【新唐人2014年09月26日讯】中国大陆三大地区的武警总队的“第一把手”近日同时换防，尤其是在官场才刚刚发生连震的上海地区。中国大陆的武警属于现役军人，由中共国务院和中央军委双重领导。在中共四中全会召开前夕，上海发生的这一系列紧锣密鼓的行动，引起了各方舆论的关注。我们一起去看看下面的专家分析报导。
24号，武警上海总队宣布：武警上海总队司令魏佑江提任武警部队副参谋长，武警重庆总队司令朱宏调任武警上海总队司令。就在前一天，重庆、湖南的武警“一把手”也都同时换防。而朱宏以前也担任过上海总队参谋长，2013年3月调赴重庆，现在又回到上海。
旅美时事评论家横河：“一个是必须了解上海，但是和‘上海帮’又没有这么近关系的，这么一个人去控制上海的武警，作为一种防范措施，这个可能性应该还是有的。武警跟地方势力的关系要更密切一些，他的调动方面比军队要容易的多。武警介入国内政治斗争的机会，也比军队要高得多。”
23号，“上海市纪检监察网”发布了11名官员落马的讯息，其中4人接受调查，7人已移送司法机关。大陆媒体报导，他们多因为涉及土地流转和利益输送问题被查处。上海维权律师郑恩宠认为，这些官员基本上都是江泽民次子江绵康的“马仔”。
时事评论员唐靖远分析，中共四中全会前，在上海集中通报所谓反腐，官媒起底与江泽民家关系密切的王宗南，还有周永康案很可能进入司法程序的大背景下，把上海武警总队的司令换人，最主要的原因，是要防止上海地方武警出乱子。
唐靖远举例说，因为2007年，当时的中共总书记胡锦涛为了调查上海社保基金案，派出百人专案组进驻上海，当时的上海市委书记陈良宇调动了2000武警，包围了专案组，禁止人员进出，最后强制专案组返京。
时事评论员唐靖远：“其实这种行为在当时中共高层震动就非常大，简直已经是接近叛乱的一个举动，所以这个也是最后胡温下定决心要拿下陈良宇的最主要原因之一。所以这一次背后的用意其实都很明显，涉及到江泽民的家族。”
海外杂志《中国事务》的总编辑伍凡认为，北京在对江泽民派系步步紧逼的同时，出于担心内斗中政权的稳定，所以严控军队、武警，尤其是上海——江泽民的“老巢”。
《中国事务》总编辑伍凡：“那就怕他们自己有一套系统，底下那帮子人就听他的，他就有力量来对抗上面，那么我现在把你一个人调走。这种方法在毛泽东时代就用过，七大军区的（司令）互相平调，说明武警部队不稳，上面害怕不听命令，现在用这个办法来削弱。”
下个月中共将召开四中全会，大陆时政观察人士华颇估计，届时高层会有人事上的大调整，所以首先需要严控上海地方武警。
大陆时政观察人士华颇：“其实就是围绕着人事安排，我估计在常委及政治委员，以及中央军委，要有一个大的人事调整。双方的争斗日趋白热化，各派势力已经是饥不可耐，所以让武警部队的最高领导互换，就是防患于未然，让将不识兵，兵不识将，想造反也造不成。”
大陆媒体近日还广泛转载了起底原上海光明食品集团董事长王宗南的报导，称他在政商界人脉深厚。王宗南因为挪用公款、受贿，已经在8月被批捕。文章披露，王宗南最重要的人脉正是原上海市委书记、江泽民的亲信陈良宇。而江泽民曾是光明集团的前身——上海益民食品厂的第一副厂长。
采访编辑/唐音 后制/李勇
Shanghai Armed Police Chief Replaced: A Precautionary Action?
Chiefs of Armed Police Corps in three regions
of Mainland China have been recently replaced in turn,
especially in Shanghai where continuous shock has rocked
the officialdom.
Armed police in Mainland belong to the active duty army,
under the dual leadership of the State Council
and the Central Military Commission
of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Before the CCP’s Fourth Plenary Session is held, this series
of intense action in Shanghai has concerned the public.
Let’s take a look at the expert analysis.
On Sept. 24, Shanghai Armed Police Corp. announced that
Shanghai Armed Police Commander Wei Youjiang
was promoted to the Deputy Chief of Staff
of the State Armed Police Force.
Chongqing Armed Police Corps commander Zhu Hong was
transferred to Commander of Shanghai Armed Police Corps.
Just one day ago, the chief commanders of Armed Police
Corps in Chongqing City and Hunan Province were also
simultaneously rotated.
Zhu Hong previously served as Chief of Staff
of the Shanghai Armed Police Corps.
In March 2013 he transferred to Chongqing
and has now returned Shanghai.
American political commentator Mr. Heng He: “There are
precautions with a person who must understand Shanghai,
but has no close relations with the ‘Shanghai Gang’,
who controls the Shanghai Armed Police.
Such a possibility should exist.
The armed police have a closer relationship with local forces.
To change their commander is easier than the formal army.
The opportunity for armed police to intervene in a domestic
political fight is also much higher than that of the army."
On Sept. 23, Shanghai Discipline and Inspection Supervision
Network released the news of 11 sacked officials, four
of whom are under investigation, and seven who have been
transferred to judicial departments.
Mainland media reported that they were mainly investigated
due to involvement in land transfer and interest siphoning.
Shanghai human rights lawyer Zheng Enchong believes
that these officials are basically the messengers
of Jiang Miankang, the second son of Jiang Zemin.
Political Commentators Tang Jingyuan analyzed that before
the CCP’s Fourth Plenary Session, the so-called
anti-corruption is focused on Shanghai, and official media
exposed Wang Zongnan, who is close to Jiang Zemin’s family.
The Zhou Yongkang case is likely
to transfer judicial proceedings.
Under a wide range of the above backgrounds,
the Commander of Shanghai Armed Police Corps
has been swapped, the main reason being to prevent
trouble and chaos among the Shanghai armed police.
Tang Jingyuan gave an example for this.
In 2007, when the CCP Head Hu Jintao dispatched hundreds
of investigators as a special group stationed in Shanghai
to investigate the Shanghai social security fund case,
then Shanghai CCP Head Chen Liangyu mobilized
2,000 armed police to encompass the special group,
prohibit access, and finally forced this special group
to retreat to Beijing.
Tang Jingyuan: “In fact, this behavior caused a very big shock
at high-levels of the CCP, and this is already a move
resembling an insurgency.
So this is the one key reason why Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao
were determined to crackdown on Chen Liangyu.
So this time the intention behind the action is actually
very obvious, it involves Jiang Zemin’s family."
Chief Editor of overseas magazine China Affairs Mr. Wu Fan
believes that when Beijing Authorities are pressing harder
and harder on the Jiang Zemin faction, due to fear
for regime stability during the internal fighting,
they strictly control the army and armed police,
especially in Shanghai where Jiang Zemin’s “lair" is based.
Mr. Wu Fan: “It is terrible that if they have their own system,
and their followers only listen to their orders,
this will empower them with strength
to fight the upper authorities.
So now a key person has been transferred away.
This method had been used in Mao Zedong’s era.
The commander of seven military regions
were swapped out with each other.
So this news indicates that the Armed Police Force
is instable, the high authorities fear the armed police
will not follow their orders, and now use this approach
to weaken them."
Next month the CCP Fourth Plenary Session will be held.
Mainland China political commentator Hua Po said that
during the conference there will be a major adjustment
of top level personnel, so they first need to place
strict control on Shanghai Armed Police.
Hua Po: “In fact, surrounding the personnel arrangements,
I guess there will be major personnel changes among
the Standing Committee of Politburo, members
of the Politburo and the Central Military Commission.
The battle between the two sides is now increasingly
heated.
Various factions’ forces are already ready
to take urgent action.
To swap the Armed Police Force’s top leadership is to take
preventive measures, so that the soldiers will not know
the commander and the commander will not know
the soldiers, which makes the rebels unable to succeed."
Mainland media recently widely reproduced the report
which reveals that Wang Zongnan, the former Chairman
of Executive Board of Shanghai Bright Food Group,
has a deep political and business connections.
Wang Zongnan was arrested in August
on embezzlement and bribery charges.
The article revealed that the most important contact
Wang Zongnan has is the former Shanghai CCP Head
Chen Liangyu, Jiang Zemin’s crony.
Jiang Zemin was the first Deputy Director of Shanghai Yimin
Food Factory, which was the predecessor
of Guangming Group.
Interview & Edit/Tangyin Post-Production/LiYong
