【新唐人2012年10月2日讯】《新华社》30号报导，各地群众拥护中央“双开”薄熙来的处理决定，为“倒薄”造势。而广东省委在汪洋的主持下召开会议，力挺中央决定。评论认为，汪洋入常可能性增加，不过，即使所谓的“开明派”主导了下一个阶段的中国政局，中共一党独裁的体制还是不会改变。
《新华社》的报导说，28号，中共宣布决定薄熙来“双开”的当天，重庆市召开市委常委扩大会。与会者表示坚决拥护中央决定，并将薄熙来严重违纪作为“反面教材”。
中国社会问题研究人士张健指出，“利用群众表态”来造势的手法，很少用在处理薄熙来这等“封疆大吏”的身上，可见这次中共内部权斗的激烈。
张健：“我们可以看一看，如果把那些犯罪指控，拿到中共任何一个官员身上都非常适合，但为甚对薄熙来进行那样？这个的确就是权力斗争的最重要的一个结果。如果对薄熙来他的处理，比外界想像要严厉的话，那么我相信，胡、温包括习近平会在这上面占据很大的上风，确实给血债帮当头一个喝棒。”
“昆士兰大学”政治系教授，前中华民国国策顾问邱垂亮也表示，外界普遍认为，薄熙来难逃重罚。
前中华民国国策顾问邱垂亮：“薄熙来大概难逃重罚，一般认为虽然说死刑大概不会，但是死缓这种处理应该是可能的，起码大概二十年徒刑是跑不掉的。 ”
分析人士指出，薄熙来被严惩，说明中共对王立军所谓是“孤立事件”的调子，提高到了温家宝的论调上。由此可见，胡、温在党内的影响力和地位很大，能主导十八大的人事安排，而团派大将—-汪洋则是最大的受益者。
邱垂亮：“一个礼拜前的话，报导是说汪洋已经不可能进入政治局常委。以现在的形势看，是不是这个报导会有所逆转。‘改革派’、‘现代派’会主导下一阶段的中国政局的话，那么汪洋是一个指标性的人物。”
而汪洋在“倒薄”问题上也火速表态，力挺中央。就在薄熙来被宣布“双开”的第二天，虽然是星期六休息日，但汪洋主持召开了广东省委常委会议，通报中央对薄熙来案的处理，在重庆之外的省市中，率先表态“坚决拥护”中央处理决定。 《人民报》等作了报导。
张健：“重点把广东省这个提出来，这些东西大家也知道中共的媒体，它所有的东西都是背后有一个目地，它有所指。包括今后中国，它想把自己更加包装起来，包装成很民主、很有活力的这样一个政体的话，汪洋是非常合适的一个人选。”
从近期传出的“习近平和胡德平的谈话”看，习近平有意愿加快经济改革，也愿意倾听有关政治改革的意见。如果给人以“开明派”印象的汪洋果真入常，十八大后新上台的班底会给中国带来革新吗？
邱垂亮：“即使说‘开明派’主导了下一个阶段的中国政局，我也认为不可能中共一党专制的制度会有很大的、基本性的改变。到头来，一定要，还是要中国人民站起来，一定要把这个中国共产党一党专制的制度改变掉，中国才能纳入现代正确这个历史发展的那一个轨道上面去。”
邱垂亮指出，人类的历史证明，世界上没有任何一个“一党专政”的政治体制，能够让人民自由的发挥潜在能力，来创造幸福。
采访/常春 编辑/尚燕 后制/柏妮
Will the “Liberalists” Now Change China?
Sept. 30th, Xinhua News Agency reported nationwide
celebration for the punishment of Bo Xilai.
Led by Wang Yang, Guangdong Provincial Party Committee
held a meeting upholding CCP’s decision.
Comments showed more optimism toward Wang Yang
entering the Central Committee,
but even the “liberal” side of CCP will not change its
authoritarian system.
According Xinhua Agency, after CCP announced its decision
to deprive Bo of Party membership and official position on 28th,
Chongqing Municipal Committee held an enlarged conference
to confirm their support for the central authorities.
They also labeled Bo Xilai as a negative example
of seriously violating CCP principles.
China expert Zhang Jian pointed out that it is uncommon for
CCP to motivate the people against an official as high as Bo.
Such an unusual move indicates CCP’s fierce power struggle.
Zhang Jian: “We can see how those criminal charges
against Bo also apply perfectly to the other CCP officials.
Bo’s punishment is an important result of
CCP’s power struggle.
If the punishment is more severe than expected,
it must be due to Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping’s effective attack upon the Jiang faction.”
Qiuchui Liang, professor of political science at University of
Queensland and former national policy adviser of ROC,
also commented on how it is widely believed
Bo will receive heavy penalties.
Qiuchui Liang, former national policy adviser of ROC:
“Bo Xilai probably cannot escape severe penalties.
Although death is not probable,
reprieved death penalty is quite likely.
It cannot be lighter than 20 years in prison.”
Analysts pointed out that Bo Xilai’s case is now
connected with that of Wang Lijun.
This shows that Hu and Wen still hold power within CCP,
able to take charge of personnel arrangements in18th Assembly.
Wang Yang will be the first beneficiary of these events.
Qiu Chuiliang: “A week ago, it was reported that
Wang Yang will not be able to join the Central Committee.
Now it appears the truth of this report will not come to pass.
If the reformist and liberalist members lead CCP in
the coming period, Wang Yang will be a significant key player amongst them.”
Wang Yang immediately demonstrated his attitude
against Bo after Bo’s fall.
Right after the announcement of Bo’s punishment,
Wang Yang chaired Guangdong Provincial Committee meeting,
confirming the central Party’s decision on Bo’s reprisal.
Guangdong was the first province among all
but Chongqing to express support of CCP’s decision.
People’s Newspapers and other media reported on this.
Zhang Jian: “Guangdong Province needs special emphasis.
CCP’s media share a feature—there’s always political purposes behind their reports.
Now if CCP wants to advertise itself as a democratic party,
Wang Yang will be a very appropriate candidate for Central Committee.”
The currently circulating rumor about a conversation
between Xi Jinping and Hu Deping shows
how Xi Jinping wishes to speed up economic reforms,
and welcomes voices of political reform.
If Wang Yang, a seemingly liberal official enters
the Committee, will the new leading group after 18th Assembly bring changes to China’s future?
Qiu Chuiliang: “Even if the “liberal” side controls CCP
in the coming period, I still do not see significant changes in China’s political situation.
In the end, Chinese people have to stand up to eliminate
CCP’s one-party authoritarian system.
Only then can China return to the normal track of history.”
Qiu Chuiliang pointed out that human history has proven
how no political system of dictatorship allows its people to freely release their potentiality to pursue happiness.
