【新唐人2011年8月18日讯】中共总书记胡锦涛近日考察深圳、广州等地，力挺团派的广东省委书记汪洋。8月16号，团派的李克强副总理破格访问香港，港台媒体认为，李克强此行确立了接任总理的地位。海内外专家指出，江泽民死讯传出后发生的一系列事件，已使江派遭到重挫。
新华社16号报导，李克强“视察香港特别行政区”。香港《苹果日报》表示，李克强访港被称为“视察”，是极为破格的说法。
英国BBC的分析指出，李克强破格访港在于替李克强“增加分数”。也有分析认为，李克强此行是为了壮大团派占上风的声威。
香港《开放》杂志去年曾发表题为《王歧山权压李克强》的文章。江泽民一手提拔起来的太子党王岐山，曾被认为是竞争下届总理的一匹黑马。
林和立(香港时事评论员)：“李克强副总理这次访问香港，更加明确了中共的安排，李克强假如没有什么意外，在十八大以后应该会接任国务院总理。”
台湾《中央社》16号援引消息人士的话表示，李克强接任总理的问题早已解决，也是因为这样，李克强才能访港。因此，根本不存在外界所说的透过香港来确立他接任地位的问题。
香港《动向》杂志去年援引来自北京高层的可靠消息说：李克强已经放弃了总书记职务的竞争，转而提前进入总理角色。汪洋成为团派推出的第二号总书记人选。
8月11号到15号，胡锦涛在深圳出席世界大学生运动会开幕式前后，由汪洋陪同，到深圳、广州等地高调考察。
林和立：“汪洋一般人理解他是所谓共青团派一个主要人物，尤其是国家主席胡锦涛今年来过广东三次，所以很明显胡锦涛支持汪洋进政治局常委。”
《法国国际广播电台》报导，香港时事评论员林和立表示，除了汪洋，团派的组织部长李源潮也会在十八大晋身政治局常委。至于重庆市委书记薄熙来则行情看淡。
朱健国(深圳独立作家)：“从胡锦涛这次过来看，北戴河的会议大政方针已经议定了，而且基本上是有利于胡锦涛的，否则胡锦涛不会这次来这么放手的离开北京，到底下来布局，力举汪洋和李克强整个动作。”
掀起“唱红打黑”以图进入中南海的薄熙来，则受到胡温的冷遇。自2007年底薄熙来主政重庆以来，在九名政治局常委中，唯独胡锦涛至今没有去过重庆视察。
在中共建党90周年过后，接连发生了江泽民死讯的传播、远华走私大案主犯赖昌星被引渡回国、温州动车追撞惨剧、大连PX化工厂溃堤泄露，引发中共高层大震动。
伍凡(《中国事务》主编)：“北戴河开会的时候正好赖昌星回去了，那赖昌星回去他直接牵扯到三个中央政治局常委：最深的交往就是贾庆林，现在可以看到贾庆林这张牌恐怕是已经要投降了，贺国强看来还没有完全投降，习近平现在是低调、不吭声。”
《博讯网》披露，贾庆林已经放弃了下届常委的自己接班人提名，并放弃自己所分管的三到四位省委书记和若干中央委员及省长、部长的提名权力。
北戴河会议期间，温州动车惨剧引发中国的民怨沸腾，主管铁道部的张德江和中央政法委书记周永康，被认定是下令毁尸灭迹的责任人；中宣部长刘云山和主管中宣部的李长春掩盖真相，这成了胡锦涛打击江派的又一把柄。
金钟(香港《开放》杂志主编)：“现在不管是江派还是胡派、是太子党还是团派上台执政，他们都还是共产党的一党专政，他们积累下来的践踏人权方面的很多旧案，他们都还没有偿清，当然也包括法轮功的这个大冤案在里面。”
美国哥伦比亚大学政治学博士李天笑指出，胡温在这一轮交易中明显占上风，胡温握有江泽民死定和赖昌星遭遣返这两张制胜王牌，江系人马惊慌失措，纷纷另寻新主。而中共政权也到了随时都会崩溃的“最危险的时刻”。
新唐人记者常春、李元翰、朱娣采访报导。
=====
CCP Factions’ Fights
Recently, when CCP’s (Chinese Communist Party) president
Hu Jintao was visiting Shenzhen, Guangzhou, etc.,
he showed support to Guangdong’s provincial CCP secretary
Wang Yang, a member of the “CCP Youth League faction.”
On August 16, CCP’s Vice Premier Li Keqiang, also
a member of the “league faction," made a visit to Hong Kong.
The media in Hong Kong and Taiwan commented that
Li’s visit signals his succession to the position of premier.
Experts point out the series of events taking place after
Jiang Zemin’s rumored death have hit his faction heavily.
On August 16, CCP’s Xinhua Agency reported Li Keqiang
has “inspected Hong Kong Special Administrative Region."
Hong Kong’s Apple Daily commented that the depiction
of Li’s visit as “an inspection"is considered exceptional.
BBC analyzed that Li’s unusual visit to Hong Kong
is designed to “increase his scores."
Some analysts believe that Li’s visit is
to enhance the prestige of the “league faction."
Hong Kong’s Open magazine published in 2010 an article,
entitled “Wang Qishan Pressures Li Keqiang with Power."
Wang Qishan, a CCP princeling handpicked by Jiang Zemin,
was considered a dark horse in the next premiership rivalry.
Willy Lam (Hong Kong’ political commentator): “Vice Premier
Li Keqiang’s visit to Hong Kong made CCP’s plans clearer.
If nothing unexpected takes place, Li should succeed
as a Premier after the (CCP’s) 18th congress."
Taiwan’ Central News Agency quoted sources on August 16,
saying that Li might have already been appointed a Premier,
because this would enable him to visit Hong Kong.
Thus there is no need for his position to be established
with his Hong Kong visit, as speculated by the outside world.
Hong Kong’s Trend magazine cited in 2010 reliable sources
from top leaders in Beijing, saying that Li had withdrawn
from the competition for CCP’s Secretary General position,
and he would become the next Premier.
Wang Yang became the No. 2 Secretary General candidate
recommended by the “league faction."
From August 11 to 15, Hu Jintao attended
the Universiade Games in Shenzhen.
Later he visited Shenzhen and Guangzhou,
accompanied by Wang Yang in high profile.
Willy Lam: “Most people consider Wang Yang a key person
of the so-called “CCP Youth League faction."
This year President Hu came to Guangdong three times,
supporting Wang Yang to enter the Standing Committee."
As per Radio France Internationale, Lam said that in addition
to Wang Yang, Minister Li Yuanchao from the “league faction"
would also become a Politburo Standing Committee member
at the CCP’s 18th congress.
Bo Xilai, the CCP Secretary of Chongqing and a member
of Jiang Zemin’s faction, seems to be getting “bearish."
Zhu Jianguo (Shenzhen-based independent writer):
“Judging from Hu Jintao’s visits,
CCP top officials’ Beidaihe meeting
has set the future major policies.
Otherwise, Hu wouldn’t leave Beijing to go to the provinces
to arrange the promotions of Wang Yang and Li Keqiang."
Bo Xilai started the “red song singing" campaign,
in an attempt to enter Zhongnanhai.
However, he is getting the cold shoulder from Hu Jintao.
After Bo became in charge of Chongqing in the end of 2007,
out of the nine Politburo Standing Committee members,
only Hu Jintao hasn’t come to Chongqing to inspect.
After the 90th anniversary of the CCP,
rumors of Jiang Zemin’s death started to spread.
Yuan Hua smuggling case’s principal culprit Lai Changxing
was extradited back to China,
Wenzhou high-speed train tragedy took place
and a PX chemical plant in Dalian leaked.
All these caused great shakes in the CCP’s top leadership.
Wu Fan (Editor-in-Chief, China Affairs magazine):
“Lai Changxing was repatriated during Beidaihe’s meeting.
Lai is linked to three Politburo Standing Committee members,
including Jia Qinglin, He Guoqiang and Xi Jinping.
Jia has probably surrendered (to the “league faction");
He has almost surrendered; and Xi is now very silent."
Boxun online revealed, Jia Qinglin had surrendered power
to nominate his successor on the next Standing Committee,
as well as other nomination power regarding
several provincial secretary and governor positions.
During the Beidaihe meeting, Wenzhou train crash caused
the Chinese people’s great resentment towards authorities.
Railways Minister Zhang Dejiang and Central Political and
Law Commission secretary Zhou Yongkang were identified
as the people who ordered to destroy the train wreckages
to obliterate evidences.
Central Propaganda Department head Liu Yunshan and
director Li Changchun covered up the truth about the crash,
which became another lever used by Hu Jintao
to attack Jiang Zemin’s faction.
Jin Zhong (Editor-in-Chief, Hong Kong’s Open magazine):
“Whether Jiang’s gang or Hu’s faction,
the princeling party or the league faction, the ruling faction
still implements CCP’s one-party dictatorship.
They still haven’t paid for their decades-long human rights
abuses, including the great injustice towards Falun Dafa.”
Dr. Li Tianxiao of Columbia University pointed out that Hu
and Wen clearly gained the upper hand in the recent events.
Hu and Wen hold the trump cards
of Jiang’s death and Lai’s repatriation.
As a result, the panicking Jiang faction members
have to find a new master.
At the same time, the CCP regime has arrived to
“the most dangerous point," when it can collapse at any time.
NTD reporters Chang Chun, Li Yuanhan and Zhu Di
