【新唐人2012年4月30日讯】在美国上市的“新浪公司”近期发布2011年财务报告，新浪在风险提示中向投资者表示，中共政府对互联网的监管及新闻信息审查，可能严重影响微博的运营能力。甚至可能导致微博终结。专家指出，这种担忧不是杞人忧天。如果中国出现大的动荡，中共有可能关闭微博。
4月28号上午，“新浪”在官方网站和美国证券交易委员会（SEC）网站同时发布了2011年财报，财报中强调“微博”这一新兴“社交媒体”，给“新浪”估值带来巨大提升，但财报坦言，“新浪微博”暂时还没有找到合适的“货币化”营利模式，并对政府过度的监管表示担忧。
今年3月31号到4月2号，“新浪”、“腾讯”等四大微博网站因所谓“传播谣言”，被要求暂停“评论”功能。对于政府的网络审查，“新浪”表示，“可能因此担责或不得不放弃以此内容盈利”，而“如果未来政府决定限制通过微博传播信息，微博将受到损害甚至被迫关闭”，那么，这将对网站的流量、商业模式的盈利能力及品牌估值产生负面影响。
财报还提到“实名认证”工作并没有完成。去年12月16号北京市规定，微博网站应在3个月内对用户进行规范，否则将不能使用微博全部功能。财报表示，过于激进的强制认证，将导致微博流量的降低及用户活跃度下降，这一情况实际上已经出现，有部分已获得认证的用户还被记录并限制发言。“新浪”还担忧实名认证的“进度不力”或招致重大惩罚。
原“雅虎中国”总经理的谢文表示，中共当局的网络监管和审查，注定互联网公司存在盈利风险。
原“雅虎中国”总经理谢文： “谁都知道是个大风险，公司自己完全控制不了。 这种（风险）对互联网始终都有，只不过微博的服务形式使得问题更加突出。”
尽管微博这种新兴社交媒体已经深入中国人的生活，但专家认为，当局让微博一夜之间消失也不是不可能的事情。
互联网实验室共同创办人王俊秀：“ 有可能，有可能，还是有可能。所以微博它永远写着一个测试版。你发现没有？他不是一个完整的产品对外的，所谓测试版就是我可以随时关。”
文化评论家叶匡政：“当这种来自民众的抗争的力量越来越明显的时候，政府无法控制的时候，那个时候也很难说，政府会把微博关闭掉。当他感到有足够威胁度的时候，他是任何事都可能做出来的。比如某个地方出现很大混乱，新浪微博被关闭的可能性很大。”
“独立中文笔会”网委协调人野渡则炮轰新浪缺乏企业伦理道德，跟当局同流合污。但对于中国互联网公司在夹缝中求生的艰难处境，野渡也表示同情和理解。
独立中文笔会网委协调人野渡：“现在他在这个环境下，更多的看到是对政府部门进行公关手段，也就是俗称的官商勾结。因为在目前这个体制下，企业如果不和政府部门进行一定程度的公关的话，几乎是不可能生存的。这也是为什么一般国内企业没有伦理道德准则很重要的原因。”
新浪财报显示，“新浪微博”注册用户已经突破3亿大关，用户每日发博量超过1亿条。
采访编辑/秦雪 后制/钟元
Internet censorship raises investment risks on Chinese IT
companies, especially on micro-blogging services
The SINA Corporation recently announced it’s 2011 financial
report .
In the report, SINA suggested to the investors that there are
risks from the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) censorship on the Internet and news messages,
which could possibly impair or even terminate
it’s business on micro-blogging services.
Experts believed that such worries were not groundless which
might become true if a massive disturbance occurs in China.
In the morning of April 28th, SINA Corporation filed it’s 2011
annual financial report.
It posted them on both it’s official website and the website of
the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
The report underlined it’s business on micro-blogging service,
which as a newly developing media had boosted SINA’s value.
However, the report also acknowledged that SINA had yet to
find a proper profit mode for micro-blogging service,
and had great concerns on the excessive censorship
from the CCP.
Between March 31st and April 2nd, the largest four micro-blog
sites in China including sina.com and qq.com,
were mandated to suspend commenting
on micro-blog messages by the CCP.
On the official policy of Internet censorship, SINA’s report
claimed that,
“the company might incur unexpected responsibilities because
of this and have to give up in making profiting from micro-blogs”.
The report also said that, “Any more restrictions on micro-blog
messages in the future would impair or terminate services”.
The report also revealed that the real-name system on micro-
blog sites had not been completed yet.
On December 16th, 2011, the CCP put a new regulation into
practice, requiring all micro-blog sites to restrict their users
over the next three months from using all the functions if
they were not registered under their real identities.
Former Yahoo China’s president, Xie Wen said CCP monitoring
and censoring the Internet raised issues for IT companies.
They could no longer make any profits.
(Former Yahoo China’s president Xie Wen) says: ” Everyone
knows it’s a huge risk completely beyond anyone’s control.
Such risk lies on all the Internet services but it’s especially
significant for micro-blogs.”
Although micro-blogs as a new type of social media have
become an important part of Chinese life,
experts still believe that the
CCP can still make an overnight prohibition on it.
(Co-founder of the Chinalab.com, Wang Junxiu) says:”
It’s possible, still possible to happen.
Therefore micro-blog sites always claim that they are still in
Beta (test) version.
Did you notice that? It’s still not a complete product so that
it can be closed at any time.”
(Cultural commentator Ye Kuangzheng) says: ”If the civil
opposition become more significant beyond CCP control, then it’s hard to tell.
The authority might close all the micro-blog sites.
After all the CCP will do anything when it feels threatened.
For example, if some massive disturbance breaks out,
it’s very possible that the Sina micro-blogs would be closed.”
Internet coordinator of the Independent Chinese PEN Center,
Ye Du criticized SINA for its lack of business ethics in
cooperating with the CCP rules.
At the same time, he also showed sympathy for IT companies
in China who had to struggle in a very difficult environment.
(Independent Chinese PEN Center member, Ye Du) says:”
Under the current conditions,
we mostly see companies try to establish good relations
with the CCP which is usually “official-business collusion”.
This is because the companies cannot survive the regime
without staying close to the CCP agencies.
That’s why you won’t find common business ethics followed
most Chinese corporations.”
According to SINA’s financial report, the registered users of
its micro-blog site have exceed 300 million posting more than 100 million messages daily.
