【新唐人2012年2月15日讯】王立军事件出来后，各方都在猜测王立军闯入美领馆的原因，为何王立军又会“自愿”离开美领馆？美方为何至今没有追究重庆警方违法包围美领馆？13号，发表网路文章《王立军逃亡美领馆全过程》的作者，向本台记者做了详细解读。
“核安全信息交流中心”发起人何岸泉笑谈“王立军事件”，并用“网络游戏”这个笔名向《博讯网》投稿，文章题为《 王立军在美领馆内24小时情景还原》。随后，一篇内容雷同的《王立军逃亡美领馆全过程》的短文，以微博的形式在网路上流转，并被大量转载，甚至被翻译成英文。还被许多媒体引用。
人在美国的何岸泉接受了《新唐人》的专访。对于王立军闯入美领馆后续引发的疑问，何岸泉提出了他个人的看法。他首先告诉记者，寻求政治庇护是王立军闯美领馆的唯一原因。
何岸泉：“在领事馆能够得到政治庇护，这个可能才促使王立军孤注一掷到领事馆去，逃离薄熙来的控制。如果他选择和中国政府合作，他可以选择去中央或其他地方，通过很多很多途径他都可以向中央、中国政府去反映他所受到、他可能受到的生命危险，所以我觉得他进去以后一定会提出政治庇护，虽然他对他的政治庇护合适不合适、应该不应该、可以不可以，一点没有准备，这是他一个唯一的希望。”
那么美国政府为什么说王立军是主动离开的，中国国安部又是怎么知道王立军在美国领事馆呢？
何岸泉：“美国政府拒绝他的政治庇护以后，那么他退而求次，我认为他会选择在领事馆，直接通过领事馆或者他自己直接向中央报告，向中央提出来，中央派人到成都把他接到中央去交待情况，而不愿意让薄熙来，他的上司来处理这件事情。所以造成这个结果就是，国安部从北京飞过来，驱逐薄熙来的警力，解除对领事馆的包围，把王立军安全接出来，因为如果他不从领事馆向中央请求的话，按正常的程序，王立军应该给薄熙来处理。”
王立军事件会不会是有人策划呢？一个中共副部级高官为什么在生命攸关时，为什么更相信中共的对手—-美国？
何岸泉：“我认为是他个人的临时决定，因为他受到生命威胁，因为他了解中国共产党，太子党及薄熙来的残酷性，所以他毅然决然采取叛逃的做法，事实会证明他这一招，对他来说，第一是迫不得已，第二是唯一正确能保命的做法。我觉得和他个人性格有关系，换作其他官员也就被自杀了，要你自杀，你也就只好自杀，你不自杀，我把你扔下去了,已经发生很多了。他能够走人还是比较血性的，鱼死网破，很多人没有这个鱼死网破的胆量。”
何岸泉认为，“王立军事件”会使中共的内斗白热化，在习近平访美之前，各方都按兵不动，等习近平访美回国后，第一个开刀的就会是薄熙来。那么薄熙来父亲的老部下14军会不会力挺薄熙来呢？
何岸泉：“中国人性格不喜欢用义气。他父亲建立起来的军队好像有渊源，没用，叔叔、阿姨、亲阿姨没用，在文革时期我们看见了太多的背叛，我不认为在中国今天的情况下，哪个军事力量会支持薄熙来，拐一拐，装出样子，好像别人支持他，但是只是他过去而已，作为地方的军队首长，你薄熙来要去看他，他也没办法。”
何岸泉认为，美国领事馆会以公布“王立军是否请求政治庇护”为筹码，来和中共谈判。
新唐人记者刘惠、肖颜采访报导
Wang Lijun’s Asylum the Only Reason for His Actions?
Since Wang Lijun’s fleeing incident was exposed, the reason
for his consulate visit gains the focus of public speculations.
Why did Wang leave the US consulate “of his own volition”?
Why the US side did not complain about Chongqing police’
illegal siege of the US consulate in Chengdu?
He An-quan, author of an online article “Full story of Wang
Lijun’s fleeing to the US consulate” analyses the incident.
He An-quan, sponsor of the nuclear safety information
exchange center, wrote an article about Wang Lijun’s fleeing.
Titled “Reverting Wang Lijun’s 24-hour in the US Consulate,”
the article was firstly published on Boxun.com.
Later, a passage of similar content was vastly reproduced
on the Chinese websites, even translated in English.
He, who is living in the US, tells NTD his personal views
on the doubts of Wang Lijun’s US consulate visit.
He views seeking political asylum
as Wang’s only reason for his actions.
He An-quan: “The consulate can provide
the political asylum.
That might be the reason why Wang went for broke to make
a consulate visit, to get away from Bo Xilai’s control.
If he had opted to cooperate with China’s regime, he could
go to the Central Committee or other places instead.
There’re lots of ways for him to report his life-threatening
plight to the Central Committee and government organs.
So I think that after he entered the US consulate,
he could surely apply for a political asylum.
He was not sure how his political asylum claim will go, is his
application proper or reasonable, is he eligible, but this was his only hope.”
He commented on US official’s claim that Wang left “of his
own volition,” and on the State Security Ministry involvement.
He An-quan: “I think after the US refused his political asylum,
Wang took the second best (option).
I guess he chose to remain in the consulate and contacted
the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) via the consulate or by himself.
Wang asked the Central Committee to send people to pick
him up and take him to Beijing to report the whole story.
He might mentioned about his unwillingness to see Bo
dealing with the incident.
So that’s the outcome we saw,
the (CCP) National Security’ men flew from Beijing.
Bo’s police forces were expelled, and the siege
of the US consulate was lifted. Wang was safely picked up.
But if Wang didn’t contact the Central Committee from
the US consulate but followed the normal procedure, he would have fallen into Bo’s hands again.”
He shared thoughts on whether somebody is behind Wang
Lijun’s case and why a CCP’s vice-ministerial level official would choose to trust the US, CCP’s rival?
He An-quan: “I guess that was his interim decision,
when he received death threats.
As he understood well the CCP, its princelings and Bo Xilai’s
cruelty, he resolutely defected to the US consulate.
The reality will prove his defection was a compelling choice,
and was the only correct way to protect his life.
In my view, his choice has something to do
with his personal character.
If other officials encountered this,
they would choose the suicide.
If you are asked to commit suicide, you have to do so.
If you fail to do so, then you would be thrown off a building.
There are a lot of such cases in China.
He (Wang) chose to flee, I think he is courageous to chose
to fight like Kilkenny cats. Many Chinese have no such guts.”
He An-quan thinks Wang Lijun’s incident
will intensify CCP’s infighting.
Though both factions will sit tight before Xi Jinping’ US visit.
After Xi’s return. the first axe will be thrown at Bo Xilai.
Will then the 14th Group Army, the old followers
of Bo’s father, step in to support Bo Xilai?
He An-quan: “Personal loyalty can be seen with the Chinese.
The army set up by his father seems to have such network.
But I think it’s useless – though these uncles or aunts
still hold positions in the army, I think this is of no use.
During the Cultural Revolution, we saw too many betrayals.
I don’t think in today’s China military forces will support Bo.
Bo made a show that he was supported by others.
That was merely his past.
Bo went to visit the army as a local army chief,
and the troops had no other choice.”
Did Wang Lijun apply for a political asylum or not?
He An-quan thinks that the US consulate will use this
as a bargaining chip for negotiation with the CCP regime.
NTD reporters Liu Hui and Xiao Yan
