【新唐人2014年08月19日讯】中共高层在北戴河的闭门会议已经悄然收场,有消息人士透露,今年的“北戴河会议”异常平静,现任党魁习近平发挥了绝对权威,一言九鼎,官员们没有了前两年的厮杀,甚至以往爱串门子的中共“前辈”,为了避免麻烦,干脆不再串门。
日前,香港媒体报导,今年“北戴河会议”最大的成果,是宣布了对前中共中央政治局常委周永康立案调查的消息,而习近平也因为掀起反腐风暴树立了个人权威,在是否公布对周永康进行调查的问题上,习近平一言九鼎,发挥了绝对权威。
报导说,休假的中共“老同志”对谈论国事并不热烈,除了对反腐表示拥护之外,很多人也很识趣的避而不谈。
美国纽约城市大学政治学教授夏明:“每个人都可能成为被整肃的对像,处于非常紧张的状态,每个人都怕引火烧身,他们不知道什么是护身符,唯一的护身符恐怕是你要站在习近平和王岐山阵营以内。”
不过,2012年的“北戴河会议”,情况可完全不一样。据香港媒体报导,习近平受到了极大的压力,甚至提出请辞,随后“神隐”14天。
报导说,当时,由于决定如何处置薄熙来,以及是否拿下前中共政法委书记周永康,和前中共军委副主席徐才厚等人,江泽民集团和中共各路权贵私下串联,准备在“北戴河会议”上弹劾习近平。在这期间,有媒体传出,习近平遭到两度暗杀。
今年在中共首脑们聚在北戴河之前,北京、上海之间出现大量飞机长时间延误,中共官方首先说是军事演习造成,后来又改口为天气原因,不过,事实上那时的天气非常好。
就在中国航空管制期间,美国也宣布签证系统暂时关闭,到现在也没有完全恢复。专栏作家庄丰认为,很可能是美国在配合中国政府作出的行动,意在防止高官及相关人员外逃。庄丰分析说,签证系统不涉及到军事、经济等高度机密,遭到攻击的可能性不大,居然很长时间都不能恢复,这不像是美国的水平。
美国哥伦比亚大学访问学者陈破空分析指出,习近平可能在这期间以很快的速度,阻止了一次政变。
而大规模军事演习,规模空前、历时之久、史无前例。特别是在江苏东北海域的演练,将持续到11月20号,历时4个多月。
7月29号,就在大军演掀起高潮的时候,久拖不决的周永康案突然亮底了。第二天,中纪委派遣阵容强大的巡视组进驻上海,将在那里驻扎到9月底,与大军演时间重叠。同时,江泽民的密友——“上海光明食品集团”董事长王宗南,被带走调查。
无独有偶,8月8号,《央视》开始热播《历史转折中的邓小平》,前面的内容就是华国锋拿下“四人帮”。同一天,大陆门户网站上还出现了《华国锋揭秘抓捕四人帮原因:不抓一定打内战》的文章。而坊间也流行江派“新四人帮”之说。
北京时政观察人士华颇:“现在习近平大权在握,兼任9个小组的一把手,这些人都已经在他的掌握之中,他要拿下谁也都可以拿下来,只不过就是习近平考虑社会反响问题。”
陈破空指出,中共高层从调查商人周正毅入手,整治陈良宇从调查商人徐明入手;撬动薄熙来从调查商人刘汉、吴兵入手;挖掘周永康,而今从调查商人王宗南入手,矛头将指向谁?答案似乎不言而喻。
采访编辑/刘惠 后制/黎安安
A Quiet Beidaihe Meeting: Has Jiang Zemin Been Detained?
The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) Beidaihe
closed-door meeting has ended in silence.
Sources said this year’s Beidaihe meeting had been
unusually quiet as Xi Jinping established his absolute power
inside the party.
There are no more struggles between CCP officials that
were frequently seen in the past two years. Even retired
leaders stopped their activities to avert trouble.
In addition, there have been massive flight delays between
Beijing and Shanghai since mid-July, and military drills
continue around the sea area northeast of Jiangsu province
for an unusually long time of over four months.
Commentators thus speculate that Xi Jinping may have already
placed Jiang Zemin into absolute control.
Hong Kong media recently said that the key result of
this year’s Beidaihe meeting is the announcement of the
investigation of Zhou Yongkang, a former member of
the Politburo Standing Committee.
Xi Jinping managed to establish his absolute authority
during his anti-corruption campaign.
He has used that power to bring about the announcement
of Zhou’s dismissal.
The report also mentioned that retired CCP leaders mostly
showed a passive attitude in talking about politics.
Other than voicing support of Xi’s anti-corruption moves,
many of them tactfully chose to make no comments
at such a moment.
Xia Ming, professor of political science at CUNY:
“Anyone may become the next target of Xi’s cleaning up
moves and therefore they are very nervous.
Nobody wants to be involved and nobody knows what
can guarantee their safety.
Probably you have to be inside Xi Jinping and
Wang Qishan’s group to be safe."
Back in 2012, the Beidaihe meeting was
a completely different story.
Xi felt tremendous pressure at that time and even
applied to resign. Following that, he “disappeared”
from public view for 14 days.
Back then, the focus was on how to handle Bo Xilai’s case,
whether to take down former secretary of the Central
Politics and Law Commission Zhou Yongkang and
former vice chairman of the Central Military
Commission Xu Caihou.
Jiang Zemin and his followers had conspired with various
factions inside the CCP to impeach Xi Jinping
during the Beidaihe Meeting.
Meanwhile, media reports revealed that there had been
two assassination attempts on Xi.
In 2014, massive flight delays were announced between
Beijing and Shanghai right before the Beidaihe meeting.
The CCP officially claimed the delay was caused
by military drills.
Later, it was said to be bad weather that caused the delays.
However, the weather was indeed pretty good
during that period.
Along with China ‘s air traffic control, the United States
announced an outage in its visa system.
The system has yet to be fully recovered.
Column writer Zhuang Feng commented that the “visa
system glitch" might be a cooperative move by the U.S. to
prevent any CCP top officials from defecting.
Zhuang said, the visa system is unlikely to be attacked
since most important military or economic secrets
are not involved.
It is somehow hard to imagine U.S. had to spend such a long
time in fixing a system like that.
Chen Pokong, visiting scholar of Colombia University,
speculated that Xi Jinping might have blocked a coup
in a very short period.
In addition, the CCP had performed massive military drills
that last unprecedentedly long.
The drills in the sea area northeast of Jiangsu will continue
until Nov 20, which adds up to over 4 months.
On July 29, the long-rumored investigation of
Zhou Yongkang was abruptly announced in the middle
of massive military drills.
The next day, the Central Discipline Inspection Commission
sent a powerful inspection group to Shanghai.
The team will stay there until September, which again
matches the schedule of nearby military drills.
In addition, chairman of Shanghai Bright Food and one
of Jiang’s intimate friends, Wang Zongnan was detained
for investigation.
Probably not accidentally, the CCTV began to broadcast
a TV series “Deng Xiaoping During the Historical
Transformation" on Aug 8.
The series started with the story of Hua Guofeng taking
down the Gang of Four.
China’s major Internet media also published an article
on that day, titled “Hua Guofeng: A Civil War Would Break
out without Arresting the Gang of Four."
Among Chinese, some begin to use “the New Gang
of Four" to refer to key members of Jiang ‘s faction.
Hua Po, Beijing political observer:"Xi has held all power
in his hands as he is now the leader of nine key
teams or groups.
All those (Jiang’s followers) are under his control.
He can take down any of them if he wants.
The only concern now is the response of Chinese society
to his moves."
Chen Pokong commented that, the CCP leadership
had taken down Chen Liangyu from investigating
Zhou Zhengyi, a businessman;
They had taken down Bo Xilai from billionaire Xu Ming;
the investigation of Zhou Yongkang started from moves
against Liu Han and Wu Bing, and both were famous
in China’s business circles.
Who will be the target behind businessman Wang Zongnan?
The move tells the answer for itself.
Interview & Edit/LiuHui Post-Production/Li Anan