【新唐人2012年11月17日讯】中共十八大常委名单出炉后，让观察家大跌眼镜的是，十八大之后王岐山将“转轨”，出任中央纪律检查委员会书记。有分析认为，中共存亡之际，政治是首先要解决的问题，经济困境就让李克强组新班底拉破车，能拉一天算一天。
曾被视为常务副总理热门人选，具有丰富金融财经经历的中共国务院副总理王岐山，是政治元老姚依林的女婿。从进入中国农村信托投资公司、担任建设银行行长、临危受命被派往广东清理金融残局、在“SARS”期间出任北京市市长。因此，王岐山被外界称为政坛的“救火队长”。但在中共十八大党内权力分配之下，王岐山“转轨”，以政治局常委身份出任中纪委书记。
北京时政观察人士华颇：“这使人大跌眼镜。因为，王岐山可以说是小朱镕基，企业界中国的经济沙皇。可是，在国际经济危机持续的情况之下，欧债危机等，中国的增长也趋于下降的情况之下，却把他进入中纪委，使人大跌眼镜。”
对此，“普林斯顿大学”社会学博士，旅美中国经济社会学者程晓农认为，可能是，李克强想用自己的财经班底。
旅美中国经济社会学者程晓农：“既然李克强要担任总理，那么副总理就要由他来安排，他可能不想任命一些比他更资深的人做副手，比他懂得多然后处处指手划脚，他这总理怎么当。如果，李克强想连任两届，这10年内中国经济一定会有很大的麻烦。所以，到时候要有替罪羊的话，副总理大概就是最可能的人选。”
有报导指称，王岐山在这波党内权力分配中遭到排挤，而接手反腐肃贪的烫手山芋。不过，“纽约（城市）市立大学”经济学教授陈志飞分析，从另一角度观察，通过王薄事件之后，中共内部有共识，政法委的权力将下降，中纪委的地位有可能上升。
纽约（城市）市立大学经济学教授陈志飞：“所以，纪律检查委员会可能显示那个权力比较重要，或比较集中、或者有比较大的责任。纪律检查因为现在关系到它（中共政权）的生存吧，所以从这样来看，它其实显示了一个他的地位，并不见得是他被排挤，他的仕途或者工作重心有所改变。”
现任中共国家副主席习近平，周四在与中外记者见面时强调，新形势下，中共党内存在着许多极待解决的问题；尤其是，一些党员干部中发生的贪污腐败、脱离群众等问题，必须花大气力解决。
分析人士认为，王岐山是“六四”之后赵紫阳身边硕果仅存的干将。对中共官场从上到下，“深察官情、善把尺度”。
陈志飞也指出，王岐山没有派系色彩，可能是他出任中纪委书记的原因。
陈志飞：“而且，他可能也不想揪出真正腐败的对象。因为，他哪一派也不得罪。现在它（大陆）这个经济谁能给它很大的起色，不就这么老牛拉车拖车，拉一天算一天。倒不觉得现在它经济上真想要有大的作为，政治改革它也不敢有什么作为，因为，现在千疮百孔，它是不想有任何不确定因素，来导致它的覆灭。”
陈志飞进一步分析，中国的经济问题难有起色。他说，中共当局正遭遇前所未有的生存危机，它的目光已转向自身的问题、和反腐、民怨及社会矛盾问题。从7常委名单的安排观察，不难看出主次问题。
另外，央行行长周小川，不在出炉的中央委员会名单上。外界猜测，周小川可能在几个月内退休。
原“中国社科院金融发展室”主任、经济学家易宪容认为，要等央行行长和财政部长的人选决定之后，才能对未来掌管经济的新班底有所观察。
采访编辑/梁欣 后制/钟元
Wang Qishan changed his occupation: Li Keqiang’s team face a severe situation.
Once the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) new leader group
launched, to everyone’s surprise,
Wang Qishan became the Secretary of Central Commission
for Discipline Inspection (CCFDI).
For the CCP facing life and death, politics is the primary issue
that they should solve.
Under the difficult economic situation, the CCP got Li Keqiang
to create a new team to solve the problem.
Looked on as a popular candidate for Deputy Prime Minister,
with extensive financial experience,
vice premier Wang Qishan is the son-in-law of Yao Yilin,
veteran member of the CCP.
Joining the China Rural Trust and Investment Company,
serving as president of China Construction Bank,
sent to Guangdong to clean up financial issues,
serving as Beijing major during “SARS”,
Wang Qishan was looked on as the “fire captain” of the CCP.
However, under the power distribution of the 18th Party congress,
Wang changed his occupation to Secretary of CCFDI.
Beijing political observer Hua Po: “it’s very strange. Wang is
‘little Zhu Rongji’ the economical Tsar in Chinese enterprises.
However, due to the international economic crisis, European
debt crisis and slowdown of Chinese economic growth, that he serves in the CCFDI, is so strange.
For this phenomena, Chinese PhD economics scholar of
U.S. Princeton University Cheng Xiaonong thinks that
probably Li Keqiang wants to use one of his own people.
Cheng Xiaonong: “Since as premier,
Li will appoint a vice premier,
he probably doesn’t want a deputy more experienced
than he is.
If the deputy knew more than him,
how can he do the premier’s role?
If Li Keqiang wants two consecutive terms, however,
Chinese economics will be in big trouble in ten years time.
The vice premier will be the most likely candidate as the
scapegoat at that time.”
Some reports claimed that Wang Qishan was crowded out
in the power distribution and receiving the Hot Potato which is fight against corruption.
However, economics professor of City University of New York
Chen Zhifei analyzed that from another angle.
After the event of Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai,
there a consensus inside the CCP.
That is: the power of Politics and Law Committee will be
dropped and the status of the CCFDI may rise.
Chen Zhifei: “So, the power of the CCFDI may be more
Important or more centralized, or have more duties.
Because discipline inspection is related to the CCP’S life
or death, its status is more important.
So, from this point, he is not crowded out,
only his work focus has changed.”
On Thursday, when meeting international and domestic press
current Vice Chairman Xi Jinping emphasized that
under new circumstances many problems should be solved
inside the CCP.
Especially, the corruption from Party members and taking
resources away from the citizens, it must take strength to resolve.
Analyst thought that Wang Qishan is the only remaining
go-getter around Zhao Ziyang after June Fourth Incident.
He is very familiar with and accurately
grasps the process of Chinese officialdom.
Chen Zhifei also said that Wang Qishan had no faction color,
probably why he was appointed as the CCFDI secretary.
Chen Zhifei: “It is impossible for him to find out true corrupt
elements, as he didn’t want to offend any factions.
Now, no one can benefit from the mainland economic
situation, only let him drift along.
It can’t take any action for economic or political reform.
Because, under such a critical situation, the regime doesn’t
want to take any risk that could cause it’s collapse.”
Chen Zhifei further analyzed that it’s difficult for
Chinese economics to improve.
He said that the CCP regime was facing an unprecedented
survival crisis.
Its attention had changed to its own problem, against corruption,
peoples’ complaints and social conflict problems.
From the list of the seven standing committee members,
we can see the primary and secondary issues.
Also Central Bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan isn’t in the list
of the Central Committee members.
Outside guessed that Zhou would retire in a few months.
Former Director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,
Financial Development Room economist Yi Xianrong thinks
we can observe the new group’s actions.
The new group will change the economics after the new Central
Bank governor and financial department minister were appointed.
