【新唐人2012年6月2日訊】5月的最後一天—-31號，北京仍然沒有發佈任何關於召開黨代會的消息。除了重慶市受薄熙來下臺影響，而不得不推遲召開黨代會，北京市黨代會也「意外」延期到6月召開。有評論分析，北京和重慶市黨代會的推遲召開，可能涉及市委書記人事變動，其中暗藏權力和利益的交換因素。
5月30號，中共喉舌《人民網》報導，北京將於6月完成黨委換屆工作，但沒有公布具體日期。這意味著，原定於今年5月召開的北京市第十一次黨代會延期了。
截至5月底，北京、浙江、湖北、重慶、寧夏5個省份還沒有完成黨委換屆。重慶市政壇「薄熙來下臺」餘震還沒有平息，黨代會延期可以說不出意料，但是北京市為甚麼也要延期呢？
美國「南加州大學」公共政策博士葉科認為，這表明中共內部不同派別之間的權力爭奪，因為十八大是胡溫第一次 對政治局人選有主導權。
美國「南加州大學」公共政策博士葉科：「因為江（澤民）在北京那麼多年，一直都是江的天下，包括最近的《北京日報》，劉淇對胡溫處處唱反調，那麼這次的話，我想這次對劉淇的安排和北京市委書記的人選，胡溫，我相信他們絕對是希望能拿下的，這樣天子腳下才能安全。那麼重慶也是一樣，所以不排除現在各派之間的角力還沒有完全塵埃落定，還沒有找到大家都能夠滿意，或者一方能夠完全壓倒另一方，然後選出自己的人選。」
現任北京市委書記劉淇，出生於1942年11月，現年已近70歲，按照中共「七上八下」的政策，今年他勢必退休，現在各界關注的是下一位接任人選是誰？
時事評論員汪北稷：「從地方大員的安排來講的話，我們感覺到，胡錦濤還是在進一步的控制他所能掌控的省市一把手地盤，那麼也是存在著胡錦濤、溫家寶這些中共的首腦，和老一代江澤民血債派這些人之間的這種利益上的交換，激烈的一種爭鬥。」
評論員洪劍表示，北京和重慶都是兵家必爭之地，兩地的黨代會無故延期，說明派系之間正進行爭奪戰。
獨立評論員洪劍：「北京，從掌權者的政治佈局的戰略意義上來講，歷來作為重中之重，因為太重要了，如果掌控不了北京，等於老巢不安寧，更不會坐穩。從北京市黨代會延期，就說明胡溫正在佈局，還未安排妥當，等掃清障礙後就會召開。不出意外，血債派將失去北京戰略要地，也表明血債派大勢已去。現在的傳聞，內定胡春華接任北京市委書記，恰恰證明了這一點。」
據報導，中共總書記胡錦濤主導操盤的十八大部署，基於世代交替的規劃，對新一屆重要省市黨委書記「一把手」的調整，將呈現年輕化的趨勢，因此，內定胡春華接任北京市委書記、周強接任重慶市委書記。葉科認為，胡溫只要拿下北京、重慶，和政法委位置，基本上「血債派」就大勢已去。
葉科：「因為血債派對中國民眾做的種種迫害的事情，還有腐敗，血債派基本上是數一個是一個，都是非常腐敗的，最後等待他們的就是法辦和審判的這樣一個結果，對此，他們也是拚死力爭，所以在十八大之前，我相信會有非常激烈的爭奪，也會有非常精彩的戲。」
中共十八大即將到來，究竟何方人馬會進入十八大人事佈局，《新唐人》將持續追蹤報導。
採訪/常春 編輯/黃億美 後製/郭敬
Local Party Conferences Postponed
On May 31, Beijing has still not released
news about its party conference.
The downfall of Bo Xilai effected Chongqing’s party
conference by delaying it.
Beijing’s has also been unexpectedly rescheduled to June.
Analysts said both cities pushing back their conferences
could relate to changes of city party secretaries.
In addition, their could be an exchange of power
and interests underway.
http://cpc.people.com.cn/BIG5/64093/82429/83084/16678845.html
http://news.ifeng.com/mainland/special/dangweihuanjie/content-3/detail_2012_05/31/14947492_0.shtml
On May 30, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
mouthpiece People’s Daily Online reported Beijing
would complete party committee transitions in June.
However, the accurate date is not publicized.
This has meant the initial plan of Beijing’s 11th party
conference in May is postponed.
At the end of May, Beijing, Zhejiang, Hubei, Chongqing
and Ningxia Provinces haven’t completed party
committee transitions.
The shock of Bo Xilai’s downfall in Chongqing
hasn’t been settled yet.
Postponing the party conference is to be expected,
but why did Beijing do the same?
Dr Ye Ke expert in Public Policies, University
of South California commented.
This move indicates the different factions infighting.
The 18th Congress is the first time Hu Jintao
and Wen Jiabao can control candidates in the Politburo.
Ye Ke: “Jiang Zemin has controlled Beijing for many years,
it had always been under his control.
For example, Beijing Daily’s recent publication has the
tune against Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao.
However, this time, for Beijing party secretary, I believe
Hu-Wen certainly want to control the candidate.
Only if they can do so, can they feel safe.
So the power struggle of different factions seems
as though it hasn’t been settled yet.
They haven’t found a solution that will satisfy everyone,
nor can one side completely control the other side,
if so they can choose their own candidates.”
Liu Qi is the current Beijing party secretary.
Liu was born in Nov. 1942, and is almost 70.
According to CCP rules, he must retire this year,
but who will take over his post?
This is the public’s focus.
Wang Beiji, current affairs commentator: “From the view
of the arrangement on local key leadership, Hu has taken
further controls of core provincial and city posts.
Thus, between the Hu-Wen and Jiang’s blood-debt factions
exist the exchanges of interests and intensified infighting.”
Commentator Hong Jian said that Beijing and Chongqing
are always the land fought over by the military.
The delay of these two cities’ party conferences indicate
that infighting between the factions’ is intensified right now.
Hong Jian: “Beijing, in terms of its political and strategic
significance, is the most important place.
If Beijing hasn’t been under control, it means there
is no peace at home. They won’t feel secure for ruling it.
The Beijing party conference has been delayed, indicating
Hu-Wen is planning something but is not completed yet.
It also shows the Bloody-hands faction’s era has past.
Rumors saying that Hu Chunhua would take over
as Beijing party secretary can prove this point.”
Reports said Hu Jintao would lead the 18th Congress.
Based on the rules in the past, major provinces and cities’
party secretaries should be a younger age.
Thus, Hu Chunhua will take over the post of Beijing
party secretary. Zhou Qiang will replace Chongqing’s post.
Ye Ke believes that once Hu-Wen replaces key leadership
in Beijing, Chongqing, and the Political and Legislative
Committee, the blood-debt faction’s era will come to an end.
Ye Ke: “Because the blood-debt faction has committed
much persecution of the Chinese people.
This includes its corruption, as every single person
of the blood-debt faction is very corrupt.
The result would be sentencing and put on trial.
Thus, they would struggle to the last minute.
Before the 18th Congress, I believe there will be
an intensified power struggle.
There also will be an exciting play to watch.”
The CCP’s 18th Congress is approaching.
What will happened? NTD will continue to report.
