【新唐人2013年01月12日讯】1月10号下午，多架中国战机，从钓鱼岛以北进入日本“防空识别圈”内，部署在那霸的日本航空自卫队F-15J紧急升空应对。这也是新年过后中国飞机第二次进入钓鱼岛空域。中国从派海监船、海监飞机，到多架军用飞机前往钓鱼岛海域，最后情况的走势会演变成中日战争吗？
据日本放送协会NHK报导，含3种机型的10多架中国战机10号上午至下午5点，从钓鱼岛以北进入日本“防空识别圈”内。
日本《共同社》的报导说，据日本防卫省官员透露，进入“防空识别圈”的中国战斗机有J-7及J-10等，但并没有进入所谓的日本“领空”。目前，日本防卫省已经加强对钓鱼岛的警戒，但否认会对接近钓鱼岛的中国飞机实施警告射击。
政论家伍凡指出，从中共最近宣示钓鱼岛主权的行动来看，出动海监船、海监飞机，再到多架军用飞机，中日两国的对抗已逐步加强。战争阴影已经出现。
政论家伍凡：“中国老百姓不喜欢共产党，这是事实。但是共产党又掀起了民族主义，把老百姓仇恨日本人的情绪吊起来了，所以，从某种程度上（会）支持中共跟日本打一仗，要消灭日本鬼。那么日本人同样把民族情绪吊起来，他们不承认二次战争后是失败国。”
中国大陆某网站9号发起一项调查﹕“如果日本向中国飞机施放曳光弹，中国如何应对？”2万多名受访者中63.5％的人选择“超对等还击，考虑实弹射击”，34.1%的人选择“对等还击”。
伍凡表示，中日两国都换了新领导人，但中日两国的经济都不好，日本经济甚至一直下滑了20多年。从目前来看，两国都想走军国主义的道路，用发展军备来刺激国民经济，就像纳粹德国、前苏联和二战期间的美国那样。
安倍晋三在正式就任日本首相后，就积极备战扩军。日本防卫省2012年度的补充预算就高达2124亿日元。为应对钓鱼岛，还为自卫队申请了特别装备费。安倍最近也要求日本防卫省加强对钓鱼岛的警戒监视。
《法新社》1月9号的报导指称，日本会在未来数月内花费21亿美元的非常规军事支出，其中一些用于购买“爱国者3地对空反弹道导弹系统”，以及升级4架F-15战斗机。
而中共新上台的总书记习近平也打出了强国强军的大旗。
习近平在不久前“南巡”期间，亲登“海口舰”甲板、进舱室，上战车、入班排，观摩实兵实弹演练等。他还说，“实现中华民族伟大复兴，是中华民族近代以来最伟大的梦想。可以说，这个梦想是强国梦，对军队来说，也是强军梦”，习近平要军队牢记，“能打仗、打胜仗是强军之要。”
伍凡认为，不排除习近平走邓小平那样的路。邓小平上台不久就发动对越南战争。
伍凡：“而作为习近平来讲，他希望有一场外部的局部战争，能够控制得住的、并有计划能打赢的这场战争。它可以提升他在国内的统治威望，他能控制军队。”
《多维新闻网》也认为，中国出动了军机对抗日本战机，这就彻底改变了钓鱼岛的对抗性质，让事态进入一个新的层面。
伍凡指出，因为目前《南方周末》和《新京报》提出的中国宪政问题，引起了社会巨大的反响和动荡。在这个时刻，中共出动军机，明显是想利用民族矛盾来转移社会的矛盾。
伍凡表示，当国家面临内外交困的局面时，独裁者发动战争来转移视线，是他们一贯的做法。局势一旦紧张，就有理由严控社会。
采访/陈汉 编辑/宋风 后制/君卓
Many Military Airplanes Cruise Around Diaoyu Islands.
Sino-Japanese Conflict Intensifies.
On the afternoon of January 10th many Chinese fighter planes
entered north of Diaoyu Islands into Japan’s air defense circle.
Japan Air Self-Defense Force F-15J immediately
confronted the unexpected challengers.
This is the second time this year for the Chinese aircraft to
enter the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands’ airspace.
China has been sending ocean surveillance ships, maritime
surveillance aircraft and military aircraft to the Diaoyu Islands.
Will China start a war with Japan?
Let’s look at the report.
According to Japan’s NHK report, aircraft of three types of
fighter planes flew over from north of the Diaoyu Islands.
They breached Japan’s air defense identification circle and
remained there all day.
Japan’s “Kyodo News" reported, Japanese Defense Ministry
officials said that the Chinese fighter planes, including J-7
and J-10, flew into the “air defense identification circle,
but did not go into Japan’s “airspace".
Currently, Japan’s defense ministry has strengthened their
vigilance of the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands.
They denied they would fire warning shots at the Chinese aircraft.
Wu Fan, a political commentator reviewed the recent actions
of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
From declaration of sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands,
dispatching ocean surveillance ship, maritime surveillance
aircraft, and military aircraft, the confrontation between
China and Japan has gradually intensified. The shadow of war has emerged.
Wu Fan: “The Chinese people dislike the CCP, and it is a fact.
However, the CCP has set off nationalism
to instigate people’s hatred of the Japanese.
So, to some extent, they would support
the CCP to fight against Japan.
Meanwhile, it also arouses the same sentimentality for the Japanese,
who have never admitted being a defeated nation after WWII."
On January 9th a website survey in Mainland China asked:
If Japan fired a photo-elastic missile at Chinese aircraft, how should China react?
Among more than 20,000 respondents, 63.5% chose “with a
superior counterattack, or using live ammunition". 34.1 % of people chose “same riposte.
Wu Fan believes that China and Japan have new leaders,
but China and Japan’s economy are not good.
Japan’s economy has declined for 20 years.
Judging from the current situation, the two countries want to
take the road of militarism to stimulate the national economy.
By developing arms, just like Nazi Germany, the former Soviet
Union and the U.S. during World War II.
Ever since Shinzo Abe, the Prime Minister of Japan, took office,
he has been actively preparing for military expansion.
Japanese Defense Ministry supplementary budget for the year
2012 was up to 212.4 billion yen.
In response to the Diaoyu Islands, special equipment funds were
applied for the Self-Defense Forces.
Abe also asked the Japanese defense ministry to strengthen
warning and surveillance over the Diaoyu Islands.
“Agence France-Presse” reported on January 9th it was alleged
that Japan will come up with 2.1 billion in the next few months.
This is an unconventional military spend, including a purchase
of the “Patriot surface-to-air anti-ballistic missile system".
It is also planned to upgrade four F-15 fighters.
The CCP new leader, Xi Jinping, also wants to strengthen
the country and the military.
Not long ago, Xi Jinping, during his “southern tour",
boarded the deck of “Haikou ship".
He inspected the cabin and the class schedule,
and also watched the live ammunition drill.
He also said that “to achieve the great rejuvenation of the
Chinese nation is the greatest dream in modern times.
In other words, that is a dream of a powerful country,
and a dream of a strong army.”
Xi Jinping wanted the army to remember: “A strong army
is capable of fighting a war and also winning a war.’
Wu Fan believes Xi Jinping may follow the same path of Deng
Xiaoping, who launched a war against Vietnam after taking power.
Wu Fan: “Xi Jinping, as far China is concerned,
hopes to have an external war.
If he can control the war and win it, he can elevate
his prestige and control the armed forces.”
The Multidimensional News Net said that China has dispatched
military aircraft against Japanese fighters.
This has completely turned the nature of the Diaoyu Islands
confrontation into a new dimension.
Wu Fan pointed out that incidents of “Southern Weekly" and
“Beijing News" have helped to raise the constitutional issue.
This has caused huge social repercussions and unrest.
At this moment, the CCP is sending military aircraft obviously
trying to transfer social conflicts into ethnic conflicts.
Wu Fan thinks, when a country faces internal and
external crises, a dictator will launch a war to divert people’s attention. That is his usual practice.
When the situation intensifies, there will be a good excuse
to exercise strict control over society.
