【新唐人2012年3月27日訊】中共在18大之後，是否持續走改革開放的路線呢？在此之前，中共總理溫家寶多次談及政治體制改革的問題，兩會後的最後一次記者招待會，溫家寶在回答王立軍出走成都美領館的風波時，嚴厲要求當時重慶現任市委和市政府深刻反省，並間接給「重慶模式」定調，外界解讀：「唱紅打黑」的「重慶模式」被定位為：走回「文革」的錯誤路線，屬於「瞎折騰」，那麼，中共18大之後的改革之路，應該如何走？分析人士提供了溫家寶一條明路，那就是，放棄共產黨。
《蘋果日報》報導，北京紛紛傳出，中共中央打算接納總理溫家寶有關「政改」及重新評價「六四」的建議。相關改革方案，據說會就「政治體制」分三步走，政治方面將模擬日本政黨體制，就是「一黨獨大」，但容許黨內分派。
前《河北廣播電臺》總編朱欣欣：「我認為並不能保證，它完全能夠如中共所一廂情願的那樣—-比較穩定的，像日本這種政黨體制。我覺得更理想的，還應該像台灣的這種政治改革、這種狀態。將來一定要走到這一步。」
北美中文報紙《世界日報》25號社論提出，18大之後中共的改革之路，應該如何行？從政改的角度來看，焦點集中在兩個層面。從中央層面，那就是要研究溫家寶所說的，國家領導體制必須要改，這或許在暗示，未來可能會出現較大幅度的黨內民主改革試驗，不再用領導欽點，暗箱作業的方式，來決定高層領袖的人選，讓德才兼備的人可以上位；從基層層面，那就是完善「烏坎模式」的試驗，讓村民選舉成為真正的基層民主選舉。
中國問題研究專家趙遠明認為，中國如果進行改革，第一步應該建立真正的多黨制，互相監督制衡，而不是一黨獨大。
中國問題研究專家趙遠明：「一個是共產黨解體換成別的，一個是共產黨內容完全變了，因為從共產黨本質來講的話，幾乎沒有一個共產黨國家，在全世界是實施民主，所以對共產黨來講的話，有一個非常巨大的關卡是要過的。」
另外，時事評論員趙培認為，中共寡頭政治的體制，所謂的政改也只是修修補補的狀態，他表示，中共所謂的政改只是在延緩倒臺的時間，不會帶給中國真正的希望
時事評論員趙培：「現在我們看到胡溫，包括習近平在內，他們也不斷的在測試，他們怎麼樣能夠渡過這場難關？那麼，胡溫他們應該考慮的就是 『現在，我如果放棄共產黨的話，我仍然能為中國人帶來甚麼？我會被中國人所記住！』這應該是對胡溫個人來講，是一個明智的選擇。」
兩會期間，中共喉舌媒體《環球時報》，突然釋放一個民意調查的結果，那就是六成以上的中國民眾，支持或者不反對走西方式民主的道路，《世界日報》社論認為，這等於是從民意支持的角度，來為溫家寶的「政治改革」呼籲推波助瀾。
時事評論員趙培：「放棄共產黨，我並不認為中國會出現一種動盪的局勢。共產黨就像幾個頭的怪獸一樣，他們這幾個勢力現在只是佔了上風，但他們並不能帶領共產黨走向一個更好的結果。所以他們現在還在觀望，還在看。所以中國人應該加速『退黨』這個速度，讓胡溫看到來自百姓的聲音、來自百姓的選票。」
趙培表示，中共近來不斷對外「測試水溫」，如解禁網路敏感詞「六四」、「法輪功」等。趙培認為，中共是想通過「平反六四」這些動作，消除部分百姓怨氣，讓中共不會馬上倒臺，但是，中共體制就是造成社會不穩定的根本原因。
採訪/劉惠 編輯/周平 後製/李月
Wen Should Abandon CCP, Experts Say
Will the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) continue
the reform and opening up after its 18th Congress?
Chinese prime minister Wen Jiabao has repeatedly
talked about the issue of political reform.
At the last press conference of the Two Sessions, Wen Jiabao
addressed the issue in response to the Wang Lijun incident.
He asked the then Chongqing Municipal Party Committee
and government to conduct a profound self-examination.
Wen set indirectly the tone for the “Chongqing Model”
as a wrong path, reversing the Cultural Revolution.
How will the CCP move forward with its reform? Experts
recommend a clear path for Wen Jiabao: abandon the CCP.
Apple Daily reports that rumors from Beijing indicate
the CCP Central Committee (CC) has a new plan.
It intends to accept Wen Jiabao’s idea for “political reform"
and re-evaluation of the June 4th incident.
It is said that the reform plan is about
introducing a new “political system" in 3 steps.
The political system will be similar to Japan’s
“one-party dominance” with inner-party fractions.
Former Hebei Radio editor-in-chief Zhu Xinxin:
“I don’t think it is guaranteed to be as steady as
the CCP wishes, like the relatively stable Japanese system.
I think it should be like the reform and system in Taiwan.
It must go that far.”
North American Chinese language newspaper World News
spoke in an editorial on March 25th on the CCP’s reform.
CCP should focus on two levels’ political reform: the central
level leadership system must change, as proposed by Wen.
This may imply substantial tests of the inner-Party
implementation of democratic reform in the future.
High-level leadership should not be picked by leaders,
but include those with the ability and political integrity.
Grassroots level should perfect the “Wukan Model" test,
and let villagers have real grass-roots democratic elections.
China expert Zhao Yuanming thinks if China is to conduct
a reform, the first step is to replace the one-party dominance.
Zhao Yuanming: “One way is to disintegrate the CCP and
establish other parties. Another is to fully change its quality.
There is no communist country with adopted democracy.
So to the CCP, this is a huge obstacle.”
News commentator Zhao Pei thinks CC’s so-called new
political system is to just patch things up here and there.
This is only to delay its full collapse.
However, it will not bring real hopes for China.
Zhao Pei: “Now we can see that Hu and Wen,
and Xi Jinping is included, are constantly testing things.
How will they go through this difficult time?
Hu and Wen should think, “If I abandon the CCP, what’ll
I bring to the Chinese people? They will remember me!”
This would be a wise choice by Hu and Wen.”
During the Two Sessions, CCP mouthpiece Global Times
suddenly released some public opinion survey results.
They show that more than 60% of the Chinese people
support or do no object the path of Western-style democracy.
World News editorial says, this is to support Wen’s
political reform from the angle of public opinion.
Zhao Pei: “China will not be in turmoil
by abandoning the CCP.
CCP is like a monster with several heads, each with
a strong power, but they can’t lead CCP to a better future.
So they are still watching. Therefore, Chinese people should
accelerate the pace of “withdrawing from the CCP."
And Hu and Wen can then hear the voice
and see the will of people.”
Zhao said, CCP keeps “testing” people with things as lifting
the ban on sensitive words like “June 4th,” “Falun Gong,” etc.
Zhao Pei thinks the CCP wants to ease people’s anger
through actions such as vindicating “June 4th.”
This is to prevent its collapse right away. However, CCP
is the ultimate cause of social instability, thinks the expert.
