文化的浓汁，才被元老选中接班的，习近平所受的学校与社会的教育，是中共愚民政策的成果。
报导说，由于中国的政情诡异莫测，即使习近平一直以来奉行列宁式的高度集权路线，表面上异常成功，但是，习近平缺乏一套完整的党政关系网。习近平要迅速树立权威的唯一方法是提出政治、经济改革的撒手锏。不过报导同时指出，习近平未必有坚持开明路线的勇气。
时事评论员林子旭：“现在全世界的关注点，都被集中到了习近平身上，大家最关注的问题，就是习近平是要保党，还是要弃党的问题，相关的猜想、评论可以说是铺天盖地。”
不过，文昭认为，习近平如果能作出一些顺天应人的事情，也可以得到社会广泛的赞许和肯定。比如废除劳教制度、取消政法委，实质性的推行司法独立，另外，开放言论环境，取消网际网路的封锁，逐步推进言论自由，开放报禁。
文昭：“能够让薄熙来案背后那些内幕得到曝光，都将给体制一个很大的撼动。就包括薄熙来在担任地方领导期间，所做的总总的违法行径，残害人权的举动，就包括薄熙来和他妻子谷开来所卷入的贩卖尸体，和活摘人体器官贩卖这些事情，他即使把这些事实曝光一部分，也能为中国未来和平的转型，注入一个正面的力量。”
目前，薄熙来一案还没有开审，到底能推进多远，文昭表示，习近平在这个事情上，还有选择的机会。但是，历史给的时间已经非常有限了。
另外，也有媒体质疑，习近平是否知道中共目前所面临的危机有多大？
文昭分析，中共高层所得到的信息渠道比较多，他们所得到的具体消息，应该比外界知道的多，应该说他们非常明白现在中国正在发生什么样的事情，严重到什么程度，但是，文昭指出，这不代表他们对当前的形势，能得出一个正确的判断。
文昭：“因为他生在这个体制当中，在这个利益当中，就是他总认为自己有办法，能够让这个体制继续延续下去，他很可能并不能够清醒的认识，共产党的寿命还剩下多少。”
时事评论员林子旭表示，中国的局势到了今天，中共的存亡已经不是习近平所能左右，不管习近平愿意不愿意，中共的灭亡已经成为了中国民众共同的愿望，成为了一种历史的必然，习近平所能选择的，仅仅是在这个过程中正向动还是反向动的问题。
采访编辑/常春 后制/薛莉
Xi Jinping’s Political Choice—How to Escape Trouble?
The new Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary
and Chairman of the CCP Central Military Commission,
Xi Jinping, has shown concern over his political direction,
among many other issues lately.
Hong Kong media reported that the CCP’s evil will swallow
Xi Jinping, yet some analysts believe he has an opportunity
to escape trouble—but, time is running out.
Hong Kong’s Apple Daily says the CCP leader Jiang Zemin
and former CCP Vice President Zeng Qinghong supported
Xi Jinping’s succession—Xi was chosen because he was
well-known for being a “nice guy”.
Now Xi is trying his best to become tougher, but the CCP’s
evil may swallow him if he attempts a half-hearted reform;
bringing irreparable harm to the Chinese people.
Commentator Wenzhao says one key element for the CCP’s
successor is to continue the predecessor’s political line,
while also protecting their own vital interests.
[Wenzhao]: “No matter who comes into power, the successor
must use the CCP system to gain material benefits for themselves and their family—this is a main issue;
it represents the CCP’s current political ecology—now
Xi Jinping has been chosen as successor, because he was seen as agreeable in all ways.
Xi does not have an outstanding background; it’s hard to say
whether he has the courage or the desire to change reality.”
However, several overseas media say, Xi Jinping had been
chosen for his concentrated immersion in the CCP culture throughout his schooling and within society.
Reports say the highly centralized Lenin-style route
Xi is pursuing looks unusually successful on the surface.
But Xi lacks a complete set of relationships
with the CCP and government.
Due to China’s strange and unpredictable political situation,
the only way for Xi Jinping to establish his authority quickly
is to prioritize political and economic reform.
However, the report also points out that, Xi Jinping may not
have the courage to take a path of wisdom and positivity.
[Lin Zixu]: “People around the world are focusing
their concerns on Xi;
the question is, will Xi Jinping protect or abandon the CCP?
—the number of guesses and comments are overwhelming.”
Wenzhao says, Xi Jinping should take actions
based on public requirements.
Abolishing the Re-education through Labor system
and the CCP Politics and Law Committee;
implementing substantial judicial independence;
ridding restrictions over press freedom and freedom of speech;
and removing the Internet censorship—these actions
could enable Xi to receive societal praise and affirmation.
[Wenzhao]: “If Xi would expose the insider news on Bo
Xilai’s case, like the illegal acts and violations of human rights,
which Bo and his wife Gu Kailai were involved in during Bo’s
post as local CCP leader—such as illegal corpse trafficking
and human organ harvesting—it would really shake the CCP.
Even if Xi exposed only parts of the crimes, he could inject
a positive force for the peaceful transition of China’s future.”
Bo Xilai has not been put on trial yet—critic Wenzhao says
Xi Jinping has the opportunity to choose in this matter; although time is very limited.
Several media have expressed their doubts over whether
Xi Jinping knows just how big a crisis the CCP is facing.
Wenzhao says the top-level CCP has more channels for
getting information and detailed news, and can use
international media as a comparison to internal reports.
The top-level needs to understand clearly what is happening
within China and how serious the CCP’s situation is.
However, Wenzhao says it does not necessarily mean that
the top-level can make a correct decision on their situation.
[Wenzhao]: “Because they are in a system with
all kinds of self-interests,
they always think that they have ways to continue in it;
they may have no idea how long the CCP will exist.”
Commentator Lin Zixu says China’s situation shows that
Xi Jinping does not hold control over the CCP’s existence.
Regardless of Xi Jinping’s wish, eliminating the CCP regime
has become a common aspiration among the Chinese public and also a historical necessity.
Xi Jinping can only choose one thing—
whether to facilitate or block the CCP’s demise.
