【新唐人2011年9月1日讯】海外及香港媒体近日透露，从加拿大遣返的赖昌星目前被送到北京一处绝密住所，进行秘密审讯，最高层直接掌控对赖的审查，并借赖案警告江泽民派系。外界分析指出，江泽民成了活死人，已失去了影响力，加上赖昌星案，胡锦涛已掌控十八大人事布局。
8月31号，香港《苹果日报》援引《博讯网》消息披露，北京曾考虑用武警、军队、国安甚至中央警卫局看管赖昌星，但由于赖和这些机构都有瓜葛，最后由公安部成立的特别小组直接负责。
赖昌星的囚室安装了4个摄录机，连洗澡上厕所也被全程监控，审查小组与赖相邻而住，24小时陪伴。赖回国一个多月，负责看守审讯他的小组已经换了三批人员。
据透露，对赖昌星审查指示直接来自最高层。审查人员只能对赖的口供记“流水账”，由于赖案非常敏感，直接牵扯到十八大人事布局，办案人员也不能看“流水账”。
与赖案有牵连的包括贾庆林、贺国强、习近平、贾廷安等人。赖昌星曾向《亚洲周刊》表示，他掌握了太多的秘密，愿意向北京高层和中纪委揭开他与中共高层领导人的关系、资料和线索。
伍凡(《中国事务》主编)：“你赖昌星回来的目地是什么？胡锦涛用这张牌是用到什么程度？要达到瓦解、收买、利用江系人马，分化瓦解，要听他指挥，这样的话他把矛盾化成最小。”
《博讯网》引述北京知情人士的话说，赖昌星是江泽民时代的最大腐败案首脑，直接牵涉了当时的党政军高层，赖这个时候回来，实在是政治意义大于司法意义。
来自北京圈内的消息透露说，江已成活死人，如果上海不再抬出江泽民，不再对十八大人事颐指气使，北京这边也会让赖昌星保持安静，老死狱中。
伍凡：“江泽民反正要快死了，所以为什么《博讯》里面他讲这句话，说只要江泽民不出来，那么赖昌星这张牌就不会大用，他目地就是说能把它化解掉以后，那么江泽民也没有生命了。所以他正在这样做。”
近日，十八大人事安排揭开了序幕，河北、西藏、云南、海南、浙江、江苏、宁夏等多个省区党委书记、副书记、省长大调整，胡锦涛的团派是大赢家。
金钟(香港《开放》杂志主编)：“现在这个十八大人事，我觉得胡锦涛基本上是能够控制的。赖昌星这个案子应该对江泽民派系是不利。”
不过，从胡江派系分别在海外媒体和《博讯》、《参与》等网站放出风声来看，江系并没有放弃权力争斗。由《多维新闻网》创始人主办的香港《明镜月刊》、《外参》、《大事件》和《明镜网》，就是江系释放消息的集散地之一。
近日，《明镜月刊》接连发表署名张知军的文章，介绍江泽民死党、军委副主席郭伯雄，以及军委副主席徐才厚，在历数两人与江的关系同时，也提到这两人都涉及腐败，并指出十八大时，郭伯雄、徐才厚都将面临超龄退休。
事实上，徐才厚并非江的死党。2004年9月，被江提拔的军委委员徐才厚、李继耐、梁光烈、廖锡龙等人，出乎意料的纷纷支持江“请辞”军委主席，与赖昌星有来往的前军委副主席刘华清、张震、迟浩田，也促江下台。
外界分析认为，非军人出身的江泽民，在军队中并没有真正的死党，都是利益关系，而中共历来人走茶凉，尤其在江的死讯传出后，军方江系势力也在与江作切割。而胡锦涛则很可能在十八后续任两年军委主席。
林保华(时政评论家)：“我想应该会保留的，因为过去无论是邓小平、还是江泽民都是再续任两年。现在江泽民既然已经不太行了，那么这样子的话，胡锦涛继续担任两年的可能性就会比较大。”
香港《东方日报》指出，目前正值中共十八大人事布局的关键时刻，缺少江泽民这个靠山的上海帮，势力本已式微，如今再加上赖昌星案，江派在新一轮的权斗中势必进一步受困。
新唐人记者常春、李元翰采访报导。
Hu Jintao vs. Dying Jiang Zemin
Overseas and Hong Kong media recently revealed
that Lai Changxing, who was just repatriated from Canada,
was sent to a top-secret location in Beijing for interrogation.
Chinese Communist Party (CCP) highest level officials
are directly managing Lai’s investigation,
and uses this case to warn Jiang Zemin’s faction.
Analysts believe Jiang Zemin to be “living dead,”
having lost his influence.
Moreover, with the Lai Changxing case, Hu Jintao has
mastered the power layout of CCP’s 18th National Congress.
On August 31, Hong Kong’s Apple Daily
quoted news from the Boxun website
saying that Beijing once considered using military police,
army personnel, the Public Security Bureau
and even the Central Security Bureau to guard Lai Changxing.
But due to Lai’s connections within these organizations,
one special group needed to be established
within the Ministry of Public Security.
There are four video cameras installed in Lai’s ward.
He is completely monitored, even in the restroom.
The investigation team lives adjacent to him 24/7.
Lai has been in China for over a month now.
Since his return, there have been three investigation teams.
Accordingly, the investigation order is from the highest level.
The investigation team can only document the interrogations.
Since Lai’s case is extremely sensitive
and it is directly related to the 18th Congress layout,
the investigation team members are not permitted
to read any of the documents provided by Lai.
Those involved in Lai’s case include Jia Qinglin,
He Guoqiang, Qi Jinping and Jia Tingan.
Lai once told Asiaweek magazine that he knows many secrets
and is willing to reveal to Beijing the evidences and clues
of his relationships with high-ranking CCP officials.
Wu Fan (Editor-in-Chief, China Affairs):
“What is the purpose of having Lai Changxing back?
How will Hu Jintao use this card? To disintegrate Jiang’s
faction, and force them to listen to him, minimizing conflicts.”
The Boxun website quoted an undisclosed Beijing insider:
“Lai Changxing is the leader of the largest corruption case
during Jiang’s regime, directly related to high-ranking
officials of the CCP and the military.
His repatriation now carries political significance
more than legal significance.”
The Beijing insider believes that Jiang is a “living dead.”
He went on, saying, if the Shanghai group does not promote
Jiang, and no longer tries to control the 18th Congress,
Beijing will also keep Lai quiet,
and imprison him until his death.
Wu Fan (Editor-in-chief, China Affairs): “Jiang is about to die.
That is why the articles in Boxun state that
as long as Jiang does not come out,
Lai’s case is not of much use.
The purpose is to resolve conflicts, as Jiang is dying.”
The power layout of the 18th National Congress just started.
Party secretaries, deputy secretaries
and governors of many provinces including Hebei, Tibet,
Yunan, Hannan, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Ningxia all changed.
Hu’s faction has a large advantage.
Jin Zhong (Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong’s Open Magazine):
“I think Hu can basically control the 18th Congress.
Lai’s case is not good to Jiang’s faction.”
However, the information released by Hu and Jiang’s factions
to overseas media indicates Jiang’s faction has not given up
on the power struggle yet. Hong Kong’s Mirror Books
established by the founder of DWNews.com
is the platform for Jiang’s information releases.
Recently, Mirror Books published a series of articles
by Zhang Zhijun, introducing Jiang’s sworn followers
Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou, who are
vice chairmen of the Central Military Commission.
While stating their relationship with Jiang, the articles also
mentioned that both of them were involved in corruption,
and indicated both will be forced to retire
during the 18th CCP Congress, due to their old age.
In fact, Xu Caihou is not Jiang’s sworn follower.
In September 2004, Xu Caihou, Li Jinai, Liang Guanglie
and Liao Xilong, who were promoted by Jiang, unexpectedly
supported the request for Jiang’s resignation
from his position of Chairman
of the Central Military Commission.
Former Vice Chairmen of the Central Military Commission
Liu Huaqing, Zhang Zhen and Chi Haotian,
who were involved in Lai’s case,
also urged Jiang to leave the position.
Analysts believe that Jiang Zemin does not have any true
followers in the military, since he himself never served.
His influence in the military was built on interests,
which were gone after he left the military.
When the rumor about his death spread,
his followers in the military tried to leave him.
It is very possible that Hu Jintao will continue as Chairman
of the Central Military Commission for two more years.
Lin Baohuan (political commentator):
“I think he will stay. In the past, both Deng Xiaoping
and Jiang Zemin stayed for two more years.
Jiang is about to die. If that is the case,
it is more likely that Hu will stay for two more years.”
Hong Kong’s Oriental Daily pointed out that this is a critical
moment for CCP’s 18th National Congress power layout.
The Shanghai team who depends on Jiang is declining.
With Lai’s case, Jiang’s team will further weaken
in the new round of the never-ending power struggle.
NTD reporters Chang Chun, Li Yuanhan and Sun Ning
