【新唐人2013年11月23日讯】中共国家统计局日前公布了全国10月份70个大中城市的房价情况，除了温州下降外，69个城市仍然上涨，北京、上海、广州、深圳等一线城市的新房价格，同比上涨都超过了20%。香港媒体认为，中国房地产绑架了经济，它不仅会拖垮经济，还是启动中共走向亡党的一个起爆点。请看以下报导。
中共国家统计局的资料显示，70个大中城市和去年同期相比，新房价格上涨的城市达69个。其中，北京、上海、广州、深圳新房价格同比上涨21.2%， 21.4%、20.7%、20.6%。
但是，温州是新房价格唯一下跌的城市，同比下跌1.5%，二手房价格同比也下跌5.3%。
实际上，自去年（2012年）年初以来，温州房价就开始下跌，很多房子已经下跌到房价低于贷款总额的情况。昔日温州“炒房团”变“弃房团”。
温州银监分局的资料显示，截至10月24号，温州已发生“弃房”的共有580户，形成的不良房屋抵押贷款余额约为23.74亿元。
知情人士指称，目前温州7200多亿元贷款中，一半以上涉及抵押贷款，其中房屋作为抵押物的占据近50%。
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田： “原来那些在高价位上放出的一些房地产贷款也好、建设贷款也好，这些钱都收不回来了，最后都变成了银行的坏账。”
美国“南卡罗莱纳大学”艾肯商学院教授谢田表示，在目前中国的政治体系下，房地产所制造的那些银行坏账，中共政府最后会通过大量印钞票造成通货膨胀，从而让老百姓来负担。
中国大陆经济学家、原央行货币政策委员会委员、“清华大学”经济学教授李稻葵，日前发表了一篇《房地产将有巨变》的长文。文章认为，房价上涨只是最后的疯狂，有11个迹象显示房市将有巨变，最多一年。
李稻葵指出，最保守估计，中国的空置房超过了5000万套﹔再加上42.9亿平方米在建住宅、和开发商囤积的40亿平方米住宅面积，还有地方政府储备的土地，这让当局声称超过80%有自住住房的中国人，至少需要20年才能消化掉这些土地储备。
李稻葵认为，中国房屋过剩已经非常严重，中国房地产泡沫已到骇人听闻的地步了！地方政府居然还幻想将来通过出售土地，来偿还高达20万亿的地方债务！
大陆金融分析师任中道：“房地产泡沫破裂它产生的危险不单单是一个行业，整个中国经济都会受到巨大的冲击。它其中涵盖了特别多，比如说地方债，包括银行、影子银行，还有信托，还有理财产品等等。”
11月19号的香港《东方日报》指出，当初温州楼价领跑全中国，当地很多企业家将厂房、家产向银行抵押专职炒房，出现“全民借贷，全民炒房”的景象。而现在的温州炒房团，许多人倾家荡产，因讨债、逼债而自杀或者他杀的不下几十人。
大陆金融分析师任中道表示，中国大陆有50个风险大的高危城市，与温州情况差不多，很多地方的房子有价无市，无人购买。
任中道：“中共的体制导致了房地产政策，比如说10年43个调控政策，房价却涨了10倍，完全在于它的制度。”
任中道说，根据国务院发展中心的报告显示，三、四线城市的房地产已经开始破裂。但房地产泡沫会对中共的政权产生巨大的冲击，甚至能够让它的政权崩溃掉。
《东方日报》也指出，被楼市绑架了的经济，演变成一个击鼓传花的游戏，鼓停花落之时，拖垮全盘经济，将引发社会动荡。届时钓鱼岛问题、南海问题、新疆问题、西藏问题等一起爆发，中国将步苏联当年的后尘，彻底四分五裂。
采访/陈汉 编辑/宋风 后制/李智远
HK Media: Housing Prices Trigger Downfall of the
Chinese Communist Party
National Bureau of Statistics of China published a report of
housing prices of China’s 70 major cities in October.
Except for Wenzhou City that had decreasing housing prices
the other 69 cities housing prices still increased.
Tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou,
and Shenzhen had housing prices rising by 20%.
Hong Kong media says Chinese real estate not only drags
down the Chinese economy, but also triggers the collapse of
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Data of National Bureau of Statistics of China shows that
housing prices of 70 major Chinese cities rose by 20%
compared to the same time last year.
Prices of new houses in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou,
and Shenzhen rose by 21.2%, 21.4%, 20.7%, and 20.6%.
But, only prices of new houses in Wenzhou fell by 1.5%,
and price of second hand houses in Wenzhou fell by 5.3%.
In fact, Wenzhou housing prices have fallen since early
2012. Many house prices fell below the loans value.
The past real estate speculators have abandoned
houses now.
China Banking Regulatory Commission branch in Wenzhou
has documents showing that 580 house owners “abandoned"
their houses by Oct. 24, which left the non-performing house
mortgage balance at 2.374 billion RMB.
An Informed source says Wenzhou has more than 720 billion
RMB loans, with nearly half of it as housing mortgages.
Xie Tian, professor of School of Business at South Carolina
University, US: “The real estate loans and construction loans
lent out with high prices before won’t be paid back. They’ll
eventually become bad debts."
Xie Tian indicates that under China’s political system,
the Chinese regime will print a large amount of money to
solve the bad debts made by real estate, which will cause
inflation and become a burden of the people.
Li Daogui, mainland Chinese economist, former Monetary
Policy Committee member of Central Bank,and economics
professor at Tsinghua University,recently published an article
“Real Estate To Have Huge Change."
The story says the rising of housing prices is the final
craziness. There are 11 signals for huge change in real
estate, which will happen in at most a year.
Li Daokui says conservatively estimated China has more
than 50 million vacant houses.
There are also 4.29 billion square meters houses being built
and 4 billion square meters of hoarding land by developers.
There is also some reserved land by local government.
Chinese authority declares that it will take at least 20 years
for more than 80% of Chinese who own houses to digest.
Li Daokui says housing surplus is very serious in China.
China’s real estate bubble is scary!
Local governments still dream to pay off
the 20 trillion debt by selling land!
Ren Zhongdao, mainland Chinese financial analyst:“The
dangerous impact of the collapse of real estate is not only
on this industry, but to the whole economy of China.
It impacts many industries including local debts, banks,
shadow banks, trusts, and financial products and so on."
Hong Kong’s Oriental Daily reported on 19th that housing
prices of Wenzhou was once the highest in China.
Many local entrepreneurs mortgaged their plants and
family property to invest real estate, which led to the
phenomenon of “universal lending and national real estate."
But many real estate speculators in Wenzhou went bankrupt.
Dozens of people have committed suicide
or have been murdered for debt collection.
Ren Zhongdao indicates that China has 50 cities
in similar crisis with Wenzhou.
A lot of houses in many places have no purchasers.
Ren Zhongdao: “The CCP real estate policy has the major
responsiblity for the problem.
For instance, there were 43 control policies in 10 years,
but the housing prices raised 10 times."
Ren Zhongdao said a report from the Development Center
of the State Council shows that real estate in the third and
fourth tier cities have already started to break.
The real estate bubble will have a huge impact
on the CCP’s political power.
It can even make the regime collapse.
Oriental Daily also indicates that the real estate kidnaps
the economy and will drag the economy into collapse,
which will lead to social unrest.
By then, the Diaoyu Island dispute, southern China sea
dispute, Xinjiang dispute, and Tibet dispute will break out
simultaneously.
China will follow Soviet Union’s footsteps and collapse.
Interview/ChenHan Edit/SongFeng Post-Production/LiZhiyuan
