【新唐人2014年03月27日訊】核安全峰會正在荷蘭召開，俄羅斯因克里米亞入俄，被踢出了八大工業國集團（G8）。俄駐華大使館官方微博，週二突然用天安門事件後中國受西方制裁，來比喻俄國目前的處境，意圖拉近中俄距離。俄羅斯自願跟「六四屠夫」為伍，引發大陸輿論嘩然。大陸學者擔心，中共和俄羅斯這兩個國家聯手抗美，將會再次形成世界的冷戰格局。
俄羅斯駐華大使館25號在官方微博說：「目前俄羅斯的處境多少類似中國在1989年事件後所遇到的處境。當時美、歐在中國違反人權的藉口下，開始禁止向中國出口武器和軍事技術。」文章引述專家的意見認為，在這種條件下，西方制裁應讓俄、中兩國走得更近，俄國「有必要更加認真研究如何加強俄中合作」。
而最近「中國天安門事件」此類敏感詞在微博沒有被屏蔽，令大陸網民大感意外。有網民裝傻問：「天安門甚麼事件啊？」「是軍隊用機關鎗掃射學生，用坦克輾壓學生那次（6、4）事件是嗎？」「老毛子，你不提那事，中國人都快忘了！」
浙江「杭州師範大學」法律史教授範忠信表示，這篇微博把俄羅斯和中共政治領導集團綁在了一塊。他說，俄羅斯現在的做法有一點恢復到以前蘇聯體制。俄羅斯民族主義和蘇聯體制殘餘影響的疊加，在這次克里米亞事件上體現出來。
範忠信表示，他最擔心的就是中、俄親密聯手去對抗美國，和整個西方，這是重回冷戰狀態。
杭州師範大學法律史教授範忠信：「我覺得很可怕。因為過去幾十年的冷戰已經表明，那是人類文明進步歷史上的一場大劫難，全球性的劫難。兩大陣營對抗，從熱戰到冷戰，這場劫難太可怕了。經過後來整個世界分化組合，美、蘇關係的轉化，東歐的變化，使世界重新恢復了相對自由，相對和諧的世界關係。」
但是近期「北約東擴」及俄羅斯的恐懼和反對，中共跟俄羅斯聯手抗拒美國，現在西方的制裁又使中、俄更加聯手，令人感覺世界又要回歸兩大陣營的對抗的態勢。
原中共「中央經濟體制改革委員會」幹部曹思源認為，中共跟俄羅斯非正式結盟，是在外交上的失策和近視。中、俄之間的基礎其實存在著很大的利益衝突。
原中共中央體改委幹部曹思源：「俄羅斯佔了中國很多領土。俄羅斯跟中國領土就有很大的矛盾分歧。而且中國自古以來的外交思想就是『遠交近攻』。俄羅斯是近處，是跟中國的外交矛盾更加明顯，我們放棄『遠交近攻』，還那麼熱乎，或者傻乎乎的熱乎，可笑！」
範忠信認為，從歷史看，俄羅斯是經常引起中國噩夢的一個國家。一方面因為原來俄國沙皇侵略成性的國家本性。俄羅斯是侵佔中國土地最多的國家。另外就是，蘇聯向中國輸出了革命，直到今天中國人民還在遭受共產主義意識形態所帶來的折磨。
但過去一段時間，俄羅斯跟中共之間走得越來越近。範忠信認為，因為過去歷史上中、俄的社會制度和意識形態一致，抵抗西方的目標也一致，加上現實中，美國和整個西方對中國的人權問題，和意識形態問題，不懈的批評施壓，而讓中共領導集團決定聯俄抗美、抗歐。
原英國外交官，中國問題專家蒂姆•科拉爾，曾撰文質疑中共聯俄的策略是否符合中國的利益。他指出，俄羅斯在邊境周圍造就多個極不穩定的區域，最明顯的例子就是車臣。如今克里米亞也有可能變成另一處黑幫橫行之地。他指出，中國並不需要另一個全副武裝、借民族主義掩飾自身弱勢的鄰國。一個北韓就夠了。
採訪編輯/秦雪 後製/周天
Russia Out of the G8 – Makes Horrifying Embassy Faux Pas
The 2014 Nuclear Security Summit is held in Netherlands.
Russia was kicked out of the Group of Eight industrialized nations
(G8) supposedly because of the Crimea.
In the Russia official microblog, they dubiously compare the
current Russian backlash to the punishment meted out to China
after the Tiananmen massacre.
This faux comparison it appears is to bring China and Russia
closer together.
Russia’s voluntarily comparing itself with the horrifying
June 4th butchery triggered a public outcry in the mainland.
Mainland scholars worry that the CCP and Russia together
will form a world Cold War structure again against the
United States
March 25, Russian Embassy said in the official micro-Bo:
“The current Russia situation is much like China after the
1989 incident.
At that time the United States and Europe banned the export
of arms and military technologies to China under the pretext
of human rights violations in China.
The article quoted the expert’s opinion that the Western sanctions
should allow the two countries come closer together under such
conditions.
And it is necessary to carefully examine how to strengthen
co-operation between Russia and China."
Recently, the sensitive words such as the China Tiananmen
Incident in Micro-bo are not blocked surprised the mainland
netizens.
Some netizens teased: what is the Tiananmen event? Is it the
event that the army shot the students and rolled students with
tanks?
Lao Maozi, Chinese people almost forgot about it if you do
not mention it!”
Hangzhou Normal University legal history professor Fan Zhongxin
said this micro-Bo tied the political leadership of Russia and CCP.
He said that it seems that the current Russia has returned to the
old Soviet style system. Russian nationalism and the residual effects
of the Soviet system are reflected in the Crimea event.
Fan Zhongxin said he worried most about the Russia and China
together against United States and the West will take it back to
the Cold War status.
Fan Zhongxin Hangzhou Normal University Professor of Legal
History:
“I feel terrible because the Cold War in the past few decades
has shown it was a big catastrophe in the progress of
human civilization, a global catastrophe.
The catastrophe was horrible that the two camps’ confrontation
went from from hot war to the Cold War.
Later, the whole world accepted the differences.
The relationship changed between the United States and the Soviet
Union and the change in Eastern Europe made the world relatively
free and harmonious. “
But NATO continued the enlargement and Russia grew fearful
and opposed the expansion The CCP together with Russia
resisted the United States.
And now Western sanctions have brought the CCP and Russia
even closer and make us feel that the world will return to the two
camp model.
Former CCP Central Commission for Economic Restructure
cadres Cao Siyuan believes that;
the informal alliance of the CCP and Russia is a diplomatic
misstep and myopic.
There are significant interest conflicts between Russia and
the CCP.
Former cadres of the CCP Central Commission for Restructure
Cao Siyuan:
“Russia occupies a lot of Chinese territory and there is great
disagreement and conflict on territory between Russia
and the CCP.
The CCP’s diplomatic strategy is to associate with the distant
countries and attack the near ones for ever.
Russia is close to us and there is an obvious diplomatic
contradiction between us.
We abandoned the previous diplomatic strategy but keeping
warm with them is so silly."
Fan Zhongxin sees that from history, Russia is a country that
often caused nightmares for China.
On the one hand the original Russia was an aggressive country
under the Tsarist government and Russia is the country which
occupied most Chinese territories.
On the other hand the Soviet Union exported the revolution to
China until today the Chinese people are still suffering from
the communist ideology torture.
In the recent past, Russia and the CCP are getting closer and closer.
Fan Zhongxin believes that it is because in the past history Russia
and China had the same social system and ideology;
the target of resistance to the West is also consistent.
Plus now, the United States and the West criticism of China’s
human rights issues and ideological issues have made the CCP
leadership decide to go anti-US, anti-European Union with Russia.
Former British diplomat and China expert Tim Corral wrote an
article questioning whether the strategy of the CCP with Russia
conformed to China’s interest.
He pointed out that Russia has created a number of very unstable
areas around the border; the most obvious one is the Chechen.
Today Crimea is also likely to become another gang rampage land.
He pointed out that China does not need another neighbor armed
and disguised by nationalism.
One North Korean is enough.
