【新唐人2012年5月19日訊】有接近中南海的政治專家向海外媒體吹風，中共為了減少「維穩費用」，可能在十八大推出「烏坎模式」，然而在中共獨裁不變的情況下和中共鬥爭哲學的指導下，「烏坎模式」能真正解決中國的問題嗎？專家認為，從廣東宣傳部門日前的人事調整可以看出，敢言媒體最終仍受中共體制箝制，只有結束共產黨的統治，政改才可能順利進行。
日前，親自參與多項18大前期準備工作的政治專家，向海外媒體透露，中共18大對「維穩方式」會做針對性的調整。廣東省不斷提出所謂政改措施，可能會向全國推廣。
2012年兩會結束後，廣東省委書記汪洋的動作和發言，緊跟中央語調，幾近「亦步亦趨」。從放開社團註冊管理，到要求官員摒棄「人民幸福是黨國恩賜」的思想，和差額選舉省委常委，最近又提到試點「領導幹部財產申報公開制度」，讓外界驚呼，「汪洋時代」正在來臨！
有觀察家指出，汪洋如此連續的「出位」表現，是有備而來，背後有胡溫的默許或支持。外界輿論認為，汪洋這些連續破格的舉措，似乎傳達出「政改派」將全面主導18大的信號。
幾週前，北京消息人士向《大紀元》新聞網透露，中共高層已經達成四點共識，主要內容包括：組織各界人士參與的新憲法籌備委員會、宣佈中共歷史使命已經完成、平反六‧四和解決法輪功問題、以及實現軍隊國家化等。
「中國民主黨全委會美國委員會」主席張健：「從中共內部能傳出這樣的消息，代表中共內部一小部分人的想法，但是這種想法一定會代表中國大多數人民的想法，像天意，可能薄熙來、王立軍、陳光誠還有江派血債幫，他們都是在最後的引爆點的時候，這項事情都是老天安排好的，這些事情都一步一步走到了那一天。」
中共政法委高額的「維穩費用」幾乎拖垮了中國的經濟，特別去年以來，中國維穩領域發生多起大事件，包括廣東烏坎事件、重慶事件及陳光誠事件，對中共中央維穩思路產生重大挑戰。
美國「南加州大學」公共政策博士葉科表示，「烏坎模式」只是在共產黨暴政下抗暴的結果，如果不能從根本上改變制度，維穩造成的壓迫，會使中國走向大革命風暴。
葉科：「烏坎模式並不能解決中國的真正問題，因為烏坎模式只是在一個很小的範圍之內，在民眾的抗爭之下，政府所作的一點點小小的讓步而已，真正的問題涉及到中國的體制問題，也就是在中共的體制下，老百姓並沒有真正的自由權利，政府也沒有真正為老百姓著想的動機和意願，在這種情況下，政府隨時都可以把這種讓步拿回去。」
日前廣東宣傳部門兩個最重要的職位，接連獲得批准，由《新華社》官員代替，《新華社》副社長庹震擔任廣東省委常委，有望接替溫家寶秘書林雄，出任省委宣傳部長一職，另外，《南方》報業集團原黨委書記楊興鋒一職，也由《新華社》廣東分社前社長楊健接替。
張健認為，《南方》報業深受人們愛戴，也被海外推崇，但是中共認為它是麻煩製造者和中宣部的頭號對手。
張健：「包括前兩天《人民日報》針對溫家寶提出的那些東西的一種叫板，那種方式，你可以看到，只要共產黨存在一天，你就不要談甚麼民主自由，宗教信仰，人權，你必須建立在一個明確的基礎上，就是共產黨一定要下臺，一定要得到人們的清算，到那個時候，我們提出的這些訴求才會交給全體的中國人民。」
張健認為，在共產黨領導下的「烏坎模式」可以使中國走向民主，是被共產黨洗腦的結果。外界認為，只有傳媒可以在毫無畏懼的情況下承擔監督職能，加上社會體制嚴格奉行法治，社會管理才會納入正確軌道。
採訪編輯/劉惠 後製/孫寧
CCP Changing ‘Maintaining Stability’ Method in 18th Session
A political expert who is close to Zhongnanhai has disclosed
information in overseas media.
In order to reduce the costs of ‘maintaining stability’,
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) may release the “Wukan mode” in its 18th session.
However, with the unchanged CCP dictatorship and guidance
by it’s philosophy of struggle, can the “Wukan mode” really address the problems in China?
Some experts believe that from the personnel changes
of Guangdong publicity department, people can see that
outspoken media ultimately remain subject to the CCP.
Only with the end of CCP rule can political reform
be carried out smoothly.
Recently, a political expert who is personally involved
in a number of preparatory works for the CCP 18th session
disclosed information in overseas media.
The CCP will conduct some changes to it’s method
of maintaining stability.
The so-called political reform measures raised by Guangdong
Province may be promoted to the whole country.
After the end of the CCP Two Sessions in 2012, the actions
and speeches of Wang Yang, CCP secretary of Guangdong Province,
were very close to the tone of CCP central government.
These include the release of Registrar of Societies management,
the requirement of officials to abandon the mentality that
people’s happiness comes from party-state’s gifts.
In addition, the candidate election for the Provincial
Standing Committee members, and the recent open policy of officials’ property declaration.
All these make the outside world exclaim that
“the era of Wang Yang” is coming.
Observers highlight Wang Yang’s continuous “extraordinary"
performance is well prepared, with Hu-Wen’s support.
Public opinion internationally believes that Wang Yang’s
continuous exceptional initiatives seem to convey a signal that
the political reform faction will fully lead the CCP 18th session.
A few weeks ago, sources from Beijing revealed messages
to the Epoch Times News network.
CCP top officials have reached a four-point consensus,
which include:
organize all walks of life to participate in the
Preparatory Committee of new Constitution;
to announce that the CCP has completed
its historic mission;
to vindicate the June 4th Incident and to resolve
the Falun Gong issue;
and to realize the nationalization of the military.
Zhang Jian, Chairman of the “China Democratic
National Committee in the US” commented.
“These messages from the inside the CCP are on behalf
of the ideas of a small group of people within the CCP.
But these ideas must be on behalf of the majority
of the people in China, like the meaning of God.
It may be in the final tipping point of Bo Xilai, Wang Lijun,
Chen Guangcheng and Jiang Zemin’s blood debt faction.
All these have been well arranged by God.
All these things are coming to the point one after another.”
The large cost of CCP Politics and Law Committee’s
maintaining stability nearly led to China’s economic collapse.
Particularly since last year, quite a few events of maintaining
stability happened in China.
This included Wukan event in Guangdong, the Chongqing
event and the Chen Guangcheng event.
These events pose a major challenge to the mentality
of maintaining stability in the CCP central government.
Dr. Ye Ke, in the Division of Public Policy, University
of Southern California, commented.
The Wukan mode is an uprising result under the tyranny
of the CCP.
If the system cannot be changed fundamentally,
the oppression caused by maintaining stability will take China toward a revolutionary storm.
Ye Ke: “Wukan mode cannot resolve the real problems
in China.
The Wukan mode is just a little concession made by the
government, with public protests in only a small area.
The real problem relates to China’s institutional policy.
Namely, under the policy of the CCP,
the public have no real rights of freedom.
The governments also have no real motives and wishes
for the sake of the people.
In this case, the government can take back the concessions
at any time.”
Recently, the two most important positions in Guangdong
publicity department were approved.
Officials from Xinhua News Agency took the places.
Tuo Zhen, Vice Director of Xinhua News Agency, serving
as a member of Guangdong Provincial Standing Committee,
is expected to succeed Wen Jiabao’s secretary Lin Xiong.
Tuo Zhen will serve as Head of Propaganda Department
in the Provincial committee.
In addition, the position of CCP Secretary of the South
Newspaper Group was taken previously by Yang Xingfeng.
Now they are replaced by Yang Jian, former Director
of Guangdong Branch of Xinhua News Agency.
Zhang Jian said that the “South" newspaper is loved
by the people and also respected overseas.
But the CCP believes that it is a troublemaker
and arch rival of the Central Propaganda Department.
Zhang Jian: “Two day ago, “People’s Daily" raised those
things to challenge Wen Jiabao.
In that kind of way, you can see that, as long as the CCP
exists there,
you needn’t talk about such topics as democracy
freedom, religion and belief, or human rights.
You must establish it on a clear basis, that is, the CCP
must step down and be liquidated by the people.
Until that day, our demands will be handed over
to the plenary of the Chinese people.”
Zhang Jian believes that it’s a result of CCP brainwashing to
think that Wukan mode can make China towards democracy under the leadership of the CCP.
The outside world believes that only if the media
can assume overseeing functions without fear,
and the social system strictly adhere to the rule of law,
can social management be in the right track.
