【新唐人2012年2月15日訊】王立軍事件出來後，各方都在猜測王立軍闖入美領館的原因，為何王立軍又會「自願」離開美領館？美方為何至今沒有追究重慶警方違法包圍美領館？13號，發表網路文章《王立軍逃亡美領館全過程》的作者，向本臺記者做了詳細解讀。
「核安全信息交流中心」發起人何岸泉笑談「王立軍事件」，並用「網絡遊戲」這個筆名向《博訊網》投稿，文章題為《 王立軍在美領館內24小時情景還原》。隨後，一篇內容雷同的《王立軍逃亡美領館全過程》的短文，以微博的形式在網路上流轉，並被大量轉載，甚至被翻譯成英文。還被許多媒體引用。
人在美國的何岸泉接受了《新唐人》的專訪。對於王立軍闖入美領館後續引發的疑問，何岸泉提出了他個人的看法。他首先告訴記者，尋求政治庇護是王立軍闖美領館的唯一原因。
何岸泉：「在領事館能夠得到政治庇護，這個可能才促使王立軍孤注一擲到領事館去，逃離薄熙來的控制。如果他選擇和中國政府合作，他可以選擇去中央或其他地方，通過很多很多途徑他都可以向中央、中國政府去反映他所受到、他可能受到的生命危險，所以我覺得他進去以後一定會提出政治庇護，雖然他對他的政治庇護合適不合適、應該不應該、可以不可以，一點沒有準備，這是他一個唯一的希望。」
那麼美國政府為甚麼說王立軍是主動離開的，中國國安部又是怎麼知道王立軍在美國領事館呢？
何岸泉：「美國政府拒絕他的政治庇護以後，那麼他退而求次，我認為他會選擇在領事館，直接通過領事館或者他自己直接向中央報告，向中央提出來，中央派人到成都把他接到中央去交待情況，而不願意讓薄熙來，他的上司來處理這件事情。所以造成這個結果就是，國安部從北京飛過來，驅逐薄熙來的警力，解除對領事館的包圍，把王立軍安全接出來，因為如果他不從領事館向中央請求的話，按正常的程序，王立軍應該給薄熙來處理。」
王立軍事件會不會是有人策劃呢？一個中共副部級高官為甚麼在生命攸關時，為甚麼更相信中共的對手—-美國？
何岸泉：「我認為是他個人的臨時決定，因為他受到生命威脅，因為他了解中國共產黨，太子黨及薄熙來的殘酷性，所以他毅然決然採取叛逃的做法，事實會證明他這一招，對他來說，第一是迫不得已，第二是唯一正確能保命的做法。我覺得和他個人性格有關係，換作其他官員也就被自殺了，要你自殺，你也就只好自殺，你不自殺，我把你扔下去了,已經發生很多了。他能夠走人還是比較血性的，魚死網破，很多人沒有這個魚死網破的膽量。」
何岸泉認為，「王立軍事件」會使中共的內鬥白熱化，在習近平訪美之前，各方都按兵不動，等習近平訪美回國後，第一個開刀的就會是薄熙來。那麼薄熙來父親的老部下14軍會不會力挺薄熙來呢？
何岸泉：「中國人性格不喜歡用義氣。他父親建立起來的軍隊好像有淵源，沒用，叔叔、阿姨、親阿姨沒用，在文革時期我們看見了太多的背叛，我不認為在中國今天的情況下，哪個軍事力量會支持薄熙來，拐一拐，裝出樣子，好像別人支持他，但是只是他過去而已，作為地方的軍隊首長，你薄熙來要去看他，他也沒辦法。」
何岸泉認為，美國領事館會以公布「王立軍是否請求政治庇護」為籌碼，來和中共談判。
新唐人記者劉惠、肖顏採訪報導
Wang Lijun’s Asylum the Only Reason for His Actions?
Since Wang Lijun’s fleeing incident was exposed, the reason
for his consulate visit gains the focus of public speculations.
Why did Wang leave the US consulate “of his own volition”?
Why the US side did not complain about Chongqing police’
illegal siege of the US consulate in Chengdu?
He An-quan, author of an online article “Full story of Wang
Lijun’s fleeing to the US consulate” analyses the incident.
He An-quan, sponsor of the nuclear safety information
exchange center, wrote an article about Wang Lijun’s fleeing.
Titled “Reverting Wang Lijun’s 24-hour in the US Consulate,”
the article was firstly published on Boxun.com.
Later, a passage of similar content was vastly reproduced
on the Chinese websites, even translated in English.
He, who is living in the US, tells NTD his personal views
on the doubts of Wang Lijun’s US consulate visit.
He views seeking political asylum
as Wang’s only reason for his actions.
He An-quan: “The consulate can provide
the political asylum.
That might be the reason why Wang went for broke to make
a consulate visit, to get away from Bo Xilai’s control.
If he had opted to cooperate with China’s regime, he could
go to the Central Committee or other places instead.
There’re lots of ways for him to report his life-threatening
plight to the Central Committee and government organs.
So I think that after he entered the US consulate,
he could surely apply for a political asylum.
He was not sure how his political asylum claim will go, is his
application proper or reasonable, is he eligible, but this was his only hope.”
He commented on US official’s claim that Wang left “of his
own volition,” and on the State Security Ministry involvement.
He An-quan: “I think after the US refused his political asylum,
Wang took the second best (option).
I guess he chose to remain in the consulate and contacted
the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) via the consulate or by himself.
Wang asked the Central Committee to send people to pick
him up and take him to Beijing to report the whole story.
He might mentioned about his unwillingness to see Bo
dealing with the incident.
So that’s the outcome we saw,
the (CCP) National Security’ men flew from Beijing.
Bo’s police forces were expelled, and the siege
of the US consulate was lifted. Wang was safely picked up.
But if Wang didn’t contact the Central Committee from
the US consulate but followed the normal procedure, he would have fallen into Bo’s hands again.”
He shared thoughts on whether somebody is behind Wang
Lijun’s case and why a CCP’s vice-ministerial level official would choose to trust the US, CCP’s rival?
He An-quan: “I guess that was his interim decision,
when he received death threats.
As he understood well the CCP, its princelings and Bo Xilai’s
cruelty, he resolutely defected to the US consulate.
The reality will prove his defection was a compelling choice,
and was the only correct way to protect his life.
In my view, his choice has something to do
with his personal character.
If other officials encountered this,
they would choose the suicide.
If you are asked to commit suicide, you have to do so.
If you fail to do so, then you would be thrown off a building.
There are a lot of such cases in China.
He (Wang) chose to flee, I think he is courageous to chose
to fight like Kilkenny cats. Many Chinese have no such guts.”
He An-quan thinks Wang Lijun’s incident
will intensify CCP’s infighting.
Though both factions will sit tight before Xi Jinping’ US visit.
After Xi’s return. the first axe will be thrown at Bo Xilai.
Will then the 14th Group Army, the old followers
of Bo’s father, step in to support Bo Xilai?
He An-quan: “Personal loyalty can be seen with the Chinese.
The army set up by his father seems to have such network.
But I think it’s useless – though these uncles or aunts
still hold positions in the army, I think this is of no use.
During the Cultural Revolution, we saw too many betrayals.
I don’t think in today’s China military forces will support Bo.
Bo made a show that he was supported by others.
That was merely his past.
Bo went to visit the army as a local army chief,
and the troops had no other choice.”
Did Wang Lijun apply for a political asylum or not?
He An-quan thinks that the US consulate will use this
as a bargaining chip for negotiation with the CCP regime.
NTD reporters Liu Hui and Xiao Yan
