【新唐人2014年02月12日讯】正在俄罗斯联邦索契市举办的第22届“冬奥会”，因耗费巨额经费，引发俄国民间的强烈不满，却被中共热捧，并提出正在申办的2022年“冬奥会”，将所谓“借鉴”俄罗斯经验。但评论分析，中共想举办2022年的奥运会，只是表面宣传，中共高官们纷纷在海外留了后路，中共政权恐怕支撑不了那么久了。
第22届冬季奥林匹克运动会，2月7号至23号在俄罗斯联邦索契市（Sochi）举行。俄罗斯为这届“冬奥会”耗资500多亿美元，超过了以往任何一届“冬奥”主办国，成为“史上最昂贵的冬奥会”。
在俄国出席索契“冬奥会”开幕式的中共总书记习近平，在接受《俄罗斯电视台》采访时，称赞索契给他留下了很好印象。他说，中国正申请主办2022年的“冬奥会”，中方特别想学习仿效俄罗斯这次主办奥运会的经验。
时政评论员汪北稷：“苏联跟俄罗斯，不管是以前的共产道路，还是现在的半极权道路，都是在西方不入流的一种道路，但是中共的文艺体制、文化体制、文宣体制乃至体育这一块，从中共49年建政以来都是学习苏联。”
“英国广播公司《BBC》”引述“莫斯科国际关系学院东亚研究所”副教授郭尔松的话说，很多俄国老百姓很不高兴，认为俄国承办“冬奥会”，“时间上、地点上都是错误”，并且劳民伤财。郭尔松还说，索契不够冷，俄罗斯不得不从沙特阿拉伯订购人造冰雪，实在荒唐。
俄罗斯人权活动人士尼科里斯基说，索契奥运更因为贪污腐败、以及人权状况、组织工作等倍受批评。而且在索契奥运场馆施工过程中，还有工人们的权益受损害和不发工资等问题。
他说，奥运结束之后，许多场馆将被废弃，但无法收回这次奥运会投入的资金，俄罗斯社会将弥漫失望情绪。他质疑，中共说借鉴俄罗斯经验，是否会把这些因素都考虑进去。
汪北稷：“08年中共政权靠一国之力搞了一个夏季奥运会，招来了无数的抨击批判，也包涵了很多的黑幕，但是它也不汲取教训。它还想利用2022年奥运会来挽回国际上的一个名誉，或者改变国民的心态，是完全不可能实现的。”
汪北稷认为，中共想要在2022年举办奥运会太早了点，因为共产党很可能支撑不到那个时候。
去年9月，英国《金融时报》旗下的杂志（FT Magazine），在文章中提到“奥运魔咒”，文章指出，专制政权的命运与奥运会，存在着某种巧合联系。几乎每个专制政权在举办奥运会后的8到10年内，会发生重大经济危机或社会变革。
如，纳粹德国1936年主办了奥运会，1945年垮台﹔ 苏联1980年举办了奥运会，1991年解体﹔韩国1988年举办奥运会后，逐渐走向民主化﹔前南斯拉夫萨拉热窝1984年举办冬季奥运会，90代年初期走向解体和政局动荡。
前中国男篮国家队队员陈凯分析，中共自2008年举办奥运会后，面对民间要求改善环境、民生、和杜绝腐败等呼声，必将走向末日。
前中国男篮国家队队员陈凯：“我想它们可能没有那个时间去举办冬季奥运会，它们的日子已经到了，我估计也就在这几年，就会出现一个重大的变化，我想主要的可能会发生一些政变或者军政变，或者是对向的摩擦。”
陈凯分析，中共目前面临外忧内患，和大批官员以及有钱人的携款外逃，已经支撑不下去了。
陈凯：“中国整个是一个泡沫的经济和泡沫的政治，这个泡沫很快就要崩盘了，所以很多人都有这个预见，都跑掉了，但他们跑掉之前，他们要做宣传，说这个社会怎么样，要学这个，要学那个，但是所有中共高官，没有一个人不在外面留一条后路的。”
中共最新发布的数据显示，截至2013年，中国海外移民已达到934万3000人。1月中旬，美国“国际调查记者同盟” 爆料，几乎所有中共高层官员的亲属都在海外的“离岸公司”藏匿着巨额财产。
采访编辑/李韵 后制/孙宁
Collosal $50 Billion Sochi Games – Model for CCP
While the Russian people are critical of the collosal costs of
the Sochi Winter Olympics,
the Chinese Communist regime lauded the Sochi Games and
plans to use the Sochi model for preparation
of the 2022 Winter Olympics.
Critics speculate that hosting the 2022 Winter Olympics is
mere propaganda,
since the regime’s officials are actively planning their escape
through overseas emigration, for fear of the collapse of the
regime.
The 22nd Olympic Winter Games is taking place in Sochi from
Feb. 7 to 23.
Costing a collosal $50 billion plus, the Sochi Winter Olympics
is the most expensive Olympics ever.
In an exclusive interview with Rossiya TV, Xi Jinping hailed
the Sochi Olympics.
He said that China, Applying to host the 2022 Winter Olympics,
could learn lessons from the Sochi Games.
Wang Beiji, political commentator: “Be it the Soviet Union or
Russia; with the former communist route or the current semi-
authoritarian system, is a deviant of the Western system.
The Chinese Communist Party’s system of literature, arts,
culture, propaganda, and sports,
is entirely derived from the Soviet Communist regime, since
the take over of the CCP in 1949."
Associate Professor in the Department of Asian and African
Studies, at Moscow State Institute of International Relations,
Vladimir Korsun,
told BBC China, that many Russians are displeased with the
Sochi Olympics, for wrong time,wrong place, and its high cost.
He said that Sochi is not cold enough, and it is absurd to order
artificial snows from Saudi Arabia.
Citing a Russian human rights activist, VOA reported that the
Sochi Olympic Games were criticized for corruption,
human rights violations, and the infrastructure.
In the process of construction, workers endured the loss
of their benefits and wages.
The activist said that many venues will be abandoned after
the Games.
Russians are disappointed at the unrecoverable.
wasteful investment.
He questioned that while China will learn from the experience
of Sochi, whether or not these facts will be taken into account.
Wang Beiji: “China’s 2008 Summer Olympics was criticized
for severe corruption,but none of the lessons were learnt.
Now the regime is talking about the 2022 Olympics to restore
its reputation with the international community or with its people…
it is absolutely impossible."
Wang Beiji feels that talking about the 2022 Olympics is too
early, since the CCP might not last that long.
Last September, FT Magazine reported on the Olympic curse,
referring to a cute coincidence of history that authoritarian
regimes collapse within a decade of hosting a modern Olympic
Games,
due to major economic crisis or social change.
For example, Nazi Germany collapsed in 1945 after hosting
the 1936 Olympic Games; the Soviet Union in 1991 after the
1980 Olympics;
Korea gradually stepped towards democracy after its 1988
Olympics, and Yugoslavia in the 1990’s after the 1984 Winter
Olympics.
Former Chinese national basketball team player Chen Kai
postulates,that since the 2008 Olympics,
China has been faced with uprisings; demands to improve
the environment, livelihood, and for an end to corruption.
The CCP is certainly moving towards demise.
Chen Kai, former Chinese men’s basketball national team:
“I don’t think they will be able to hold the Winter Olympics.
Their doomsday is coming.
I figure it will be in just a few years. Major changes will happen,
such as a coup or military coup, and even friction from
opponents."
Chen Kai believes that the CCP is faced with both external and
internal problems,
along with a large number of officials and the wealthy class
escaping abroad. The regime is hard to hold together.
Chen Kai: “All of China is facing a political and economic
bubble. Everyone sees that the bubble is at the brink of collapse.
Everyone is escaping. However, they still continue their
propaganda despite the process of fleeing overseas."
Recent data revealed that as of 2013, more than 9.34 million
Chinese have emigrated overseas.
International Consortium of Investigative Journalists also
reported in January that nearly all Communist high-ranking
officials possess massive property in offshore companies.
Interview & Edit/LiYun Post-Production/SunNing
