【新唐人2012年9月18日讯】连日来，中国多个城市的反日风潮蔓延，一些地区出现“义和团”式的打砸抢烧，场面失控，而一些地区出现了反对中共的标语。诡异的是，有些地区还出现了有组织的游行队伍，高举极左和为薄熙来翻案的标语。在中共18大前夕，这波杀气腾腾的反日潮，隐藏着什么样的政治黑手呢？
香港《苹果日报》17号报导，继15号大陆52个城市爆发反日潮，16号，再有85个城市爆发反日示威。其中，北京、西安、长沙、青岛、深圳、广州等地出现打砸抢行为。同时，在反日的游行队伍中，也出现了反对中共的标语和口号。
深圳数万示威者16号上午在反日旗帜下，冲击深圳市委。双方爆发激烈冲突，除了发射催泪弹和水炮，当局甚至出动警用直升机低空监视，现场气氛一度紧张。
有广州示威者则打出“要政改、要自强”、“自由、民主、宪政保钓”等大横幅，并出现身穿旧军装的退伍军人方队。
与此同时，大陆网上疯传一名男子带头砸毁日本车的画面。经网友人肉搜索发现，这位身穿印有“打倒小日本”字样T恤衫的中年男子，是陕西省西安新城分局胡家庙派出所所长朱锢，跟随他身后的则是派出所联防队员。
不过，西安市公安局官方微博于17号发布消息，声称网传信息造谣。
美国“南卡罗莱纳大学”教授谢田分析认为，这次的游行背景复杂，既有中国民众自发的抗议，也有趁机发泄对中共不满的，但其中有一部分背后则有中共的影子。
美“南卡罗莱纳大学”教授谢田：“目前的政局非常诡异。它这个副主席突然失踪十几天，突然又出来。这里面显示中共内斗加剧。从广泛的社会角度看，中共已经失去了民心。现在看来，显然是有中共当局（高层）自己在操纵这个游行。”
不过，谢田认为，中共的这种玩火行为，弄不好就会烧到自己，搬起石头砸自己的脚。
而北京独立学者章立凡在接受《美国之音》采访时，提出了一些疑问。他提问：中共18大即将召开，谁是目前形势的获利者？此时又是谁最不愿意看到18大召开？
谢田 ：“如果有人不希望18大开成的话，那显然是中共内部的人士了。因为18大分赃不均，或者他没有得到该得的权力，他不满哪！”
另外，美国“乔治梅森大学”客座教授章天亮认为，这次的反日示威活动，与以往有所不同。因为现在的中共高层处于分裂状态，而政法委和主管宣传的这2名党棍在18大后又极有可能出局。
美“乔治梅森大学”教授章天亮：“过去每当中共有内忧时，它经常通过对外的抗日来转移视线。但是这一次，中共高层是分裂的，相对来讲，周永康这一派还是不想放弃权力，这一次，我感觉政法委在后面操纵的可能性非常大。特别是现在爆出来很多武警、公安穿上便衣后带头打砸。”
更为诡异的是，网路图片显示，多地出现身穿毛泽东时代旧式绿军装的有组织游行队伍。有些示威者甚至打着为薄熙来造势的横幅招摇过市。
章立凡问，到底是谁在挑动这些毛左闹事造反？
章天亮：“周永康没有了接班人，同时他跟薄熙来一块算计习近平这个事情又被曝光。下台之后可能马上面临被追究责任，对他来说这是一个性命攸关的事情。他不愿意下台是很自然的。这次反日，他在后面挑动，大家都很容易看明白。”
不过，不管是哪一派系的操纵，这次的“反日”游行，部分变成“反中共”，让当局自陷失控。18大临近，反日风潮延烧，中共又当如何收场呢？
谢田指出，在目前中国内部矛盾日益尖锐的情况下，中共如果再动用武力来镇压的话，可能面临中国民众巨大的反弹。在这种反弹中，中共政权很可能就解体了。所以，现在的中共，真可谓是战战兢兢、如履薄冰。
采访/田净 编辑/王子琦 后制/王明宇
Anti-Japanese Movements bring the CCP into the Mire
Recently anti-Japanese campaigns spread to
many Chinese cities.
Some areas saw vandalism as fierce as in the
Boxer rebellions.
Other areas saw slogans against the CCP,
and even leftist slogans in support of Bo Xilai.
Before the CCP’s 18th Assembly, what lies behind
these violent anti-Japanese campaigns?
Hong Kong Apple Daily reported that on Sept. 16th,
anti-Japanese demonstrations broke out in 85 Mainland cities.
Beijing, Xi’an, Changsha, Qingdao, Shenzhen, Guangzhou
and other cities saw violent vandalism.
In anti-Japanese parades there appeared banners and slogans
against the CCP.
Under anti-Japanese banners, tens of thousands of demonstrators
attacked Shenzhen Municipal Committee on Sept. 16th.
Besides tear gas and water cannons, the authorities even
dispatched a police surveillance helicopter over the crowd.
the atmosphere became very tense for a while.
Guangzhou protesters held banners saying “Political Reform,
Self-improvement", and “Freedom, Democracy, Constitutionalism."
Veterans also formed teams wearing old uniforms.
Meanwhile, a widely circulated picture on Mainland internet
shows a man taking the lead to smash Japanese cars.
Chinese netizens identified this “middle-aged man in
anti-Japanese T-shirt” to be Zhu Ge, who is the director of a Xi’an police station.
Those following him were police personnel
from the same station.
However, Xi’an Public Security Bureau’s microblog announced
on the 17th that internet information is mere rumor.
Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina, said that
these anti-Japanese campaigns have complex backgrounds.
Some Chinese people voluntarily voiced their anti-Japanese
sentiments,
others took the opportunity to vent their dissatisfaction
with the CCP, still others were supported by the CCP itself.
Xie Tian: “China’s current political situation is very strange.
The CCP’s vice chairman suddenly reappeared after over ten days’ disappearance.
It reveals the CCP’s intensified infighting and the fact that
the CCP has lost the support of the people.
Now it seems clear that the CCP is manipulating the protests."
Xie Tian also said that the CCP will burn itself with its own fire.
In an interview with Voice of America,
Beijing independent scholar Zhang Lifan asked
who would Benefit from the CCP’s 18th Assembly and
who would hate to see it coming.
Xie Tian: “Those against the CCP’s 18th Assembly must
come from within the CCP.
They are dissatisfied because they did not get
their share of interests.”
Visiting professor at George Mason University
Zhang Tianliang Believes that
these anti-Japanese demonstrations are different
from those seen in the past.
Now the CCP is disunited. After the 18th Assembly
the CCP will cancel the two positions in its
Central Committee respectively the Politics and
Law Committee and the department for propaganda.
Zhang Tianliang: “Whenever it had internal problems,
the CCP has always resorted to anti- Japanese sentiments to divert public attention.
This time, the CCP is divided at the top level.
Zhou Yongkang’s faction still hesitates to hand over power.
I feel it quite possible that the Politics and Law Committee is
behind these protests,
especially given the proofs of policemen
leading the acts of vandalism.”
More strangely, many internet pictures show groups
in military uniforms of the Mao era.
Some demonstrators even held banners supporting Bo Xilai.
Zhang Lifan asked who provoked these leftists to make trouble.
Zhang Tianliang: “Zhou Yongkang has lost his successor.
Meanwhile, his collaboration with Bo Xilai against Xi Jinping has been exposed.
After stepping down, he might immediately face punishment.
So it is natural that he does not want to step down.
It is also understandable that he is
behind these anti-Japanese protests.”
No matter who started these protests,
the campaigns have partly become anti-Communist.
As the 18th Assembly approaches,
how will CCP handle the anti-Japanese sentiments?
Xie Tian pointed out that if the CCP still tries to crack down
on the protests, it will probably face resistance from the entire public.
In that case, the CCP will soon face disintegration.
Now the CCP is indeed tiptoeing on thin ice.
