【新唐人2012年5月2日讯】在中国，薄熙来倒台事件还在持续，紧接着维权人士陈光诚逃出中共软禁，再次震撼当局。最近有外媒发表一篇名为“四大震惊可能改变中国”的文章，内容提到在过去的四个月以来，中共经历了四大震惊，而这些冲击波很有可能会影响到中共在中国社会的“领导地位”。到底是哪四大震惊呢？现在就让我们一起来了解。
文章所指的四大震惊，首先是在去年12月13号，广东乌坎村民起义，赶跑了地方的贪官和警察，取得了乌坎的自主权。
第二个是2月27号，中共国务院“发展研究中心”与“世界银行”合作，发出“中国2030（China 2030)）报告，公开警告说，中国自诩 中国2030的国家资本主义模式不能维持经济增长，不能带领中国进入下一个水平。
第三是，重庆市公安局长王立军夜逃美领馆，4月10号，重庆的共产党领导人薄熙来被解除职务，赶出了中央政治局。
接着，4月27号，盲人维权人士陈光诚，在网友协助下避开警卫，逃出在山东农村被软禁的家，抵达北京，进入美国大使馆避难。文章指出，这四个冲击可能改变中国。
经济专家谢田：“你要说导致中国改变的话，我觉的镇压法轮功也是一点，六.四也是另外一点，不论怎么说，我觉得他这个看法现在看到这个现象是准确的。中国的巨变在西方人看来，西方研究者看来中共马上要垮台，我们在海外研究中国问题学者和其他人来看，实际上已经不可逆转在进行之中。”
中共接二连三发生的丑闻，已经让中国人民厌倦腐败和地方政府的无能。
时事评论员蓝述表示，尤其是陈光诚事件，反映了凌驾于中国宪法之上的中共体制是一个极权统治。
时事评论员蓝述：“中共和这个法治社会不相容和宪法彻底的对立，和中国社会的最大的农民群体的民主要求不可相容，这方方面面的体现出来的中共它已经走到了穷途末路了，这种情况之下，它表现出来，实际上是这个北京领导人它必须抛弃中共的这个旧的体制，它才有可能把中国社会引向未来，这个是一个非常值得北京领导人去思考的问题。”
蓝述认为，改变中国的唯一的一条出路就是放弃这个共产主义的体制，抛弃共产党，只有这样做，中国才有未来。
时事评论员蓝述：“现在很明显中共的这个体制有相当一部分人不愿意放弃它，是因为把持权利的这一批人里面，有一批人他们手上沾有对中国的异议人士（包括法轮功）对他们镇压，他们手上有血债，他们害怕一旦放弃权力，或者说一旦进行改革失去权力之后，他们自己会受到清算。”
经济专家谢田：“我同意当前分析，就是势必涉及到这个周永康政法委的问题，最后江泽民整个的这个血债派，中共血债派的这些领导人。如果中国胡温政权，他能真正的从现在开始把这个政法委毒瘤解除掉，甚至把共产党从内部解体的话，我想对全中国人民和对他自己都是有好处的。”
谢田进一步表示，中共已经欠下太多的血债，胡温应该在这个关键时刻跟“血债派”分裂，这样才可能改变中国。
采访/朱智善 编辑/黄容 后制/郭敬
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Media Reports Four Shocks That May Change China
With the effects of the Bo Xilai event spreading in China,
the escape of human rights activist Chen Guangcheng gave
another shock to the CCP.
Recently, a Forbes article was published entitled
“Four Shocks That Could Change China.”
This article mentioned that the CCP had experienced four
major shocks in the past four months.
These shock waves may affect the CCP’s
“leadership position” in China.
What are the four shocks? We discuss this together.
The first of the four shocks refers to the Wukan event.
On Dec. 13 2011, Wukan villagers in Guangdong started
an uprising.
They gained the autonomy of Wukan and drove away
local corrupt officials and police.
The second shock refers to the “China 2030” report
published by Development Research Center of the CCP
State Council and the World Bank.
The report warned publicly that CCP praising the national
capitalist model can neither sustain economic growth,
nor push China to enter the next level.
The third shock refers to the Wang Lijun event.
Wang Lijun from the Public Security Bureau in Chongqing
escaped to the U.S. Consulate at night.
On Apr. 10, Bo Xilai, the CCP leader in Chongqing
was removed from his position in the Politburo.
The last shock is that of Chen Guangcheng.
Chen is a blind human right activist.
On Apr. 27, he escaped from house arrest in rural Shandong
with the help of several friends recognized through internet.
After escape, he arrived in Beijing and entered into the U.S.
Embassy seeking asylum.
The Forbes article pointed out that these four shocks
may change China.
” Economic expert Xie Tian: “When you mentioned
changes in China, I think one should be Falun Gong.
Another should be June 4th event.
Whatever the article pointed, I agree with the idea–western
researchers noted that the CCP is going to step down.
And from the points of overseas researchers on China
issues, the change is now irreversibly in process.”
With one CCP scandal after another, Chinese people are
now tired of corruption and local government incompetence.
Commentator Lan Shu said the Chen Guangcheng event
reflects the CCP’s totalitarian rule over the Constitution.
Lan Shu: “The CCP is incompatible with the Constitution,
and it is incompatible with democracy requirements。
from farmers, the largest group in Chinese society.
From all aspects, show that the CCP are walking towards its end.
Thus, the reality for Beijing’ leaders would be:
giving up the Communism system,
this is the only possible way which will lead China to a good future,
this indeed need to considered by Beijing’ leaders.”
Lan Shu thinks the only way to change China
is to give up the CCP system.
Only by doing so will China has a bright future.
Lan Shu: “Obviously, a considerable proportion of people
inside the CCP system do not want to give it up.
Some of the powerful people overwhelm
the dissidents, including Falun Gong.
They have blood in their hands. They are afraid of giving
up power, or losing power through reform.
They know they will be liquidated.”
Economic expert Xie Tian: “I agree with the current analysis.
These events are bound to involve Zhou Yongkang
and Politics and Law Committee.
They even involve Jiang Zemin and the total
‘blood-debt group.’
If Hu-Wen starts to remove this malignant tumor
and disintegrate the CCP internally, it will be benefit
to all the Chinese and themselves.”
Xie Tian further pointed out that the CCP
owes too much blood.
At this critical moment, Hu-Wen should draw a line under
the “blood-debt group”, then they can change China.
