【新唐人2015年01月05日讯】新年前夜，上海外滩发生踩踏惨祸，在各界问责上海当局之际，前中共党魁江泽民在海南“东山岭”匆匆露面，但相关报导很快被删除。外界分析，上海踩踏事件，令江派上海帮面临失守困境，会招致中共现任党魁习近平的更猛烈整肃，上海官场很可能会出现大地震。下面请看本台记者的报导。
3号，大陆一些门户网站及海外中文媒体，转载了一则来自微信用户“海南东山岭微信号”的消息，称江泽民一家在海南万宁市的东山岭景区露面。图片显示，江泽民脸上的老人斑非常明显，走路需要人搀扶，并以高尔夫球车代步。
值得关注的是，就在江泽民露面前不久的12月31号夜间，江泽民派系的“老巢”上海刚刚出现重大踩踏事故，造成至少36人死亡的惨剧。各界要求江派地方大员－－上海市委书记韩正、市长杨雄下台谢罪的呼声不断，江派时刻面临“城门失守”的困境。
中国问题独立评论员李善鉴：“这个契机、这么一个机会，习近平不会把它放过去。通过这个事情整肃一批上海的官员，我觉得是顺理成章的事情。”
上海外滩惨剧发生后，中共国家主席习近平在第一时间表示“严重关切”，党媒也迅速刊出文章，声称“管理部门难辞其咎”，并追问《外滩踩踏事故问责要问到哪？》。各界舆论普遍认为，韩正、杨雄等上海主要官员将被问责，并由此引发上海官场大地震。
微博用户“菩提路上的赣稀”更发布消息说：习近平已召集中办、中组部、政法委、中纪委，进行了碰头会。上海班子将受到严历责罚，免职人员不少于10人，市委书记、市长都将被拿下。同时在上海跟进反腐，会有可观人员被法办。消息还说：一场风暴即将登陆上海滩。
虽然目前还无法证实上述消息的真实性，但恰恰在此时，江泽民被人搀扶着出现在海南东山岭。
李善鉴：“其实如果根据过去的经验来看的话，就非常说明问题。就是说明：他又是到了一个很不利、很危机的这么一种状态，所以他不得不又想办法弄点动静出来。”
另外，据时事评论员邢天行分析，江泽民选择在东山岭露面有一个寓意，就是“东山再起”。微博信息显示，江泽民曾对陪同的海南省委书记罗保铭号称：“要大力宣传”东山岭。
时事评论员邢天行：“也就是说，他希望江家势力、江派余孽能够再东山再起。（但）实际上是不可能了，因为它已经是纷纷在塌陷了。它有那个实力的话，也不至于到今天这个地步。”
邢天行谈到，目前江泽民在大势已去的危机之下内心非常空虚，但又不甘心被清算，于是试图通过拚命露面的方式来寻求自我安慰，从江泽民游东山时的故意大声讲话等言行就可看出，他的精神已经处于类似癫狂的状态。
邢天行：“他应该是预感到了反腐的箭是步步的越来越靠近他了。如果上海再失守的话，他的外依就更加没有了。”
自习近平阵营强力反腐以来，薄熙来、周永康、徐才厚等众多江派高官纷纷落马。为了给江派残余人马打气，江泽民不断四处露面，试图彰显自己的影响力，但几乎每次露面都遭到习近平阵营的封杀。江泽民这次的海南露面也不例外，虽然一些颇具江派背景的陆媒和海外中文媒体转发了这一微信消息，但很快遭到删除。
此外，上海踩踏惨剧之后的第二天，大陆《财新网》转载一篇文章《28年前，我们有一场同样的痛》。这篇文章回忆了1987年12月10号，上海陆家嘴曾发生的另一场严重踩踏事故。这场事故造成66人死亡，文中直接点明：当时任职上海市委书记的正是江泽民。
外界猜测，2015年伊始，延续至今的“打江”大戏，有可能将首先在上海掀起一场风暴。
采访/陈汉 编辑/李谦 后制/舒灿
A Storm Is Approaching Shanghai: Reports of Jiang Zemin’s Hurried Public Appearances Were Silenced in Media
A stampede accident occurred in Shanghai
on New Year’s Eve.
Many people demand that the municipal government
be held accountable for the tragedy.
At this point, former Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
president Jiang Zemin hurriedly made a public appearance
at Dongshan Mountain in Hainan Province.
However, relevant reports were quickly removed
on the Internet.
Analysts say that after the stampede accident in Shanghai,
Jiang Zemin’s faction is losing ground at its final stronghold.
Jiang’s desperate struggle will only result in a stronger
counterstrike from Xi Jinping.
Therefore an earthquake is likely to occur
in Shanghai politics.
Let’s look at the following report.
On Jan. 3, some mainland portal websites and overseas
Chinese media reported messages posted by WeChat user
“Hainan Dongshan Mountian WeChat Update".
The message said Jiang Zemin’s family made an appearance
at the scenic Dongshan Mountain, Wanning City,
Hainan Province.
The attached photos clearly showed Jiang’s age on his face.
In addition, Jiang had to be assisted when walking
or he had to sit in a golf cart.
The key point is right ahead of Jiang’s appearance,
on New Year’s Eve, a serious stampede accident occurred
in Shanghai, which is regarded as the home base
of Jiang’s faction.
At least 36 died in the accident.
Consequently, Shanghai CCP secretary Han Zheng,
a follower of Jiang, faced heavy criticism.
Many demanded that Han and Shanghai mayor Yang Xiong
be held accountable and step down.
Jiang’s faction is losing its final stronghold.
Li Shanjian, independent commentator on China affairs:
“Xi Jinping will not let such a good opportunity get away.
He will take a chance to punish
a group of Shanghai officials.
I think this is a natural result."
After Shanghai’s stampede tragedy, CCP president Xi Jinping
immediately responded by saying he is, “paying close
attention" to the accident.
Party mouthpieces also quickly reacted by saying
“the authority can hardly absolve themselves",
and published articles entitled, “Who Should Be Held
Accountable for the Accident?"
Many media reports were thus convinced that Han Zheng,
Yang Xiong and other key Shanghai officials
would be punished, and an earthquake in Shanghai’s
political circles would follow.
Weibo user “Ganxi on Bodhi Road" said Xi Jinping held
a meeting with the CCP’s General Office,
Organization Department, Politics and Law Commission
and Discipline Inspection Commission.
Shanghai’s leader group will face severe punishment.
More than 10 key officials will be dismissed,
including the party secretary and the major.
In the meantime, Shanghai will start an anti-corruption
campaign in which a considerable amount of officials
will likely be punished.
The message concluded with,
“A storm is approaching Shanghai."
Currently, the information that was leaked on Weibo
is unconfirmed.
But Jiang Zemin showed up at this point in Hainan,
even though he could not walk by himself.
Li Shanjian: “This is clear signal if we have learned
from past experience.
Jiang’s act suggests that he is again in a critical situation.
Therefore he had to find a way to make some noise
with a public appearance."
Another public commentator Xing Tianxing says
Jiang Zemin chose to show up at a place called Dongshan
Mountain, because there is a Chinese idiom which says,
“Stage a Comeback from Dongshan."
Weibo reports revealed that during his visit,
Jiang told Hainan party secretary Luo Baoming to,
“trumpet Dongshan Mountain" in the future.
Xing Tianxing: “So we can see Jiang expects his faction
to stage a comeback.
This is already impossible as the whole faction is collapsing.
If there is any actual strength left, Jiang would not fall
into such a crisis."
Xing Tianxing commented that Jiang Zemin was feeling
extremely nervous in the hopeless situation,
but he still refused to surrender.
Finally what he could do was make public appearances
as self-consolation.
Reports say Jiang intentionally spoke loudly
during his Dongshan visit.
If this is true, Jiang is probably has a lunatic’s mental state,
said Xing.
Xing Tianxing: “He probably smells the approaching arrow
of anti-corruption.
If he loses ground in Shanghai, then there is nothing left
for him to rely on."
Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign has resulted in the fall
of many key members of Jiang’s faction, including Bo Xilai,
Zhou Yongkang and Xu Caihou.
To pump up his remaining followers, Jiang made
public appearances here and there in an attempt to
“show his power and strength."
However, all his shows were blocked by Xi Jinping
in media reports, and the Hainan visit was no exception.
Jiang’s visit was reported by some Mainland and overseas
media to be linked with Jiang’s faction.
But all reports were removed soon afterwards.
In addition, the day after the Shanghai stampede,
Caixin (caixin.com) forwarded an article titled,
“We Had the Same Pain 28 Years Ago."
The article recalled another stampede accident which
caused 66 deaths on Dec. 10, 1987 at Lujiazui in Shanghai.
The article directly mentioned that Jiang Zemin
was Shanghai’s party secretary at that time.
At the beginning of 2015, many are already expecting
to see a storm in Shanghai, as part of the battle to eliminate
Jiang Zemin and his followers.
Interview/ChenHan Edit/LiQian Post-Production/ShuCan
