【新唐人2012年6月2日讯】5月的最后一天—-31号，北京仍然没有发布任何关于召开党代会的消息。除了重庆市受薄熙来下台影响，而不得不推迟召开党代会，北京市党代会也“意外”延期到6月召开。有评论分析，北京和重庆市党代会的推迟召开，可能涉及市委书记人事变动，其中暗藏权力和利益的交换因素。
5月30号，中共喉舌《人民网》报导，北京将于6月完成党委换届工作，但没有公布具体日期。这意味着，原定于今年5月召开的北京市第十一次党代会延期了。
截至5月底，北京、浙江、湖北、重庆、宁夏5个省份还没有完成党委换届。重庆市政坛“薄熙来下台”余震还没有平息，党代会延期可以说不出意料，但是北京市为什么也要延期呢？
美国“南加州大学”公共政策博士叶科认为，这表明中共内部不同派别之间的权力争夺，因为十八大是胡温第一次 对政治局人选有主导权。
美国“南加州大学”公共政策博士叶科：“因为江（泽民）在北京那么多年，一直都是江的天下，包括最近的《北京日报》，刘淇对胡温处处唱反调，那么这次的话，我想这次对刘淇的安排和北京市委书记的人选，胡温，我相信他们绝对是希望能拿下的，这样天子脚下才能安全。那么重庆也是一样，所以不排除现在各派之间的角力还没有完全尘埃落定，还没有找到大家都能够满意，或者一方能够完全压倒另一方，然后选出自己的人选。”
现任北京市委书记刘淇，出生于1942年11月，现年已近70岁，按照中共“七上八下”的政策，今年他势必退休，现在各界关注的是下一位接任人选是谁？
时事评论员汪北稷：“从地方大员的安排来讲的话，我们感觉到，胡锦涛还是在进一步的控制他所能掌控的省市一把手地盘，那么也是存在着胡锦涛、温家宝这些中共的首脑，和老一代江泽民血债派这些人之间的这种利益上的交换，激烈的一种争斗。”
评论员洪剑表示，北京和重庆都是兵家必争之地，两地的党代会无故延期，说明派系之间正进行争夺战。
独立评论员洪剑：“北京，从掌权者的政治布局的战略意义上来讲，历来作为重中之重，因为太重要了，如果掌控不了北京，等于老巢不安宁，更不会坐稳。从北京市党代会延期，就说明胡温正在布局，还未安排妥当，等扫清障碍后就会召开。不出意外，血债派将失去北京战略要地，也表明血债派大势已去。现在的传闻，内定胡春华接任北京市委书记，恰恰证明了这一点。”
据报导，中共总书记胡锦涛主导操盘的十八大部署，基于世代交替的规划，对新一届重要省市党委书记“一把手”的调整，将呈现年轻化的趋势，因此，内定胡春华接任北京市委书记、周强接任重庆市委书记。叶科认为，胡温只要拿下北京、重庆，和政法委位置，基本上“血债派”就大势已去。
叶科：“因为血债派对中国民众做的种种迫害的事情，还有腐败，血债派基本上是数一个是一个，都是非常腐败的，最后等待他们的就是法办和审判的这样一个结果，对此，他们也是拚死力争，所以在十八大之前，我相信会有非常激烈的争夺，也会有非常精彩的戏。”
中共十八大即将到来，究竟何方人马会进入十八大人事布局，《新唐人》将持续追踪报导。
采访/常春 编辑/黄亿美 后制/郭敬
Local Party Conferences Postponed
On May 31, Beijing has still not released
news about its party conference.
The downfall of Bo Xilai effected Chongqing’s party
conference by delaying it.
Beijing’s has also been unexpectedly rescheduled to June.
Analysts said both cities pushing back their conferences
could relate to changes of city party secretaries.
In addition, their could be an exchange of power
and interests underway.
http://cpc.people.com.cn/BIG5/64093/82429/83084/16678845.html
http://news.ifeng.com/mainland/special/dangweihuanjie/content-3/detail_2012_05/31/14947492_0.shtml
On May 30, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
mouthpiece People’s Daily Online reported Beijing
would complete party committee transitions in June.
However, the accurate date is not publicized.
This has meant the initial plan of Beijing’s 11th party
conference in May is postponed.
At the end of May, Beijing, Zhejiang, Hubei, Chongqing
and Ningxia Provinces haven’t completed party
committee transitions.
The shock of Bo Xilai’s downfall in Chongqing
hasn’t been settled yet.
Postponing the party conference is to be expected,
but why did Beijing do the same?
Dr Ye Ke expert in Public Policies, University
of South California commented.
This move indicates the different factions infighting.
The 18th Congress is the first time Hu Jintao
and Wen Jiabao can control candidates in the Politburo.
Ye Ke: “Jiang Zemin has controlled Beijing for many years,
it had always been under his control.
For example, Beijing Daily’s recent publication has the
tune against Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao.
However, this time, for Beijing party secretary, I believe
Hu-Wen certainly want to control the candidate.
Only if they can do so, can they feel safe.
So the power struggle of different factions seems
as though it hasn’t been settled yet.
They haven’t found a solution that will satisfy everyone,
nor can one side completely control the other side,
if so they can choose their own candidates.”
Liu Qi is the current Beijing party secretary.
Liu was born in Nov. 1942, and is almost 70.
According to CCP rules, he must retire this year,
but who will take over his post?
This is the public’s focus.
Wang Beiji, current affairs commentator: “From the view
of the arrangement on local key leadership, Hu has taken
further controls of core provincial and city posts.
Thus, between the Hu-Wen and Jiang’s blood-debt factions
exist the exchanges of interests and intensified infighting.”
Commentator Hong Jian said that Beijing and Chongqing
are always the land fought over by the military.
The delay of these two cities’ party conferences indicate
that infighting between the factions’ is intensified right now.
Hong Jian: “Beijing, in terms of its political and strategic
significance, is the most important place.
If Beijing hasn’t been under control, it means there
is no peace at home. They won’t feel secure for ruling it.
The Beijing party conference has been delayed, indicating
Hu-Wen is planning something but is not completed yet.
It also shows the Bloody-hands faction’s era has past.
Rumors saying that Hu Chunhua would take over
as Beijing party secretary can prove this point.”
Reports said Hu Jintao would lead the 18th Congress.
Based on the rules in the past, major provinces and cities’
party secretaries should be a younger age.
Thus, Hu Chunhua will take over the post of Beijing
party secretary. Zhou Qiang will replace Chongqing’s post.
Ye Ke believes that once Hu-Wen replaces key leadership
in Beijing, Chongqing, and the Political and Legislative
Committee, the blood-debt faction’s era will come to an end.
Ye Ke: “Because the blood-debt faction has committed
much persecution of the Chinese people.
This includes its corruption, as every single person
of the blood-debt faction is very corrupt.
The result would be sentencing and put on trial.
Thus, they would struggle to the last minute.
Before the 18th Congress, I believe there will be
an intensified power struggle.
There also will be an exciting play to watch.”
The CCP’s 18th Congress is approaching.
What will happened? NTD will continue to report.
