【新唐人2012年2月21日讯】重庆副市长王立军出逃美领馆，在中共官场掀起一轮又一轮的冲击波。中共最高当局如何处理王立军案，成为世界关注的焦点。最近，有传言说：王立军将以“精神障碍”结案，而薄熙来可能“软着陆”躲过这一劫。分析人士指出，这很可能是江泽民人马出于一厢情愿放出的假消息。
被撤除重庆公安局长职务的王立军前往美领馆避难，后被中央官员带到北京进行审查之后，关于中共最高层如何处理王立军案和薄熙来的未来去向，一直传言不断。
香港《明报》曾经援引相关消息说，中央已经初步定调，王立军涉及“极为严重的政治问题”。但不久前，重庆媒体报导网上“流传”一份关于王立军患有“重度抑郁症”的“诊断证明”。出具时间是2月4号，盖有“第三军医大学”大坪三院的公章，但没有医生署名，也没有编号。
《法国国际广播电台》近期引述北京政治评论人士李伟东在微博上的话说：已经确认（王立军）是间歇性幻想型精神病。因此是孤立突发个别事件。因此会平稳过渡。顶多是略丢脸，检讨下就算了。最多是﹙薄熙来﹚不入常﹙委﹚了。
对此，河北自由撰稿人朱欣欣对《新唐人》表示，中共各派实质上是“黑吃黑”的腐败利益集团，他们有着共同根本利益。为避免整个集团的崩溃，他们会尽量对薄熙来“内部处理”。
朱欣欣：“肯定会经过一番讨价还价，把他调离重庆，给他安排一个像征性的职务，给他调开，这么处理掉。但是常委肯定是入不成了，对他是个决定性的打击。”
北京宪政学者陈永苗则认为，当局为了18大顺利召开，很可能不会尽快作出相应处理。
陈永苗：“对于王立军，我觉得他的处置方案应该会在十八大以后，才会公开披露。到底是逮捕还是叛逃、还是重大政治错误，我觉得到十八大之后才能出现。”
2月9号，“第三军医大学”大坪三院向媒体证实，王立军患有“重度抑郁症”的“诊断证明”是伪造的。
另有报导说，薄熙来准备好关于王立军“重度抑郁”的诊断书之后，原本计划在2月7号，当他在云南视察时，让王立军“被自杀”。但没想到王立军提前出逃美领馆，从而使薄熙来计划败露。为掩盖真相，2月8号，重庆当局宣布王立军“接受休假式治疗”。
关于王立军将以“精神障碍”结案的说法，时政评论家章天亮分析指出，很可能是江系人马为了误导舆论而放出的假消息。
香港《明镜网》2月16号报导说，薄熙来很可能已经侥幸躲过这一劫。
网路传闻，薄熙来最有可能沿循“王乐泉模式”实现“软着陆”，但是，他的政治生命基本将结束。
章天亮指出，王立军事件已经成为国际事件，事件所曝光的薄熙来、周永康乃至江泽民的黑幕，已经不是江泽民所能控制和掩盖的。
美国《华盛顿时报》披露，王立军向美国方面提供了薄熙来和周永康密谋整垮习近平等惊人内幕。日前，美国国会已经要求欧巴马政府提交处理王立军案的相关资料。
新唐人记者秦雪、李谦、孙宁采访报导
Diagnose Wang Lijun with “Mental Disorders” to Release Bo Xilai?
Wang Lijun, the Chongqing vice-mayor, fled to the U.S.
Consulate in Chengdu , stirring up one wave after another.
How is the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) dealing with the
Wang incident, which has attracted the world’s attention.
Recently, there have been rumors saying that
Wang’s case will be closed
due to his “mental disorders”, then Bo Xilai may perhaps
be lucky enough to escape from this disaster.
However, analysts point out that this rumor
reportedly was spread by Jiang Zemin’s faction.
Wang Lijun, who was removed from his position as Chief of
Chongqing Police Bureau earlier, fled to the U.S. consulate in Chengdu.
Then the CCP Central senior officials took him to Beijing
from the Consulate for investigation.
Rumors are continuously spreading regarding how
the CCP central leaders will deal with Wang and Bo.
The Hong Kong “Ming Pao” quotes relative news that
the Central leaders have had an initial theme,
which is that Wang has been involved in “serious political issues”.
However, not long ago, Chongqing media reported that,
there is a “doctor’s diagnosis” being spread on the internet
that proves Wang is suffering “severe depression”.
It is dated February 4th with the stamp of the Third Daping
Hospital of the Third Military Medical University.
However, it doesn’t have doctor’s signature,
or a registered number.
Radio France Internationale quotes Beijing political
commentator Li Weidong on Weibo’s posts,
“It has been confirmed that Wang has been diagnosed with
intermittent fantasy psychosis.
The posts said that, therefore Wang’s case is an individual
incident, and that there will be a smooth transition.
The worst that will happen is that Wang will lose face and
will criticize himself. In addition, Bo will no longer have a chance to join the Standing Committee.
Zhu Xinxin, an independent writer told NTD that, the CCP is a
Corrupt group which acts as a mafia and fights like a mafia. They have similar basic interests.
In order to avoid its collapse, the CCP will try its best to
deal with Bo Xilai’s case internally.
Zhu Xinxin says, “There certainly will be a negotiation process.
Transferring Bo from Chongqing, arranging him a symbolic post.
Sending him away to remove him from public view.
However, he has no chance of joining the Standing Committee; this is a major blow for him.”
Chen Yongmiao, a Beijing Constitutional Scholar said that
the authority most likely will not take action immediately
because its first priority is that the 18th National Congress
must be allowed to progress smoothly.
Chen Yongmiao says:”I think that (the authority) will announce
the decision on Wang Lijun after the 18th National Congress.
Whether Wang’s action was avoidance of arrest, or a defection,
or a serious political mistake will be announced later.”
On February 9th, the Third Daping Hospital of
the Third Military Medical University said to media that
the “Diagnosis Certification” that alleges that
Wang Lijun suffered “Severe Depression” is forged.
Another report said that after Bo Xilai had prepared
the “Severe Depression” diagnosis,
he planned to let Wang Lijun “be suicided” on February 7th
when Bo himself was to visit Yunnan Prov.
But he hadn’t foreseen that Wang Lijun would flee to
the U.S. Consulate in advance.
So Bo’s plan was brought to light, and the Chongqing authority
had to announce that Wang was in “vacation-style therapy” on February 8th.
About the rumor that Wang’s case will be end with
a statement that Wang has “mental disorders”,
the political commentator Zhang Tianliang has said that,
this is clearly false news spread by the Jiang Zemin faction in an attempt to mislead public opinion.
The Hong Kong “Mirror Network” reported on February 16th
that Bo Xilai has very likely escaped from this incident with luck.
There are online rumors as well that are saying that Bo Xilai
will most likely have a “soft landing” in the Wang lequan mode.
But ultimately his political life is basically over.
Zhang Tianliang has pointed out that Wang’s case has become
an international incident.
The case has exposed the dark actions committed by Bo Xilai,
Zhou Yongkang and Jiang Zemin.
The current situation can’t be controlled or shielded by Jiang.
The U.S. “Washington Times” has disclosed that Wang Lijun
unveiled awful facts to the U.S. that Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang have worked together secretly to topple Xi Jinping.
Recently, U.S. congress has asked the Obama authority for
the documents which were used to deal with Wang’s case.
NTD reporters Qin Xue, Li Qian and Sun Ning
