【新唐人2012年11月24日讯】中共“十八大”之后，如何扭转目前中国经济增长持续趋缓，甚至负成长，以及通货膨胀等问题？有报导说，朱镕基在这次“十八大”过程中发挥了党内元老代表的作用；并说，新的领导班子将进行大规模经济改革。对此，我们来听听大陆及海外专家们的分析。
据《朝鲜日报》发自北京的报导，中共前总理朱镕基在任时，担任国务院副秘书长的马凯，在明年3月，将被提升为主管财政和金融事务的副总理。而过去支持朱镕基并在他身边的人士，“十八大”之后纷纷担任重要职务。因此，观察人士指称，中共中央总书记习近平领导的新领导班子，将进行大规模经济改革。
旅美中国经济社会学者，“普林斯顿大学”社会学博士程晓农认为，这样的报导牵强附会。尤其，朱镕基原来身边最主要的副手温家宝，干了十年却什么也改不了。
旅美中国经济社会学者程晓农：“朱镕基出场是为了压住江泽民，并不是什么经济上要改革的征兆，这完全被误读了。关于中共要改革的这些无稽之谈，早就该中止。大陆的媒体和中共的宣传经常会用改革这个词来做一些个宣传，去掩盖它不改革的真实行为。”
北京知名经济学者茅于轼指出，大陆的经济制度确实需要大改革。一是让民营资本进入金融业，让土地交换自由化；同时，要逐步取消所有中共垄断的行业，让“国进民退”变成“国退民进”。但茅于轼也认为，当局改革的可能性不大。
北京知名经济学者茅于轼：“维持无产阶级专政是他们的首要任务。因为，恰好问题就在这儿，现在要释入无产阶级专政，或者取消？但是，我分析他们现在的首要目地，是保护或者加强无产阶级专政。”
中共总书记胡锦涛在“十八大”上定了“既不走封闭僵化的老路、也不走改旗易帜的邪路”的调子。程晓农分析，大陆现在经济结构出现的严重问题，不是经济改革就能做到，而在于政治体制不改革。尤其，权贵集团非法的高收入中共不能查办、不敢查办。
程晓农：“换句话讲，权贵继续发横财，老百姓继续穷下去，这样的经济结构，是不可能有任何改善的。所以，温家宝也讲过，中国经济没有办法持续增长，唯一可能改变这种收入分配结构和财产结构的办法就是政治改革。”
美国“南卡罗莱纳大学”艾肯商学院教授谢田分析，对中共内部所谓改革派抱有幻想的人，现在可能已经失望。而对中共还抱有幻想，就无法清醒的认识中国局势。谢田指出，中共出于政治上的需要、垄断权力的需要和掠夺中国社会财富的需要，它是不会改革的。
美国“南卡罗莱纳大学”艾肯商学院教授谢田：“善良的人们现在应该要拒绝相信中共。因为，中共每次在危机的时候，都会抛出来什么政治改革、经济改革。实际上，我们就将知道它是经济出现非常严重的巨大问题。它的经济我认为已经处在崩溃的边缘。”
长期研究中国经济社会问题的旅美中国经济专家何清涟，最近撰文指出，“十八大代表的构成，正好体现了权力与金钱的公开联盟”。从90年代开始，那一场场财富盛宴，电力、石油、房地产、股市、金融……，每个领域都可见到中国红色家族的身影。有人说，今天中国最大的问题是贫富差距，何清涟认为，那只是皮相之谈，她说，中国真正的问题是：早就形成的“利益集团俘获国家”现象。
采访编辑/梁欣 后制/钟元
The Rich Get Richer, The Poor Are Always Poor.
How Can Zhu Rongji’s Brainpower Reform That?
After the 18th Party congress, how can there be any change
to the economic growth rate slow down or negative growth and inflation?
Some reports said that Zhu Rongji played the role of
representative veteran of the Communist Party at the 18th congress.
The report also said the new leadership would perform
large-scale economic reforms.
let’s listen to the experts’ analysis at home and abroad
to answer the question.
According to the report of chn.chosun.com from Beijing that
Deputy Secretary-General of the State Council Ma Kai will
be appointed Chinese vice premier during Zhu Rongji’s rule.
He will be in charge of fiscal and financial affairs.
Supporting Zhu and working around him in the past,
the officials have played key roles.
The observers pointed out that general secretary Xi jinping’s
new leadership would perform large-scale economic reforms.
Chinese economical and societal scholar, sociology PH.D of
Princeton University Cheng Xiaonong thinks that such reports are far-fetched.
Especially as Zhu’s main assistant Wen Jiabao who served as
Chinese premier for ten years, can’t reform anything.
Cheng Xiaonong: ”The purpose of Zhu Rongji’s appearing
is to repress Jiang Zemin.
It’s not the symbol of economic reforms, it was misunderstood.
The discussion about Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s reforms
should be stopped.
Mainland media and the CCP’s propaganda organizations
always propagate reform.
Its purpose is to cover up the real action of non-reform.”
Famous Beijing economics scholar Mao Yushi points out that
Mainland economy certainly needs to be reformed.
First, freely exchanging land, at the same time gradually
abolishing the monopoly industry controlled by the CCP.
Changing the situation from state-owned enterprises
leading to private enterprises leading.
However, Mao also claimed that the reformatory possibilities
from the authority was unlikely.
Mao Yushi: “the authority’s primary task is to maintain the
dictatorship of the proletariat.
The key issue is that reform needs to dilute the dictatorship
of the proletariat, or abolish it.
However, I think the CCP’s primary task is to protect or
reinforce the dictatorship of the proletariat.”
Communist Party General Secretary Hu Jintao made sure that
“Neither go closed rigid old road, nor go changing flag evil road”.
Cheng Xiaonong analyzed that mainland economy emerged
with severe problems.
The economic reform can’t solve the problems, the
politic reform must be performed.
Especially, the CCP regime can’t, doesn’t date to deal with
the illegal high-income of the dignitary groups.
Cheng Xiaonong: “To also say, the dignitary groups continue
to make a fortune, ordinary people continue to be poor,
it can’t have any improvement in such economic system.
Wen Jiabao also said that it’s no way to keep
Chinese economy growing.
The only way is to change the income structure and
fortune structure, which is politic reform.”
University of South Carolina, Professor Xie Tian, Aiken School
of Business, analyzed that anyone who wanted political reform within the CCP might be disappointed.
The person who has illusions about the CCP isn’t clear about
the Chinese situation.
Xie Tian pointed out, from political needs, menology needs and
robbing Chinese fortune needs, the CCP can’t perform reform.
Professor Xie Tian: “kind-hearted people should refuse
to believe the CCP.
When each crisis emerged, the CCP will take out so-called
politic reform and economic reform.
In fact, we have known that the mainland economy emerged
with a big problem.
I think its economic is at the border of collapse.”
Living in the U.S, long term researcher of Chinese economic
and social problems, economist expert He Qinglian recently issued an article.
The article points out: “The composition of the delegates of the
18th Party congress reflected open union of power and money.”
From 1990s, with every fortune opportunity such as electric
power, oil, real estate, stock market, financial etc., the dignitaries’ families are involved in every field.
Someone has said that the current biggest Chinese problem is
the gap between the rich and the poor.
However, he thinks that it’s only the surface.
He said that the real Chinese problem is “the interest group
captured the whole country” which formed early.
