【新唐人2012年5月19日讯】有接近中南海的政治专家向海外媒体吹风，中共为了减少“维稳费用”，可能在十八大推出“乌坎模式”，然而在中共独裁不变的情况下和中共斗争哲学的指导下，“乌坎模式”能真正解决中国的问题吗？专家认为，从广东宣传部门日前的人事调整可以看出，敢言媒体最终仍受中共体制箝制，只有结束共产党的统治，政改才可能顺利进行。
日前，亲自参与多项18大前期准备工作的政治专家，向海外媒体透露，中共18大对“维稳方式”会做针对性的调整。广东省不断提出所谓政改措施，可能会向全国推广。
2012年两会结束后，广东省委书记汪洋的动作和发言，紧跟中央语调，几近“亦步亦趋”。从放开社团注册管理，到要求官员摒弃“人民幸福是党国恩赐”的思想，和差额选举省委常委，最近又提到试点“领导干部财产申报公开制度”，让外界惊呼，“汪洋时代”正在来临！
有观察家指出，汪洋如此连续的“出位”表现，是有备而来，背后有胡温的默许或支持。外界舆论认为，汪洋这些连续破格的举措，似乎传达出“政改派”将全面主导18大的信号。
几周前，北京消息人士向《大纪元》新闻网透露，中共高层已经达成四点共识，主要内容包括：组织各界人士参与的新宪法筹备委员会、宣布中共历史使命已经完成、平反六‧四和解决法轮功问题、以及实现军队国家化等。
“中国民主党全委会美国委员会”主席张健：“从中共内部能传出这样的消息，代表中共内部一小部分人的想法，但是这种想法一定会代表中国大多数人民的想法，像天意，可能薄熙来、王立军、陈光诚还有江派血债帮，他们都是在最后的引爆点的时候，这项事情都是老天安排好的，这些事情都一步一步走到了那一天。”
中共政法委高额的“维稳费用”几乎拖垮了中国的经济，特别去年以来，中国维稳领域发生多起大事件，包括广东乌坎事件、重庆事件及陈光诚事件，对中共中央维稳思路产生重大挑战。
美国“南加州大学”公共政策博士叶科表示，“乌坎模式”只是在共产党暴政下抗暴的结果，如果不能从根本上改变制度，维稳造成的压迫，会使中国走向大革命风暴。
叶科：“乌坎模式并不能解决中国的真正问题，因为乌坎模式只是在一个很小的范围之内，在民众的抗争之下，政府所作的一点点小小的让步而已，真正的问题涉及到中国的体制问题，也就是在中共的体制下，老百姓并没有真正的自由权利，政府也没有真正为老百姓着想的动机和意愿，在这种情况下，政府随时都可以把这种让步拿回去。”
日前广东宣传部门两个最重要的职位，接连获得批准，由《新华社》官员代替，《新华社》副社长庹震担任广东省委常委，有望接替温家宝秘书林雄，出任省委宣传部长一职，另外，《南方》报业集团原党委书记杨兴锋一职，也由《新华社》广东分社前社长杨健接替。
张健认为，《南方》报业深受人们爱戴，也被海外推崇，但是中共认为它是麻烦制造者和中宣部的头号对手。
张健：“包括前两天《人民日报》针对温家宝提出的那些东西的一种叫板，那种方式，你可以看到，只要共产党存在一天，你就不要谈什么民主自由，宗教信仰，人权，你必须建立在一个明确的基础上，就是共产党一定要下台，一定要得到人们的清算，到那个时候，我们提出的这些诉求才会交给全体的中国人民。”
张健认为，在共产党领导下的“乌坎模式”可以使中国走向民主，是被共产党洗脑的结果。外界认为，只有传媒可以在毫无畏惧的情况下承担监督职能，加上社会体制严格奉行法治，社会管理才会纳入正确轨道。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/孙宁
CCP Changing ‘Maintaining Stability’ Method in 18th Session
A political expert who is close to Zhongnanhai has disclosed
information in overseas media.
In order to reduce the costs of ‘maintaining stability’,
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) may release the “Wukan mode” in its 18th session.
However, with the unchanged CCP dictatorship and guidance
by it’s philosophy of struggle, can the “Wukan mode” really address the problems in China?
Some experts believe that from the personnel changes
of Guangdong publicity department, people can see that
outspoken media ultimately remain subject to the CCP.
Only with the end of CCP rule can political reform
be carried out smoothly.
Recently, a political expert who is personally involved
in a number of preparatory works for the CCP 18th session
disclosed information in overseas media.
The CCP will conduct some changes to it’s method
of maintaining stability.
The so-called political reform measures raised by Guangdong
Province may be promoted to the whole country.
After the end of the CCP Two Sessions in 2012, the actions
and speeches of Wang Yang, CCP secretary of Guangdong Province,
were very close to the tone of CCP central government.
These include the release of Registrar of Societies management,
the requirement of officials to abandon the mentality that
people’s happiness comes from party-state’s gifts.
In addition, the candidate election for the Provincial
Standing Committee members, and the recent open policy of officials’ property declaration.
All these make the outside world exclaim that
“the era of Wang Yang” is coming.
Observers highlight Wang Yang’s continuous “extraordinary"
performance is well prepared, with Hu-Wen’s support.
Public opinion internationally believes that Wang Yang’s
continuous exceptional initiatives seem to convey a signal that
the political reform faction will fully lead the CCP 18th session.
A few weeks ago, sources from Beijing revealed messages
to the Epoch Times News network.
CCP top officials have reached a four-point consensus,
which include:
organize all walks of life to participate in the
Preparatory Committee of new Constitution;
to announce that the CCP has completed
its historic mission;
to vindicate the June 4th Incident and to resolve
the Falun Gong issue;
and to realize the nationalization of the military.
Zhang Jian, Chairman of the “China Democratic
National Committee in the US” commented.
“These messages from the inside the CCP are on behalf
of the ideas of a small group of people within the CCP.
But these ideas must be on behalf of the majority
of the people in China, like the meaning of God.
It may be in the final tipping point of Bo Xilai, Wang Lijun,
Chen Guangcheng and Jiang Zemin’s blood debt faction.
All these have been well arranged by God.
All these things are coming to the point one after another.”
The large cost of CCP Politics and Law Committee’s
maintaining stability nearly led to China’s economic collapse.
Particularly since last year, quite a few events of maintaining
stability happened in China.
This included Wukan event in Guangdong, the Chongqing
event and the Chen Guangcheng event.
These events pose a major challenge to the mentality
of maintaining stability in the CCP central government.
Dr. Ye Ke, in the Division of Public Policy, University
of Southern California, commented.
The Wukan mode is an uprising result under the tyranny
of the CCP.
If the system cannot be changed fundamentally,
the oppression caused by maintaining stability will take China toward a revolutionary storm.
Ye Ke: “Wukan mode cannot resolve the real problems
in China.
The Wukan mode is just a little concession made by the
government, with public protests in only a small area.
The real problem relates to China’s institutional policy.
Namely, under the policy of the CCP,
the public have no real rights of freedom.
The governments also have no real motives and wishes
for the sake of the people.
In this case, the government can take back the concessions
at any time.”
Recently, the two most important positions in Guangdong
publicity department were approved.
Officials from Xinhua News Agency took the places.
Tuo Zhen, Vice Director of Xinhua News Agency, serving
as a member of Guangdong Provincial Standing Committee,
is expected to succeed Wen Jiabao’s secretary Lin Xiong.
Tuo Zhen will serve as Head of Propaganda Department
in the Provincial committee.
In addition, the position of CCP Secretary of the South
Newspaper Group was taken previously by Yang Xingfeng.
Now they are replaced by Yang Jian, former Director
of Guangdong Branch of Xinhua News Agency.
Zhang Jian said that the “South" newspaper is loved
by the people and also respected overseas.
But the CCP believes that it is a troublemaker
and arch rival of the Central Propaganda Department.
Zhang Jian: “Two day ago, “People’s Daily" raised those
things to challenge Wen Jiabao.
In that kind of way, you can see that, as long as the CCP
exists there,
you needn’t talk about such topics as democracy
freedom, religion and belief, or human rights.
You must establish it on a clear basis, that is, the CCP
must step down and be liquidated by the people.
Until that day, our demands will be handed over
to the plenary of the Chinese people.”
Zhang Jian believes that it’s a result of CCP brainwashing to
think that Wukan mode can make China towards democracy under the leadership of the CCP.
The outside world believes that only if the media
can assume overseeing functions without fear,
and the social system strictly adhere to the rule of law,
can social management be in the right track.
