【新唐人2013年07月29日讯】日前，《纽约时报》发表经济学家保罗•克鲁格曼的评论文章，文章指出，中国的“低消费高投资经济”就是一种“庞氏骗局”。而且，中国经济就像一架自行车，不前行就会倒下，现在中国这辆“庞氏自行车”正冲向一堵墙。
美国“普林斯顿大学”经济系教授保罗•罗宾•克鲁格曼（Paul Robin Krugman），是2008年的诺贝尔经济学奖得主，他也是《纽约时报》的专栏作家。
克鲁格曼指出，从某种程度上说，中国的“低消费高投资经济”就是一种“庞氏骗局”。他举例说，中国企业正在疯狂投资，但不是用产能来服务消费者。实际上，现在在中国投资生产出来的产品，并无明确的最终买家。
多年从事中国经济研究的美国资深经济分析师简天伦博士表示，中国经济放缓后形成的鬼城、煤城，就是对克鲁格曼说法的印证。
美国资深经济分析师简天伦：“中国的产能过剩非常严重，不管是电力、煤炭还有化工、钢铁都产能过剩。”
美国“南卡罗莱纳大学”艾肯商学院教授谢田指出，中共这个“庞氏骗局”，对内表现在不断制造股市、房地产升值，让中国老百姓不断把钱投进去，但钱却被中共各级政府、太子党、富二代、官二代赚走了。谢田说，中国的房地产只是个巨大的泡沫。
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田：“中共实际上对内、对外都在用庞氏骗局来骗中国人和外国人，庞氏骗局是它们一个保持经济增长的涌动机，靠外商投资，靠压榨中国农民工的血汗来维持中国经济繁荣的假象。”
中共“庞氏骗局”对外则编织中国经济所谓的大好形势。谢田表示，中共利用中国巨大的市场、人数众多做诱饵，不断吸引西方国家投资，一旦西方先进的技术投资者进来后，它就鼓励自己的民族产业去拷贝模仿，并排斥西方企业。
“谷歌公司”在中国的境遇说明了这一点。
克鲁格曼还将中国的经济比喻为一架自行车，他说，中国这架“自行车经济”的特点就是，如果它不往前走就会倒地，而农村“可转移劳动力”的日益枯竭，就是中国经济即将撞上的那堵墙。
克鲁格曼警告：中国的这辆“庞氏自行车”正在冲向一堵墙，而且这这只“法西斯章鱼”已经唱响了它的绝唱。
克鲁格曼的文章还说，中共政权的说法是：它在建设社会主义的未来，实际上呢，它正在领导着一个裙带资本主义的镀金时代(Gilded Age)。那么，这个政权的合法性又从何而来呢？主要是来自于经济上的成功。如果这个方面出了问题，会发生什么？
简天伦：“ 中共政权的根基是什么？就是经济发展。没有经济发展的话，他就没有任何存在的基础了，它唯一可以笼络人心的就是把经济GDP搞上去。”
不过，朱镕基之子朱云来，日前在电视媒体惊曝：中国居民实际收入10年来一直在下降。
而克鲁格曼同时提出，从各种事实来看，中共这个独裁政权滋生了极度的腐败。
谢田认为，现在中国的老百姓已经不把中共当作一个人民的政府。而中共目前所谓的经济发展，人们看到的只是权贵富起来了、资源被掠夺空了、环境被破坏了，所以一旦中国经济泡沫破灭，必将民怨沸腾。加上中共内部的问题，最终，中共政权将被彻底的解体和摧毁。
采访/易如 编辑/宋风 后制/萧宇
Nobel Laureate: “China’s Ponzi Bicycle Is Running into a Brick Wall”
Recently, Economist Paul Krugman published
a commentary article in the New York Times.
In the article, he pointed out, “China’s low-consumption,
high-investment economy was a kind of Ponzi scheme.”
In addition, he described China’s economy as working
like a bicycle, “It falls over if it stops moving forward.”
Right now, China’s ponzi bicycle is running into a brick wall.
Paul Robin Krugman is a Professor of Economics
at Princeton University.
In 2008, Krugman won the Nobel Memorial Prize
in Economic Sciences.
He is also an op-ed columnist for the New York Times.
In his article, Krugman pointed out, “China’s
low-consumption, high-investment economy was a kind of Ponzi scheme.”
He also said, “Chinese businesses were investing
furiously not to build capacity to serve consumers who weren’t buying much,
but to serve buyers of investment goods —in effect,
investing to take advantage of future investment, adding even more capacity.
Would there ever be final buyers for what all this capacity
could produce? Unclear. So, a kind of Ponzi scheme.”
Dr. Jian Tianlun, distinguished American Economic Analyst,
has been dedicated to the study of China’s economy for years.
Dr. Jian said “ghost cities” and “dark cities” are
vivid proof of Krugman’s “Ponzi scheme” theory.
Jiang Tianlun: “Issues of capital excess in the electricity,
coal, and chemical industries are very severe in China.”
Xie Tian, Professor of Aiken Business School,
University of South Carolina, stated that
the Chinese Communist Party’s Ponzi scheme keeps
producing illusions of a rising stock market and housing markets
so that people continuously invest their money
in the market.
Nevertheless, the money that people have invested
ultimately went to all levels of the CCP’s governments, princelings, tycoons and officials.
Xie Tian also said China’s real estate market
is a huge bubble.
Xie Tian: “The CCP has been using a Ponzi scheme
to deceive Chinese people and international investors.
The Ponzi scheme is used as the engine
to push economic growth,
thus to create an illusion of economic prosperity
by exploiting the non-privileged group in China
and international investors.”
The Party’s Ponzi scheme fabricates a false
illusion of economic prosperity.
It has utilized China’s big population as bait
to attract international investment.
Once international investors with advanced
technologies are fooled and start investing in China,
the Party drives its national enterprises
to imitate the technologies and meanwhile rejects international businesses.
The experiences of Google in China have proved this point.
Krugman employed the bicycle metaphor
of China’s economy.
He said, “It’s a bicycle economy that falls over
if it stops moving forward.
And of course I’ve argued that running out
of peasants creates a wall.”
Krugman warned,” So, the Chinese Ponzi bicycle
is running into a brick wall.
Also, the fascist octopus has sung its swan song.”
Krugman also mentioned in his article,
“officially it’s building the socialist future,
in practice it’s presiding over a crony capitalist Gilded Age.
Where, then, does the regime’s legitimacy come from?
Mainly from economic success.
Let that success falter, and then what?”
Jian Tianlun: ”What is the foundation of the CCP’s regime?
It’s economic development.
Without it, it will lose any excuses for its existence.
The only way that the party tries
to win people’s report is to improve the GDP.”
Nonetheless, Zhu Yunlai, son of Zhu Rongji, delivered
a piece of shocking news to a TV station.
In the past 10 years, China’s residential income
has been decreasing all the time, he said.
Krugman also pointed out that the CCP’s dictatorship,
by all accounts, enables epic corruption.
Xietian stated that ordinary people in China don’t recognize
the CCP’s government as a people’s government anymore.
Based on the Party’s so-called economic growth,
people can only see that
the privileged groups have become wealthier,
that capital has been robbed, and that environment has been destroyed.
Once the bubble bursts, popular resentments will boil.
Along with the Party’s internal problems,
the CCP regime will completely collapse.
