【新唐人2014年02月08日訊】有關中共國家主席習近平抵達俄羅斯索契，出席「冬季奧運會」開幕禮的話題，繼續延燒。此行既是中共領導人首次赴境外出席大型國際體育活動，又是習近平自去年初全面掌政以來，與俄羅斯總統普京的第五度會面。習近平此行高調出訪的政治深意，以及中、俄、日之間的微妙關係，尤其引人矚目。
6號中午，習近平飛抵俄羅斯索契。當天下午，習近平與普京舉行會晤，這是兩國元首今年的首次會晤。
這次「冬季奧運會」開幕禮，被西方大國「冷處理」，雖然這些國家沒有公開說明拒絕參加的原因，但是，普京治下的俄羅斯人權記錄屢遭批評，因此，習近平此行被視為是「為普京臉上貼金」。
旅美政論家伍凡認為，西方拒絕參加索契「冬季奧運會」開幕禮，除了人權問題，還包括俄羅斯幫助敘利亞政府鎮壓當地老百姓、以及烏克蘭的問題。俄羅斯一直拉住烏克蘭的左派，不讓烏克蘭進入歐盟。而在這些問題上，中、俄卻有著相似的立場和利益。
旅美政論家伍凡：「第一，要（普京）買它的石油。 第二，他們在敘利亞和烏克蘭的問題上，基本上立場是一致的。但是中國沒有那麼囂張、那麼明目張膽。普京非常囂張。習近平希望拉著俄羅斯壯膽，跟美國人、日本人來鬥。」
據俄國媒體報導，普京的新聞秘書德米特里•佩斯科夫透露，包括習近平與日本首相安倍晉三在內的44位外國政要，將出席7號的開幕儀式。
這是安倍自去年12月26號參拜「靖國神社」以來，首次和習近平同時在國際場合同場亮相。他們此番在索契握手交談的機會被視為微乎其微，但兩人之間有何互動、有否互動，中、俄、日之間的關係，都成為此次「冬奧會」的重要話題。
香港《經濟日報》的文章分析，目前中共的周邊外交政策是「聯俄、睦韓國、反日本」。
但是《法新社》引述日本《每日新聞》的報導說，俄、日兩國外交消息人士透露，儘管中共自2010年以來，曾多次向俄羅斯提出過訴求，願意在日本北面海島主權問題上支持莫斯科，以換取俄方在釣魚島主權問題上的支持。但全被俄方拒絕了。報導還說，有別於中、日關係，俄、日兩國的關係更密切，自安倍2012年12月上任以來，已經四度與普京會晤。
伍凡：「為甚麼拒絕？從俄羅斯的角度講，它希望你這個問題長期不要解決。就把中國（共）的力量吸引到中國的東南方，不會把中國的力量引到北方去。因為中國和俄羅斯也有領土問題，100多年了，儘管是江澤民簽了條約賣國了，但是以後的賬會不會翻過來，俄羅斯一直在擔心。所以它不會幫助北京去解決釣魚島的問題。」
有分析指出，中共需要俄羅斯的石油等資源，且中共與美、日聯盟抗衡。但俄羅斯還不會一面倒的支持中共。
伍凡表示，相比中共，俄羅斯更希望日本到西伯利亞投資，也希望得到日本的技術。相反，它並不希望中共投入過多的錢到西伯利亞，因為這會影響領土歸屬問題。 所以俄國跟日本的關係不會放鬆。
「全球自由信息運動」網站創始人張新宇觀察，中共和俄羅斯並沒有形成真正意義上的盟國，它們之間不像美國和日本、菲律賓、澳大利亞等的關係，而完全是相互利用。
全球自由信息運動網站創始人張新宇：「比如俄羅斯拿了中國那麼大的土地，它也認為江澤民賣了這個土地是因為共產黨領導，悄悄賣給它的。它也知道中國如果有民選政府的話，中國人民肯定不會承認江澤民簽的協議，還是要跟它討回那些土地。所以從俄羅斯的角度來講，它也不希望共產黨倒臺。」
「英國廣播公司《BBC》」引述分析人士的話說，日本拉攏俄羅斯讓中共警惕，日本有可能分化中共與俄羅斯的盟友關係，更會讓中共提防。
採訪/朱智善 編輯/王子琦 後製/黎安安
Russia Declines to Assist Sovereignty Dispute as China and Japan Leaders Appear Together At Sochi.
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to the Sochi Winter
Olympics Opening Ceremony continues to draw attention.
This is the first international sports event that
the Chinese Communist leader has attended.
This also represents Xi Jinping’s fifth
meeting with Putin since Xi took office.
Political implications and subtle relationships between
China, Russia and Japan are of particular concern.
Xi Jinping arrived in Sochi, Russia
in the afternoon of February 6.
Xi Jinping then met with Putin for the first time this year.
Some foreign leaders have boycotted the games, making
a clear stance against human rights abuses in Russia.
Xi Jinping attending the opening ceremony is thus
considered a friendly gesture from China to Putin.
Political commentator Wu Fan analyzes that other
than human rights, the Sochi Winter Olympics
Opening also faces other hard-hitting issues.
This includes Russia’s support of the Syrian
government, and ongoing problems in the Ukraine.
Russia’s all-out efforts to support a leftist
Ukraine has kept Ukraine out of the EU.
In issues such as these, Russia and China
share similar positions and interests.
Wu Fan, political commentator:
“Firstly, Putin wans to buy its oil.
Secondly, they share the same view
on the issues of Syria and the Ukraine.
This is despite China not being public about this
stance. Putin, however, is quite arrogant and blatant.
Xi Jinping hopes to gain support from Russia
against the Japanese and the Americans."
Russian media reported that 44 foreign heads of state
or government, including Xi Jinping and Japanese Prime
Minister Abe, will be present at the opening ceremony.
This is according to Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov.
Japanese PM Abe appearance will coincide with
the first time he has appeared with Xi Jinping since
his last December 26 visit to Yasukuni shrine.
The chance for the two to conduct conversations
and handshakes is thought to be slim, however.
Any slight interaction between the two, and
the relationship between China, Russia,
and Japan will become an important topic.
Hong Kong Economic Times analyzed
China’s current foreign policy stance.
This is to “unite with Russia, build a relationship
with South Korea, and to stand against Japan."
According to an AFP report, quoting Mainichi Shimbun,
Beijing said it would support Moscow in its decades-old
dispute over sovereignty of islands to the north of Japan.
This is in exchange for backing its row over
ownership of an East China Sea archipelago.
The offer has been made repeatedly since 2010,
citing diplomatic sources in Russia and Japan.
This has always been brushed off.
AFP also pointed out that the Russo-Japanese dispute
is in stark contrast to Tokyo’s dispute with Beijing.
Abe and Putin have already held four summits
since Abe took office in December 2012.
Wu Fan: “Why has Russia declined China’s offer?
It is to the benefit of Russia for the dispute
between China and Japan to continue.
There is also a land dispute between Russia and China.
For over 100 years, even though Jiang Zemin
signed a treaty, the issue might return in
the future, and that concerns Moscow.
That’s why Russia will not support
China in the Diaoyu Islands dispute."
Analysts have pointed out that the Chinese
regime needs Russian resources such as oil.
It is also fighting against the alliance
between Japan and the United States.
However, Russia is not yet overwhelmingly
supportive of the Chinese regime.
Wu Fan believes that Russia favors investment
to Siberia from Japan more than from China.
It also favors technology transfer from Japan.
Too much investment from China will
affect the territorial issues with Siberia.
Therefore, Russia will not cut it’s ties with Japan.
Gifree.groupsite.com founder Zhang Xinyu
observes that the Chinese regime has not
formed an alliance with Russia in the true sense.
Their relationships are unlike those of the
United States, Japan, The Philippines and Australia.
It is entirely one of mutual exploitation.
Zhang Xinyu: “Moscow took such a large territory
from China, with full awareness that this was because
of the Chinese leadership, done with a secret deal.
It knows that once an elected government
is realized in China, the treaty signed
by Jiang Zemin will not be recognized.
Thhe land will be demanded to be returned, and
for Russia, it hopes China’s regime will not fall."
BBC Chinese quoted analysts comments.,
The CCP is alert and concerned over
close ties between Japan and Russia.
These ties have the potential to weaken
the alliance between China and Russia.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/Wang Ziqi Post-Production/LiAnan
