【禁闻】GDP贡献率超美 专家:中共混淆概念

【新唐人2011年12月10日讯】大陆最近几天人民币汇率出现了贬值,大陆国新办日前发布中国首个《中国对外贸易》白皮书。商务部官员表示,中国对世界GDP增量的贡献率高于美国。经济学家表示,发展中国家的经济是从很低的基础开始增长,怎么可能超过已开发国家的经济贡献,中共利用偷换概念欺骗中国老百姓。

12月7号,中共国务院新闻办公室发表了《中国的对外贸易》白皮书,这是中共首份对外贸易白皮书。商务部官员在新闻发布会上说,2000到2009年中国对世界经济的累计贡献率已经超过20%,高于美国。

经济学家谢田表示,如果按中共商务部官员的话讲,好像是中国给世界经济贡献了20%,实际上不是这样。

谢田:“中国作为一个穷国,发展中国家,它这个增长是从很低的那些基础开始增长,就显得很快。所以这个增长本身并不是说对经济的贡献,而是对增长的贡献。所以,这个中共官员刻意把这两个概念给混淆起来。给人的印象好像中国经济对世界的贡献超过美国。中国的经济只有4、5万亿美元,它怎么可能超过15万亿美元的美国经济?这是明显的欺世谎言。”

国家统计局发布2011年上半年中国GDP总共204,459亿元,增长9.6%。随后传出各省市上报的GDP相差2万亿,显示地方政府普遍多报。中国GDP数据再次成为全球最大笑柄。

谢田:“中国这个经济数据(GDP)绝对是造假的。这个10%的数据,很多学者认为,可能只有百分之3到4,甚至还更低。最近看来呢,中国的经济已经出现了滞胀,就是说已经出现了停滞。”

自今年以来,温州许多中小企业因资金链断裂,而发生老板潜逃或跳楼自杀事件,许多企业倒闭、积欠员工薪资等。

市场营销专业人士刘先生:“根据这一段时间,广州、上海全国各地罢工浪潮比较大。那么它想通过这个东西来替一下事情,使大家不至于因这个东西造成混乱,怕国内的局势失控。这是一个方面。另一个方面,因为目前来讲,人民币的汇率不断的跌,很多外币资金它要撤离,它也是把这个东西放出来,安定这些急于脱身的外币资金。”

大陆《中国网》报导,本周四,人民币兑美元即期汇价跌0.5%,连续八天跌到日交易区间的下限,3年来罕见。中共商务部官员崇泉说,“人民币前两天出现了贬值,正说明中共政府从来没有操纵汇率。”

谢田:“这是政府控制的,当然是政府控制的。就是说在外汇挂牌的时候,每天、每个月和每个季度,浮动的幅度是多少,这些已经被中共政府限制了。在这个微小的幅度之内,才可以允许汇率上下有所变动,但一旦超过这个幅度的话,它马上就跌停,马上就停止交易。这是我们现在看到的情况,这个就是真正的操控。”

谢田最后表示,这就更说明,中共官员内心虚弱,担心中国的经济很快出现崩溃,而在全世界舆论和公众面前公然撒谎,欺骗中国的老百姓。

新唐人记者林莉、唐睿、王明宇采访报导。

China’s GDP Contribution Rate, A Confusing Concept

Recently, the RMB has experienced devaluation.

China’s State Council Information Office (SCIO) released
the first white paper on “China’s foreign trade”.
Officials from the Commerce Department claimed that
China’s proportion of global GDP has kept increasing,
with its current contribution rate to growth exceeding that
of the USA. Economists refuted that China’s economy started from a very low basis.
It is impossible to exceed the contribution to the global
economy from that of other developed countries.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is confusing
the concepts to mislead Chinese people.

On Dec.7, the SCIO released its first white paper on
“China’s foreign trade”.
An official from the Commerce Department claimed on
a news conference that
China’s accumulative contribution rate to the global economy
was over 20% from 2000 to 2009, exceeding that of the USA.

The economist Xie Tian said that what the official from the
CCP reported sounded like China had contributed 20% of the global economy, which was not the case.

Xie Tian said: “As a poor developing country, its growth
began from an extremely low basis, and so growth seemed to be fast as a result.
So this number does not refer to its contribution to the
global economy, but to economic growth.
This official deliberately confused these two concepts,
creating an illusion that China has contributed more than the USA to the global economy.
China only has an economy of 4 to 5 trillion USD.
How could it exceed the 15 trillion USD economy of the USA? It is not the case at all.”

The State Statistics Bureau released China’s GDP figures for
the first half of 2011 as being 20 trillion yuan, with a 9.6% growth rate.
Soon after, it was revealed that many local governments
exaggerated their figures by 2 trillion yuan in total.
China’s GDP thus became of some amusement to the world.

Xie Tian: “The GDP claimed by the Chinese government is
definitely fake.
The real growth rate, according to many economists might be
only 3 to 4% or even lower, rather than 10%.
Recently, China’s economy has started to experience
stagnation, meaning a standstill.”

Starting this year, many minor enterprises in Wenzhou City
had their owners either run away or commit suicide, because of the break in the fund-chain.
Many enterprises went bankrupt or delayed paying the wages
of their employees.

A marketing expert Mr. Liu said: “Recently, waves of strikes
have hit many places like Guangzhou and Shanghai.
On the one hand, the CCP intends to calm people down
with this report and thus avoid losing control.
On the other hand, the RMB exchange rate keeps dropping,
with many foreign investments being withdrawn.
The CCP released the report to retain the foreign investments.”

According to china.com.cn in mainland China, the RMB spot
exchange rate to USD decreased 0.5% this Thursday,
hitting the lower band of the daily transaction range over 8 days in a row,
which was a rare occurrence over the past three years.
Chong Quan, an official from the Commerce Department said:
“RMB has experienced a decrease recently, indicating that
the CCP government has never manipulated the exchange rate.”

Xie Tian said: “Of course, it is controlled by the government.
Before the foreign exchange is listed,
the floating range every day, every month or every season,
has been controlled by the CCP.
Within the allowed range, the exchange rate can float.
But once it runs beyond that range, the transactions are shut down immediately.
This fact indicates that is under the control of the CCP.”

Xie Tian also said that the facts show that CCP officials are
worried about the coming collapse of China’s economy,
and are therefore lying to the world’s media and general public,
misleading Chinese people.

NTD reporters Lin Li, Tang Rui and Wang Mingyu

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