【新唐人2012年10月26日讯】中共“十八大”前夕，军方高层人事不断调整，日前，大陆前副总参谋长马晓天接任空军司令员，广州军区政委张阳上将，接任总政治部主任。有消息说，两人在“十八大”后将笃定进入中央军委，而原本被看好的总后勤部政委、解放军上将刘源，和第二炮兵政委张海阳，因为站错队，受到薄熙来一案牵连，无缘进入中央军委。
10月25号，美国《华尔街日报》发表《中国军队四总部领导调整完毕》文章，内容表示，“从中国（共）国防部网站显示的中央军委总部领导的变化情况看，刘源上将未能获得提拔。刘源是外界认为同已经倒台的中共官员薄熙来，关系非常密切的两位上将之一。”
文章同时还表示，“中国（共）军队四总部领导的调整情况，表明高层就新一届中央军事委员会的人员构成达成一致。”
时事评论员刘铭表示，在中共的官场上能不能升迁，关键要看他们的人际关系，也就是，是否“站队正确”。他说，中共的官场非常残酷，一次站错队，就会毁了自己一生的官运。
时事评论员刘铭：“很有可能是受到了薄熙来政变的牵连，因为有消息称，他们二人参与到薄熙来的政变中，而他们在薄熙来事件以后，没有明确高调表态支持胡锦涛，虽然后来他们二人勉强过关，但胡锦涛和习近平出于谨慎，仍然对他们二者不放心，不愿意给自己留下一点隐患，还是要提拔自己的心腹。”
在薄熙来案发后，曾经传出，刘源因涉及薄案，被解除军职，甚至被捕，不过随着刘源的露面，并当选“十八大”代表，外界曾一度认为，薄案不会株连军中人事。
还有消息透露，刘源这次能够安全过关，是因为得到了习近平的力保。习近平与刘源都是“红二代”，习近平曾在2002年写的《自述》中声称，自己和刘源“不谋而合，都要求走跟工农相结合的道路。”据说两人私交深厚，习近平视刘源为自己在军中的班底人马，有意提拔刘源在“十八大”后进入中央军委。
今年3月，薄熙来倒台之后，各地所谓的“大员”争先检视自身立场，站边表态几乎成为政治必修课。军队几度发出要效忠胡锦涛的声音，4月6号，《解放军报》，再次发表评论员文章《不为流言所惑坚决听从党中央指挥》。而与薄有瓜葛的军中太子党也纷纷重新站队，向胡锦涛表忠心。
张海阳却选择死挺薄熙来，迟迟不表态。第二炮兵在《人民日报》发表拥护中央处理薄的文章，发文者并非二炮政委张海阳，而是二炮政治部主任殷方龙。
但是，美国“哥伦比亚大学”政治学博士王军涛，却有不同的认识。
政治学博士王军涛：“我觉得也不能够说完全他们就会出局，因为最后习近平还是有一个机会，关键还要看他们和习近平的关系怎么 样，虽然这次薄熙来事件，他可能暂时受到影响，比如他没有进军委常委，或者没有做军委副主席，但是，假如习近平接班之后他们还是会有一些机会的，可以做一些调整的。”
据了解，目前解放军四个总部和海军、空军、二炮司令人选已经敲定。其中北京军区司令房峰辉上将，升任总参谋长，成为第一位直升总长的北京军区司令，不但打破惯例，也显示他受重用的程度。
刘铭：“现在从放出的名单看，提拔的将领都是胡锦涛的亲信心腹，像房峰辉、张阳，提拔的这些人都是在薄熙来事件后，对胡锦涛表示效忠的，这说明胡锦涛现在已完全控制了军队，可以按照自己的意愿提拔将领。”
时事评论家文昭表示，薄熙来的政变阴谋能不能被拿上台面，还有待观察，不过，当局能不能和薄熙来进行切割也很重要。
采访编辑/常春 后制/薛莉
No Chance to Enter Central Military Commission: Liu Yuan and Zhang Haiyang Stand in Wrong Team.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
18th National Congress is drawing nearer.
Senior military leaders are still being changed.
Recently, Ma Xiaotian, former Vice General Chief of Staff
of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was promoted.
Ma is now to be Commander of the PLA Air Force.
Zhang Yang, former Political Commissar of Guangzhou
Military Region was promoted to the position of Director of the PLA General Political Department.
It is said that both of them will enter the Central
Military Commission (CMC) during the 18th Congress.
Liu Yuan, the Political Commissar of the General
Logistic Department,
and Zhang Haiyang, Political Commissar of the Second
Artillery are described as having stood in the wrong team.
They have been impacted by the Bo Xilai case,
and have no chance of entering the CMC.
On October 25, The Wall Street Journal published
“China Passes Over Bo Allies in Military Shake-Up“.
In the article, the following was reported.
“A lineup of most of the new military command
on the Defense Ministry website also showed that…
General Liu Yuan, one of the two generals considered
particularly close to the ousted party official Bo Xilai,
had been passed over for promotion.”
The article also said: “the changing of the leaderships of
the four General Departments indicates the high-level CCP leaders had agreed the arrangement of the CMC.”
Political Commentator Liu Ming said that whether a CCP
official will be promoted or not, is up to his relationship net.
This means whether he stands in the right team.
He said the CCP officialdom is very cruel.
Once an official stands in the wrong
team, his life as an official is destroyed.
Liu Ming: “It’s very possible that they
were impacted by Bo Xilai’s case.
This is because there’s information
that they are involved in Bo’s coup.
They didn’t express high-profile support
towards Hu Jintao after the Bo Xilai case.
Although they weren’t removed from their position,
Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping are very cautious.
Hu and Xi don’t trust them, and don’t want to risk
the future, so will only promote their confidants.”
After Bo Xilai’s case was exposed, there were rumors
that because Liu Yuan was involved in Bo’s case,
he was removed from the military, or was arrested.
But after Liu Yuan appeared, and was selected
to participate in the 18th Congress, observers thought Bo’s case may not have impacted the military.
Sources revealed that the reason why Liu Yuan can keep
his position is because Xi Jinping is protecting him.
Liu and Xi are princelings, and Xi said in “Self Introduction”
in 2002 ,that Liu Yuan and he “always have same opinions.
Both of them thought China should take a road
that combines industry and agriculture.”
It’s said that they have a deep relationship, and
Xi treats Liu as his back-up power in the PLA.
He wants to promote Liu to enter
the CMC after the 18th Congress.
Last March, when Bo Xilai fell from power, CCP senior
officials in each region openly revealed their attitude on it.
The PLA made many vows to serve Hu Jintao.
On April 6, the “Liberation Army Daily" published an article.
“Don’t be confused by the rumor,
follow the CCP’s command strictly”.
Even many military princelings who had relationships
with Bo Xilai, showed their loyalty towards Hu Jintao.
Zhang Haiyang chose to support Bo Xilai,
and didn’t show his support to Hu Jintao.
The Second Artillery published an article to support
the CCP central committee for dealing with Bo XIlai.
The writer was not the Political Commissar Zhang Haiyang,
but the director of its political office Yin Hailong.
However, political expert Wang Juntao, from U.S.
Columbia University, has a different understanding.
Wang Juntao: “I don’t think they will be removed,
because Xi Jinping may give them a chance.
The key is the relationship between them and Xi Jinping.
Although they are impacted by Bo’s
case, it may be a temporary one.
For example, he didn’t enter the CMC,
or he couldn’t be the vice chairman of CMC.
But after Xi Jinping is on board,
they still have some opportunity.”
Based on the information we obtained, the commanders
for the four PLA General Departments, Navy, Air Force and Second Artillery are now decided.
Fang Fenghui, the commander of Beijing Military Region
will be promoted to be the General Chief of Staff.
This is the first time this has happened.
It has broken rules of practice, showing how
important Fang is for the higher leaders.
Liu Ming: “Now, from the released name list, the
promoted Generals are the confidants of Hu Jintao.
These include Fang Huifeng and Zhang Yang.
All of those Generals showed their
loyalty to Hu Jintao after Bo’s case.
It shows that Hu controls the military completely now,
and can promote the Generals based on his opinions.”
Political commentator Wen Zhao said it still requires time
to see whether Bo Xilai’s coup can be discussed publicly.
However, whether the authorities can separate
from Bo Xilai is also very important.
