【新唐人2012年5月19日讯】自王立军、薄熙来事件之后，关于周永康面临政治困境的传闻就持续不断，然而中共喉舌17号在一篇报导中说，周永康的作息一切如常。与此同时，河北省公布十八大的代表名单，现任常委周永康的名字没有出现在名单之中，这个名单一公布迅速引起注意，外界猜测周永康的“落选”是否是他将缺席十八大。
《河北日报》公布河北省所有参加十八大的62名代表名单，名单中看不到周永康的名字。周永康到底怎么了？
2007年中共十七大时，周永康就是河北选出的61名代表其中之一。按惯例，除非任职地方发生变动，党代表资格的产生地绝少发生更动。因此，周永康出席中共十八大仍应由河北省内产生。
不过，中共喉舌《新华社》17号在一篇报导中强调，周永康的工作安排和政治权力一如往常。
网路作家吴建国：“我认为这反映出两个问题，第一是，胡温要拿下周永康还不是轻而易举的事，因为周永康是江泽民的代表，而江泽民在党政军经营了多年，上上下下有不少死党，他们知道一旦以江泽民为首的血债派倒台了，他们就会受到清算，所以他们会拚命做垂死挣扎。因此他们就会期望周永康一切正常。”
周永康在台面上的正常活动引起诸多揣测，吴建国认为，胡温在处理周永康和江泽民的血债派方面还是有些保守。
网路作家 吴建国：“他们总是希望在保留中共体制的前提下来对付江泽民的血债派，也就是说如果处理血债派会导致中共解体，他们就还有所犹豫。不过，今年的中共已经很类似91年的苏共，气数已尽。中共是否解体不是胡温能控制得了的，他们只有要做戈尔巴乔夫还是做叶利钦的选择。”
对此，时事评论员任百鸣认为，中共媒体有关周永康报导的背后，实际上是中共权力斗争下的暗潮汹涌，表面上胡温似乎是给周永康公开亮相，但暗地里却是迫使他交出权力。
时事评论员任百鸣：“周永康公开曝光，不但不给自己增分，反而是被胡温拿出来晾干的感觉。给周永康一定的活动空间，周永康反而不好发力了，如果他公开挑战，正好被胡温抓到借口，若老老实实配合演戏，又是给胡温赢得足够的时间，也聚集世界谴责周及其政法委的舆论，最后一举歼灭。他的这情形就跟‘取保候审’这样的情况一样，只能按规定动作，不能乱说乱动，否则罪加一等。”
也有评论认为，综合近期海内外媒体报导的消息来看，周永康的“落选”极有可能是被清算的预兆。
时事评论员史达：“中共的体制操作是黑箱作业，所以很多的事情是相当的不正常的，那么他很多事情都是向国外放风，然后再从国外出口转内销， 其实放风的人就是中共本身 ，这样他可以达到一个就是对中国政局冲击最小的效果，我想周永康从各方面的迹象看，他已经失势了，他已经失去权力了，这是可以从这样的一个结果吧。”
近来“周永康被下课”的报导，出现在美国发行量最大的报纸之一《纽约时报》，而《洛杉矶时报》、《法新社》和英国《BBC》等国际大媒体也纷纷报导了希望“周永康下台”的文章。
采访/常春 编辑/黄亿美 后制/郭敬
Hebei Released Delegation List, Zhou Yongkang not on it
After the investigations of Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai,
rumors about Zhou Yongkang, the leader of Political and Judiciary Committee, continually spread.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) mouthpiece reported
on May 17 that Zhou Yongkang was going about his daily life.
At the same time, Hebei province released the delegation list
for the 18th National Congress Conference, and Zhou Yongkang wasn’t on the list.
This list drew attention immediately after its release,
and outsiders speculate that this absence signals Zhou Yongkang’s fall from grace.
The Hebei Daily released the list of the Hebei delegations’
62 representatives slated to attend the 18th National Congress Conference.
Zhou Yongkang isn’t on that list.
Is Zhou Yongkang at his end?
Zhou Yongkang was one of the 61 representatives
of the Hebei delegation during the 17th Conference.
By convention, officials rarely change their represented
province unless they are moved to another position.
Therefore, Zhou Yongkang would have attended the 18th
Conference as a representative of Hebei province.
The CCP mouthpiece Xinhua News Agency reported on May 17
however, that Zhou Yongkang’s political work arrangement is as usual.
Wu Jianguo, an internet writer: “I think this reflects two things.
The first is that it’s not an easy thing for Hu-Wen to move
Zhou Yongkang out because Zhou represents Jiang Zemin.
Jiang had operated the party, politics and military
for so many years and has many cronies at different levels.
Those cronies know clearly that they will be liquidated
if the ‘Blood Debt Faction’ collapses.
So, they will make a last ditch effort struggle to stay afloat.
They expect Zhou Yongkang to be ok.”
Zhou Yongkang’s activities have now caused much speculation.
Wu Jianguo thinks Hu and Wen are a bit conservative
in dealing with Zhou Yongkang and Jiang Zemin’s Blood Debt Faction.
Wu Jianguo, an Internet writer: “Hu-Wen always hope to deal
with Jiang’s Blood Debt Faction using the pre-condition that the CCP regime should be maintained.
It’s also means they know the CCP will collapse if the Blood
Debt Faction is cleared out, yet they hesitate.
Currently, however, the CCP is like the Soviet Communist
Party in 1991, and can’t survive.
Whether CCP will disintegrate is not controlled by Hu and Wen.
The only thing they can do is to make a choice similar to that
of Gorbachev or Yeltsin.”
Ren Baiming, the current affair’s commentator thinks the story
behind the CCP media reports about Zhou Yongkang has to do with the CCP’s internal struggle.
It looks like Hu and Wen are allowing Zhou Yongkang to show
his face publicly, but secretly they forced Zhou to relinquish power.
Ren Baiming, current affairs commentator: “Showing his face
publicly will not help Zhou Yongkang, but its a display of the general feeling that he has been excluded by Hu and Wen.
It gives Zhou a certain space to act, but on the contrary
Zhou can’t use his force freely.
Challenging this publicly will give Hu-Wen an excuse
to move him away.
But if Zhou acts like before,
he will give Hu and Wen more time to prepare,
as well as give the world more opportunity to condemn him
and the Political and Judiciary Committee.
The situation is like ‘bail’ which means Zhou only can act
within limitations, and can’t speak or do what he wants.
Otherwise he will be punished heavier.”
Some recent news commentary show that Zhou Yongkang
will be ousted.
Shi Da, a current affair’s commentator: ”CCP’s system
is an operation within a black box.
Many things (about it) are quite abnormal.
Many of the CCP’s actions follow a pattern of releasing news
overseas followed by spreading it inside China.
They try to use this way to minimize the impact.
From all sides, I think Zhou Yongkang is losing ground.
He is out of power.
The result is like this.”
Recently, one of the U.S. largest circulating newspapers,
The New York Times, reported on Zhou Yongkang’s dismissal.
Los Angeles Times, Agence France-Presse, BBC and other large
international media outlets reported that they hope Zhou Yongkang will step down.
