【新唐人2012年10月22日讯】中共十年一次的政治权力交替名单，即将在十八大上揭晓，全球各大媒体都在关注谁将成为中共下一代领导层的核心成员。日前，“英国广播公司（BBC）”发表署名傅安思（Angus Foster）的文章，其中列举了中共官员能够“成功爬上权力最高位”的7大因素。一起来看看专家的评论分析。
BBC记者在《如何爬上中共最高权力巅峰》一文中写道，中共即将揭秘的下一代领导人，几乎都是逐级晋升的职业政客。在世界上最严格的威权体系之一的中共体制内，要“成功”攀上权力高峰有7大关键因素，包括早起步，派系选择，到艰苦地区“镀金”和“冷酷无情”等。
文章把中共比作世界上最大的“私人俱乐部”，需要在印有锤子、镰刀的党旗前面发誓才能加入。获取党员资格后，才能接触到不公开的信息，接近权力中心，并有机会遇到对仕途有帮助的人。
文章认为，如今的中共是一个纠缠不清的官僚主义体系，它要求“彻底服从”。党对政治和媒体的绝对控制权，意味着任何错误都可能使仕途终结。不跟从中央的步伐将付出惨重的代价。
同时，所谓的“靠山”，决定了能爬多高。比如“太子党”可以在父母关系网的帮助和保护下，取得晋升的优势。
时事评论员刘国华：“中共领导人的出现，爬到最上层，可以说是跟民主完全脱节的。中共领导人要想脱颖而出，最主要的是强调所谓的政治路线。就是你跟的这个人对不对，你跟的人对了，你就可以获得提拔。至于说国家发展，老百姓的想法，这些都是非常次要的。”
文章提到，通常未来的领导人需要有“在艰苦地区”工作的经历。比如胡锦涛曾在西藏四年，目前中共最年轻的政治新星—-49岁的胡春华，也在内蒙古担任党委书记。
另外，性别也很重要。因为从来没有女性进入政治局常委。在现有24人组成的政治局委员中，也只有刘延东一人是女性。
美国“哥伦比亚大学”政治学博士王军涛认为，文章所提到的这些关键因素，需要“有选择性”的看待，因为有些并不是必备条件。相反，熟悉和善于利用共产党的“斗争文化”却很重要。
美“哥伦比亚大学”政治学博士王军涛：“比如说讲到要比较安静，到艰苦的地方去，在艰苦的地方他也不是真的去吃苦。所以我觉得这些东西只能说是调侃，如果真的正确，也只能在一个有选择的，在某些方面才能做这7点，在其他方面正好要反着这7点。”
文章最后还引述美国“克莱蒙特•麦肯纳学院”教授裴敏欣的话说：“如果你被他们排挤出权力圈外，他们要确保你永远回不来。你不仅仅只是失去工作，他们不会放过你的家人并搞臭你的名声。”这就是中共的政治制度的“冷酷无情”。
时事评论员林子旭：“结合中共的实际情况，我觉得这里面就第七条，冷酷无情说的比较准确，在中共的这个体制里想要往上爬就是需要冷血，像薄熙来为了保全自己可以暴打他的父亲，邓小平为了保住中共的权利可以向手无寸铁的学生开枪等等。”
时事评论员林子旭还表示，在中共这样一个逆淘汰的体制里，不断的压抑人性去服从所谓“党的利益”，这才是中共官员能够向上爬的关键所在。
另外一位时事评论员刘国华则认为，随着中共“活摘人体器官”等灭绝人性的反人类暴行不断在国际社会曝光，不久的将来，这些罪恶和血债，必然会像二战时候的“纳粹”一样，遭到清算和严惩。他呼吁更多的普通民众和中共官员认清中共的残暴邪恶本性，加入“三退”大潮才是正道。
采访/常春 编辑/李明飞 后制/萧宇
How to Get to the Top of CCP Regime? BBC States Seven Factors
Every ten years, the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP)
transition of power takes place in the 18th National Congress.
Media internationally are watching who will be
the core members of the CCP’s next leadership.
Recently, the BBC published an
article written by Angus Foster.
It listed 7 factors that help CCP officials
climb up in the regime power structure.
The BBC article “How to get to the top of China’s
Communist Party”, states that
the Chinese Communist Party is about
to unveil the country’s next generation of leaders.
Almost all will be career politicians
who have risen through the ranks.
There are 7 critical factors that help one succeed in
one of the world’s most rigid authoritarian systems.
These factors are “start young”, “choose your faction”,
“study morality”, “don’t flaunt it”, “be male”, “be ruthless”.
The article says that the CCP is like
the largest private club in the world.
All new members have to swear the Party oath before the
Party’s flag – a yellow hammer and sickle on red background.
Membership can bring high status and significant privileges.
These include access to restricted information and a chance
to meet people who can help with your job prospects.
The article states that nowadays, leaders have to climb
a tangled bureaucracy, which demands total obedience.
The party’s absolute control of politics and the media
means that any mistake could be your last.
If one doesn’t follow the party line closely,
he would have to pay a prohibitive price.
The most important factor in how far you rise is your patron,
or kaoshan in Chinese – meaning the mountain you rely on.
This is easy for children of high-level officials.
They have the help and protection
of their parents’ networks of influence.
Commentator Liu Guohua: “The way a CCP leader becomes
a senior authority totally goes again democracy.
Whether a CCP leader can stand out or not
mainly depends on the political route he follows.
In other words, it depends on if
one has chosen the right faction.
If you made a right choice, you will be promoted.
With regards to development of the country or opinions
of ordinary people, those things are far less important.”
The article also points out that China’s future leaders
need to have done time far from the comforts of Beijing.
President Hu Jintao spent four years in Tibet,
which is seen as a particularly arduous posting.
One of the rising stars among China’s younger leaders,
49-year-old Hu Chunhua, is serving time in Inner Mongolia.
In addition, being male is also a critical factor.
No woman has ever reached the Politburo’s Standing
Committee, its highest decision-making body.
In the wider, 24-strong Politburo, only
one woman, Liu Yandong, has a seat.
Wang Juntao, expert in Politics at Columbia
University, thinks that the 7 factors mentioned in the article should be treated selectively.
Some of them are not necessary factors.
Actually, the familiarity of the CCP’s faction
struggles and the knowledge of taking advantage of them are very important.
Wang Juntao: “For example, when the CCP leaders
take office in arduous places, they don’t really experience the hardship of life over there themselves.
I think they just talk about it in this way.
In a certain way, you can meet all 7 factors.
In some circumstances, one might need
to do things opposite to the 7 factors.”
At the end of the article, it quoted Professor Pei Minxin.
“If you get pushed out of power, they make sure
you never come back. You don’t just lose your job.
They go after your family and destroy your name.”
This is the ruthlessness of the CCP political system.
Commentator Lin Zixu: ”Regarding the CCP’s actual situation,
among all 7 factors, I think being ruthless is most accurate.
In order to climb the CCP’s regime system,
one has to be ruthless. Just like Bo Xilai.
He can beat his own father cruelly in order to protect himself.
Deng Xiaoping made the order to shoot weaponless
students, in order to maintain the CCP’s interest.”
Li Zixu also stated that “following the party’s interest”
by continuously oppressing one’s humanity is the key that CCP officials can climb up in the system.
Another commentator, Liu Guohua, thinks that with the
worldwide exposure of the inhumane live organ harvesting,
the CCP will be soon face justice and be severely punished.
This will be just like the justice the
Nazi’s faced after World War II.
Liu calls for ordinary people, and CCP officials, to recognize
the CCP’s atrocities, and quit from the CCP’s organizations.
