【新唐人2012年9月22日讯】最近，跌跌不休的中国股市在周四再创新低后，周五开低震荡小幅上扬，但后继无力。显然市场低迷气氛未减。稍早前，有大陆官方经济学者指称，中国股市不缺钱，缺的是信心。但有专家和业内人士则认为，目前大陆不仅缺钱、还缺信心。
中国股市在20号继续跌到新低点，沪指以2024.84收盘，创下43个月以来新低，股指再度接近岌岌可危的2000点保卫战关卡；A股市值一天蒸发了5000亿人民币；深证成指也大跌2.72%。紧跟着，周五股市小跌开盘后不久转黑翻红，但力道薄弱，最终，几指都在平盘上下收盘。
投资咨询经理人施先生21号向《新唐人》透露，只作国内股票市场等产品的分析师或经理人，基本目前已经无路可走。曾经风光的证券经理，现在一个月只领2千元人民币。
投资咨询经理人施先生：“这两年，基本上都是客户也亏钱，他们也没得干。因为客户都亏钱，那你有什么好搞的。所以，现在，在国内做金融这一块的人，也是很困难。”
但大陆业内人士向媒体表示，在资金层面，央行在连续三周净回笼后，重新加大资金投放力度。周四，实施了两种期限的逆回购操作，共计1600亿人民币，全周净投放1010亿人民币，值得关注。
经济学家，“美国南卡罗莱纳大学”艾肯商学院教授谢田就此向《新唐人》表示，逆回购操作，事实上，和美联储推出QE3第三次量化宽松的本质是一样的。也就是，中共当局通过买回债券向市场体系注入现金。
经济学家谢田：“其中有一部分可能会投向房市和股市。要这样的话也许会对股市、房市带动一些刺激作用，但最关键的问题或更大的影响，是这些资金继续投入市场的话，肯定会进一步推高中国的通货膨胀。”
据报导，今年以来，全球股市不论是美国或欧洲，三大股指累计都上涨，上行最低5.67%、最高25.30%﹔而亚洲主要市场中，截至20号收盘，日经225指数今年以来累计上行7.47%，香港恒生指数则累计上行了11.70%。
相比之下，虽然，中共国家统计局的资料显示，中国上半年的GDP第一季度增长8.1%，第二季度增长7.6%。但上证综指今年以来累计下行了7.94%，深证成指则累计下行了8.03%。A股的总市值则缩水超过1万亿人民币。
一些机构的所谓操盘手，仍然不断发出讯息，声称，股市已处低位，可以进场布局。施先生认为，这些建议都是骗人。
投资咨询经理人施先生：“很多买了股票的人出不来，就没办法；没买股票的人基本上他不会随随便便，在目前那种情况下，做什么抄底这种想法的，新股民现在也不多，因为市场不好，谁也不去弄这个事情，弄这个事情大家都是觉得他脑渗水的、入水的，肯定。”
中共当局长期以来粉饰的荣景，为什么难以再现？上周三，人大常委会委员、经济学家辜胜阻向媒体表示，中国不缺钱，但对于中国资本市场而言，缺的是信心。
但谢田分析，事实上，中共中央完全靠大量的，印钞票来刺激投资，因此而造成严重通货膨胀；而许多地方当局目前以贷款来发放工资，也很缺钱。
经济学家谢田：“那一般的百姓他们在房价这么高﹔医疗、教育的费用这么高﹔通货膨胀也上涨得这么快，百姓肯定是缺钱。我想不缺钱的人，可能就是高干子弟、中共高官、裙带关系者，就是这个既得利益集团，占中国的可能0.5％的这种极少数的人，他们是不缺钱。”
中国有法律，但没有真正的法治。谢田指出，股市实际上是中共当局一个“圈钱的工具”，散户、小户的利益得不到保障，当然赚不到钱。
采访编辑/梁欣 后制/钟元
Shanghai Stock Index Reached the Lowest Point in 43 months,
Will it Break 2000 points?
Recently, the Chinese stock market decreased continually.
On Thursday Sep.20th, it reached a new low point.
On Friday Sep. 21st, it opened low and slightly increased
later but had no power to rise higher.
The downturn atmosphere is still covering the market.
Earlier, some Chinese economic scholars said that the Chinese
stock market isn’t short of money, but lack of confidence.
Many experts and industry insiders also thought that China
isn’t short of money, but lack of confidence.
On Sep. 20th, the Chinese stock market fell to a new low.
The Shanghai stock index closed at 2024.84, the lowest in
43 months, and closed at 2000, a critical point.
In A stock market, the market value shrunk 500billion RMB
in one day, and the Shenzhen stock index decreased 2.72%.
On Friday, the stock market opened low,
but increased a little bit after a while.
Finally, all the Chinese stock indexes closed at the same level
as the beginning of the day.
Mr. Shi is an investment consulting manager, he told NTD on
Sep. 21st that in China the stock analyst or manager has no future because there’s no future.
They only have 2000 RMB monthly income now.
Mr. Shi: “In the past two years, the customer has been losing
money and the stock analyst has nothing to do.
Because the customers were losing money, you can do nothing.
So, it’s very hard to be a stock analyst now.”
Some industry insiders said that from the funding level,
the central bank restarted to increase the investment
after three weeks’ net recovery of funds.
On Thursday, it launched two types of reverse repurchase,
the total amount is 160Billion RMB.
The total net investment of this week reached 101Billion RMB,
which attracted outsiders’ focus.
The economist Xie Tian is professor of Aiken Business School,
U.S. University of South Carolina. He told NTD that in fact,
the reverse repurchase is same as the QE3 (the third
Quantitative Easing) policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
It also means the CCP authority is giving the market cash
through buying the bonds.
Xie Tian: “One part of the money will be invested in
the real estate market and stock market.
It may stimulate the real estate market and stock market
a little bit but the key problem or the bigger impact is that
if the central bank invest in the market continually,
it will increase the inflation of China.”
According to reports, no matter if in U.S. or in Europe,
the main stock indexes are rising in this year.
The lowest increase is 5.67%, and the highest is 25.30%.
Even in Asia market, the Nikkei 225 Index increased
by 7.47% this year;
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index has increased by 11.70%.
In contrast, the China National Bureau of Statistics published
data that China GDP increased 8.1% in the first quarter and
7.6% in the second quarter. But the Shanghai index dropped
7.94% and the Shenzhen stock index decreased 8.03%.
And the A market value shrunk more than 1Trillion RMB.
Some so-called super-stock traders said continually that
the market is in the lowest point now and it’s the best time
to enter. Mr. Shi though those words are fooling investors.
Mr. Shi: “The investors who bought many stocks can’t
leave the market and have no solution.
The person who doesn’t have any stock will not enter
the market casually.
Under the current situation, including many new investors,
few people think now they should go bargain-hunting.
People will think the investor has some spiritual disease
if they invests the stock market now. Certainly!”
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has dedicated
to whitewash prosperity. Why this time doesn’t it work?
On Wednesday, Gu Shengzu, a member of Chinese Standing
Committee of the National People’s Congress told the media
that China isn’t short of money, but for China Capital market,
it’s lack of confidence.
Xie Tian analyzed that CCP central committee relies on
printing cash to stimulate the economy, creating tremendous inflation.
Many local authorities use loans to pay salaries.
They are very lacking in money.
Xie Tian: “The normal people must be lacking in money
since house prices are so high, the cost of healthcare and
education are so high, the inflation has increased so fast,
people must be lacking money.
I think the people who have enough money are the princelings,
CCP senior officials and others who have special relationships with CCP senior officials.
These are the vested interest groups whose population
is about 0.5% of Chinese. They aren’t lacking money.”
China has law, but doesn’t have a real law ruling system.
Xie Tian pointed out that in fact, the stock market is a tool
that the CCP use to collect money.
The interests of small investors or individual investors
can’t be protected, and they can’t make money.
