【新唐人2012年3月27日讯】中共在18大之后，是否持续走改革开放的路线呢？在此之前，中共总理温家宝多次谈及政治体制改革的问题，两会后的最后一次记者招待会，温家宝在回答王立军出走成都美领馆的风波时，严厉要求当时重庆现任市委和市政府深刻反省，并间接给“重庆模式”定调，外界解读：“唱红打黑”的“重庆模式”被定位为：走回“文革”的错误路线，属于“瞎折腾”，那么，中共18大之后的改革之路，应该如何走？分析人士提供了温家宝一条明路，那就是，放弃共产党。
《苹果日报》报导，北京纷纷传出，中共中央打算接纳总理温家宝有关“政改”及重新评价“六四”的建议。相关改革方案，据说会就“政治体制”分三步走，政治方面将模拟日本政党体制，就是“一党独大”，但容许党内分派。
前《河北广播电台》总编朱欣欣：“我认为并不能保证，它完全能够如中共所一厢情愿的那样—-比较稳定的，像日本这种政党体制。我觉得更理想的，还应该像台湾的这种政治改革、这种状态。将来一定要走到这一步。”
北美中文报纸《世界日报》25号社论提出，18大之后中共的改革之路，应该如何行？从政改的角度来看，焦点集中在两个层面。从中央层面，那就是要研究温家宝所说的，国家领导体制必须要改，这或许在暗示，未来可能会出现较大幅度的党内民主改革试验，不再用领导钦点，暗箱作业的方式，来决定高层领袖的人选，让德才兼备的人可以上位；从基层层面，那就是完善“乌坎模式”的试验，让村民选举成为真正的基层民主选举。
中国问题研究专家赵远明认为，中国如果进行改革，第一步应该建立真正的多党制，互相监督制衡，而不是一党独大。
中国问题研究专家赵远明：“一个是共产党解体换成别的，一个是共产党内容完全变了，因为从共产党本质来讲的话，几乎没有一个共产党国家，在全世界是实施民主，所以对共产党来讲的话，有一个非常巨大的关卡是要过的。”
另外，时事评论员赵培认为，中共寡头政治的体制，所谓的政改也只是修修补补的状态，他表示，中共所谓的政改只是在延缓倒台的时间，不会带给中国真正的希望
时事评论员赵培：“现在我们看到胡温，包括习近平在内，他们也不断的在测试，他们怎么样能够渡过这场难关？那么，胡温他们应该考虑的就是 ‘现在，我如果放弃共产党的话，我仍然能为中国人带来什么？我会被中国人所记住！’这应该是对胡温个人来讲，是一个明智的选择。”
两会期间，中共喉舌媒体《环球时报》，突然释放一个民意调查的结果，那就是六成以上的中国民众，支持或者不反对走西方式民主的道路，《世界日报》社论认为，这等于是从民意支持的角度，来为温家宝的“政治改革”呼吁推波助澜。
时事评论员赵培：“放弃共产党，我并不认为中国会出现一种动荡的局势。共产党就像几个头的怪兽一样，他们这几个势力现在只是占了上风，但他们并不能带领共产党走向一个更好的结果。所以他们现在还在观望，还在看。所以中国人应该加速‘退党’这个速度，让胡温看到来自百姓的声音、来自百姓的选票。”
赵培表示，中共近来不断对外“测试水温”，如解禁网路敏感词“六四”、“法轮功”等。赵培认为，中共是想通过“平反六四”这些动作，消除部分百姓怨气，让中共不会马上倒台，但是，中共体制就是造成社会不稳定的根本原因。
采访/刘惠 编辑/周平 后制/李月
Wen Should Abandon CCP, Experts Say
Will the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) continue
the reform and opening up after its 18th Congress?
Chinese prime minister Wen Jiabao has repeatedly
talked about the issue of political reform.
At the last press conference of the Two Sessions, Wen Jiabao
addressed the issue in response to the Wang Lijun incident.
He asked the then Chongqing Municipal Party Committee
and government to conduct a profound self-examination.
Wen set indirectly the tone for the “Chongqing Model”
as a wrong path, reversing the Cultural Revolution.
How will the CCP move forward with its reform? Experts
recommend a clear path for Wen Jiabao: abandon the CCP.
Apple Daily reports that rumors from Beijing indicate
the CCP Central Committee (CC) has a new plan.
It intends to accept Wen Jiabao’s idea for “political reform"
and re-evaluation of the June 4th incident.
It is said that the reform plan is about
introducing a new “political system" in 3 steps.
The political system will be similar to Japan’s
“one-party dominance” with inner-party fractions.
Former Hebei Radio editor-in-chief Zhu Xinxin:
“I don’t think it is guaranteed to be as steady as
the CCP wishes, like the relatively stable Japanese system.
I think it should be like the reform and system in Taiwan.
It must go that far.”
North American Chinese language newspaper World News
spoke in an editorial on March 25th on the CCP’s reform.
CCP should focus on two levels’ political reform: the central
level leadership system must change, as proposed by Wen.
This may imply substantial tests of the inner-Party
implementation of democratic reform in the future.
High-level leadership should not be picked by leaders,
but include those with the ability and political integrity.
Grassroots level should perfect the “Wukan Model" test,
and let villagers have real grass-roots democratic elections.
China expert Zhao Yuanming thinks if China is to conduct
a reform, the first step is to replace the one-party dominance.
Zhao Yuanming: “One way is to disintegrate the CCP and
establish other parties. Another is to fully change its quality.
There is no communist country with adopted democracy.
So to the CCP, this is a huge obstacle.”
News commentator Zhao Pei thinks CC’s so-called new
political system is to just patch things up here and there.
This is only to delay its full collapse.
However, it will not bring real hopes for China.
Zhao Pei: “Now we can see that Hu and Wen,
and Xi Jinping is included, are constantly testing things.
How will they go through this difficult time?
Hu and Wen should think, “If I abandon the CCP, what’ll
I bring to the Chinese people? They will remember me!”
This would be a wise choice by Hu and Wen.”
During the Two Sessions, CCP mouthpiece Global Times
suddenly released some public opinion survey results.
They show that more than 60% of the Chinese people
support or do no object the path of Western-style democracy.
World News editorial says, this is to support Wen’s
political reform from the angle of public opinion.
Zhao Pei: “China will not be in turmoil
by abandoning the CCP.
CCP is like a monster with several heads, each with
a strong power, but they can’t lead CCP to a better future.
So they are still watching. Therefore, Chinese people should
accelerate the pace of “withdrawing from the CCP."
And Hu and Wen can then hear the voice
and see the will of people.”
Zhao said, CCP keeps “testing” people with things as lifting
the ban on sensitive words like “June 4th,” “Falun Gong,” etc.
Zhao Pei thinks the CCP wants to ease people’s anger
through actions such as vindicating “June 4th.”
This is to prevent its collapse right away. However, CCP
is the ultimate cause of social instability, thinks the expert.
