【新唐人2011年6月1日讯】中共惧怕北非、中东民众争取民主运动，会勾起类似“六四”这样的事件，它们收紧了对于民间社会的控制，以致中国的人权状况倒退到“六四”以来最糟糕的状态。前民运领袖认为，中共虽然强权镇压群众抗争，但引起六四运动的矛盾依然存在，一旦爆发，那就是中共死期。
虽然中共极力淡化“六四”并阻隔一切消息，但22年前的惨案并没有被遗忘，世界各地都在举行六四纪念活动。
六四学生领袖王丹认为，当年爆发八九民运原因是社会差距在加大、民主被压制、改革被阻止，学生们提出“要求民主，反对腐败，推进改革”三大主张，迅速得到了社会各界的广泛支持，导致八九民运。
但是，22年来，中共利用谎言和暴力继续抗拒民主，在言论管制和对待异议人士方面，比80年代更为倒退，从郭泉、到艾未未，只要提出民主要求，哪怕是温和的言论也会被处以重刑；22年来，经济改革虽然继续发展，但是已经到了瓶颈，腐败现象不仅没有遏制，而且进一步体制化，社会不公造成不同阶层极端对立；薄熙来在重庆大搞“红色政治”， “文革”的阴影已经出现。
那么，我们有什么理由认为八九民运再也不会发生了呢？
六四民运学生领袖郑存柱：“中国是个很大的国家， 像发生六四这么大规模的民主的活动，一定会有突发的事情像下岗工人、退伍军人，类似这样群体的共鸣，有这样的突发事件有可能会正式引起大规模的要求中国改变、要求中国改革的事情，这种发生也是有可能的。”
而人权活动家、六四学生领袖唐柏桥认为，中共每天都在镇压老百姓，社会处在没有正义的黑暗时期：像艾未未、和爆炸案中向中共讨说法的钱明奇、以及无数为保护家园的上访者，还有千千万万坚持信仰的法轮功学员，都是被中共肆意迫害的典型。
六四学生领袖唐柏桥：“现在中国人民有权利、有义务、有责任对抗暴政，不能再这样任意中共这样践踏，为所欲为下去。在中共统治下的所有的地区、所有的民族，不分老少、不分性别、不分宗教信仰，一个志向就是推翻暴政，尽快结束残暴统治，还我们家园，让我们国家尽快的进入一种文明。”
这个月，内蒙古爆发了好几波的群众示威。据传，六四屠城主力第38军团已奉命调往内蒙古。那么，假如出现八九民主运动，中共军队会向老百姓开枪吗？
郑存柱：“在22年前，邓小平之所以胆子那么大，像有杨尚昆这样的老的军人，或老一辈的共产党领导人存在，他们有一定的权威，22年以后，如果中国再发生大规模民主运动的话，我想胡锦涛、或者是将来的接班人习近平、李克强等等，他们可能没有这个胆量下令让军队来进行镇压。”
郑存柱表示，现在的中共领导人他们在党内和军队里面没有威望，一旦发生类似八九民主运动，可能会出现像当年第38军徐勤先军长抗命屠杀学生的情况。郑存柱说，可能会有更多军人加入反抗、兵变，甚至出现象罗马尼亚那样的结局。
新唐人记者周玉林、宋风、肖颜采访报导。
CCP Tightens Grip for June 4
In fear of another June 4 Movement,
trigged by democratic movements in North Africa
and the Middle East, the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP) has tightened control. China’s human rights
situation is in its worst state since 1989’s June 4.
Former pro-democracy leaders believe
that although CCP might suppress the protests,
conflicts related to the June 4 Movement still exist.
Once they start, this will be the end of CCP’ regime.
Although the CCP is trying to play down June 4
and censors any information on it,
the June 4 Movement is not forgotten. Activities
are held all over the world to commemorate June 4.
Student leader, Wang Dan, thinks the causes
of the 1989 democratic movement were
a widened social gap, suppression of democracy,
and a halting of reforms. The students requested to
“eliminate corruption, promote democracy, reform.”
They quickly received support from all professions,
leading to the 1989 Democratic movement.
However, over the past 22 years, the CCP continues
to resist democracy through lies and violence.
Its control on speech and treatment of dissidents
is even worse than in the 1980’s. Take the examples
of Guo Quan and Ai Weiwei, whoever proposes
democracy receives heavy penalties.
Although China’s economic reforms continued
during the past 22 years, they reached a bottleneck.
The CCP has failed to control corruption.
In addition, it has further centralized its power.
Social inequality has resulted in extreme conflicts
among social classes. In addition, Bo Xilai’s
“red politics” campaign in Chongqing
reminds people of the Cultural Revolution pains.
Then, what reason do we have to believe
that the June 4 Movement will not happen again?
Zheng Cunzhu (former leader of June 4 Movement):
“China is a big country. A mass-scale movement
like June 4 needs a sudden event to happen
and be supported by the unemployed, veterans, etc.
It is possible for such a sudden event to happen,
and trigger a large-scale demand from people
for change and democratic reforms. “
Human rights activist and student leader
Tang Baiqiao thinks that China is in a dark age
without justice under the CCP’s suppression.
Ai Weiwei, Qian Mingqi, tens of thousands
of petitioners and Falun Gong practitioners
are all examples of those persecuted by the CCP.
Tang Baiqiao (student leader, 1989 Movement):
“Chinese people have the right, obligation
and responsibility to fight against tyranny.
We should no longer allow the CCP to do whatever
they want to violate the rights of Chinese people.
People of all regions, nationalities, age, gender,
or religion work together to overthrow tyranny,
end the brutal rule, and have our homes back,
so our country enters a democratic society stage.”
Several waves of mass demonstrations took place
in Inner Mongolia this month. Accordingly,
Army 38th, the main force behind 89 crackdown,
has been ordered to transfer to Inner Mongolia.
If there will be democratic movements again,
will the Chinese military open fire on people?
Zheng Cunzhu: “22 years ago when Deng Xiaoping
gave the order to open fire against unarmed people,
he had the authority and old CCP generals’ support.
If now large-scale democratic movements umfolds,
I do not think Hu Jintao or any of his successors,
such as Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang have the nerve
to order the troops to fire at people.”
Cheng expressed that present CCP leaders
do not have prestige in the army.
If a similar event occurs, there might be resistance
from the army, just like the former commander
of the 38th Army Xu Qinxian who resisted the order
to open fire on people. More soldiers might even
join the protest. The outcome might be similar
to how the communism fall in Romania.
NTD reporters Zhou Yulin, Song Feng and Xiao Yan
