【新唐人2012年10月2日訊】《新華社》30號報導，各地群眾擁護中央「雙開」薄熙來的處理決定，為「倒薄」造勢。而廣東省委在汪洋的主持下召開會議，力挺中央決定。評論認爲，汪洋入常可能性增加，不過，即使所謂的「開明派」主導了下一個階段的中國政局，中共一黨獨裁的體制還是不會改變。
《新華社》的報導說，28號，中共宣佈決定薄熙來「雙開」的當天，重慶市召開市委常委擴大會。與會者表示堅決擁護中央決定，並將薄熙來嚴重違紀作爲「反面教材」。
中國社會問題研究人士張健指出，「利用群眾表態」來造勢的手法，很少用在處理薄熙來這等「封疆大吏」的身上，可見這次中共內部權鬥的激烈。
張健：「我們可以看一看，如果把那些犯罪指控，拿到中共任何一個官員身上都非常適合，但為甚對薄熙來進行那樣？這個的確就是權力鬥爭的最重要的一個結果。如果對薄熙來他的處理，比外界想像要嚴厲的話，那麼我相信，胡、溫包括習近平會在這上面佔據很大的上風，確實給血債幫當頭一個喝棒。」
「昆士蘭大學」政治系教授，前中華民國國策顧問邱垂亮也表示，外界普遍認爲，薄熙來難逃重罰。
前中華民國國策顧問邱垂亮：「薄熙來大概難逃重罰，一般認為雖然說死刑大概不會，但是死緩這種處理應該是可能的，起碼大概二十年徒刑是跑不掉的。 」
分析人士指出，薄熙來被嚴懲，說明中共對王立軍所謂是「孤立事件」的調子，提高到了溫家寶的論調上。由此可見，胡、溫在黨內的影響力和地位很大，能主導十八大的人事安排，而團派大將—-汪洋則是最大的受益者。
邱垂亮：「一個禮拜前的話，報導是說汪洋已經不可能進入政治局常委。以現在的形勢看，是不是這個報導會有所逆轉。『改革派』、『現代派』會主導下一階段的中國政局的話，那麼汪洋是一個指標性的人物。」
而汪洋在「倒薄」問題上也火速表態，力挺中央。就在薄熙來被宣佈「雙開」的第二天，雖然是星期六休息日，但汪洋主持召開了廣東省委常委會議，通報中央對薄熙來案的處理，在重慶之外的省市中，率先表態「堅決擁護」中央處理決定。 《人民報》等作了報導。
張健：「重點把廣東省這個提出來，這些東西大家也知道中共的媒體，它所有的東西都是背後有一個目地，它有所指。包括今後中國，它想把自己更加包裝起來，包裝成很民主、很有活力的這樣一個政體的話，汪洋是非常合適的一個人選。」
從近期傳出的「習近平和胡德平的談話」看，習近平有意願加快經濟改革，也願意傾聽有關政治改革的意見。如果給人以「開明派」印象的汪洋果真入常，十八大後新上臺的班底會給中國帶來革新嗎？
邱垂亮：「即使說『開明派』主導了下一個階段的中國政局，我也認為不可能中共一黨專制的制度會有很大的、基本性的改變。到頭來，一定要，還是要中國人民站起來，一定要把這個中國共產黨一黨專制的制度改變掉，中國才能納入現代正確這個歷史發展的那一個軌道上面去。」
邱垂亮指出，人類的歷史證明，世界上沒有任何一個「一黨專政」的政治體制，能夠讓人民自由的發揮潛在能力，來創造幸福。
採訪/常春 編輯/尚燕 後製/柏妮
Will the “Liberalists” Now Change China?
Sept. 30th, Xinhua News Agency reported nationwide
celebration for the punishment of Bo Xilai.
Led by Wang Yang, Guangdong Provincial Party Committee
held a meeting upholding CCP’s decision.
Comments showed more optimism toward Wang Yang
entering the Central Committee,
but even the “liberal” side of CCP will not change its
authoritarian system.
According Xinhua Agency, after CCP announced its decision
to deprive Bo of Party membership and official position on 28th,
Chongqing Municipal Committee held an enlarged conference
to confirm their support for the central authorities.
They also labeled Bo Xilai as a negative example
of seriously violating CCP principles.
China expert Zhang Jian pointed out that it is uncommon for
CCP to motivate the people against an official as high as Bo.
Such an unusual move indicates CCP’s fierce power struggle.
Zhang Jian: “We can see how those criminal charges
against Bo also apply perfectly to the other CCP officials.
Bo’s punishment is an important result of
CCP’s power struggle.
If the punishment is more severe than expected,
it must be due to Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping’s effective attack upon the Jiang faction.”
Qiuchui Liang, professor of political science at University of
Queensland and former national policy adviser of ROC,
also commented on how it is widely believed
Bo will receive heavy penalties.
Qiuchui Liang, former national policy adviser of ROC:
“Bo Xilai probably cannot escape severe penalties.
Although death is not probable,
reprieved death penalty is quite likely.
It cannot be lighter than 20 years in prison.”
Analysts pointed out that Bo Xilai’s case is now
connected with that of Wang Lijun.
This shows that Hu and Wen still hold power within CCP,
able to take charge of personnel arrangements in18th Assembly.
Wang Yang will be the first beneficiary of these events.
Qiu Chuiliang: “A week ago, it was reported that
Wang Yang will not be able to join the Central Committee.
Now it appears the truth of this report will not come to pass.
If the reformist and liberalist members lead CCP in
the coming period, Wang Yang will be a significant key player amongst them.”
Wang Yang immediately demonstrated his attitude
against Bo after Bo’s fall.
Right after the announcement of Bo’s punishment,
Wang Yang chaired Guangdong Provincial Committee meeting,
confirming the central Party’s decision on Bo’s reprisal.
Guangdong was the first province among all
but Chongqing to express support of CCP’s decision.
People’s Newspapers and other media reported on this.
Zhang Jian: “Guangdong Province needs special emphasis.
CCP’s media share a feature—there’s always political purposes behind their reports.
Now if CCP wants to advertise itself as a democratic party,
Wang Yang will be a very appropriate candidate for Central Committee.”
The currently circulating rumor about a conversation
between Xi Jinping and Hu Deping shows
how Xi Jinping wishes to speed up economic reforms,
and welcomes voices of political reform.
If Wang Yang, a seemingly liberal official enters
the Committee, will the new leading group after 18th Assembly bring changes to China’s future?
Qiu Chuiliang: “Even if the “liberal” side controls CCP
in the coming period, I still do not see significant changes in China’s political situation.
In the end, Chinese people have to stand up to eliminate
CCP’s one-party authoritarian system.
Only then can China return to the normal track of history.”
Qiu Chuiliang pointed out that human history has proven
how no political system of dictatorship allows its people to freely release their potentiality to pursue happiness.
