【新唐人2013年06月18日訊】近期，從網路流傳「七不講、新三反」的意識形態，到解讀「憲政和中國夢」的大辯論，中國大陸從民間到官方的「左右之爭」越演越烈，「文革」之音甚囂塵上。14號，中共喉舌突然發表《溫家寶總理離我們很近》的文章，引起人們的猜測。溫家寶離任前曾經警告，「不政改，文革悲劇或重演。」請看記者的分析報導。
今年5月，網路盛傳「七不講」、和「新三反」的意識形態，並且在中共下達的「九號文件」中得到驗證，導致大陸出現一片近似「文革」的輿論喧囂。
隨後，黨媒一擁而上的「倒憲」，引發各界學者和普通民眾的強烈反彈，紛紛以媒體和博客、微博等多種方式參與了「憲政」的辯論。
另一方面，被外界認為是習近平試圖平衡左右兩派而提出的新意識「中國夢」，也同樣在各界引發和展示了嚴重的分裂和衝突。
一時間，中國政治思想界形成了一個上至中南海，下至社會民眾，廣泛參與的「路線」大碰撞。
一位接近中南海高層的人士向《新紀元》雜誌透露，中共目前正面臨國際局勢敏感緊張、和內部經濟危機，兩個巨大難題。這些問題堆在一起令習、李疲於奔命。因此，習近平更不願意見到黨內左派和自由派的爭論升級。
時事評論員司馬泰認為，在中共的體制下繞圈，任何領導人都將無路可走。除非習近平能跳出中共專制的框框，否則將會越來越被動。
時事評論員 司馬泰：「經濟發展的模式走到頭了，政治改革他（習近平）想啟動，可是又被自己的智慧給限制了。他就在共產黨這個體制之內改這個政治，又改不動，江澤民和周永康那一派他們又要制約、抗衡他。其實沒辦法抗衡，就是因為他在共產黨這個體制之下，不可能真的改變甚麼。」
6月14號，中共黨媒《人民網》突然發表了一篇回憶前中共總理溫家寶的文章。
有海外中文媒體分析，文章發表的時機和標題頗有深意。
《溫家寶總理離我們很近》這一標題，暗示了兩層含義。第一，胡溫勢力仍然大權在握，對中國政治局勢產生重大影響﹔第二，作為第一大政治派別，在混戰糾結的關鍵時刻，將重新發力並表明態度。
時事評論員 任百鳴：「（習近平）因為剛剛掌握權力，立足未穩，還面臨左派的挑戰。接下來打掉了江澤民的原鐵道部長劉志軍被審，也是面臨著江系的仇恨當中。接下來大的事情是審判薄熙來，這是後續雙方肉搏的一個重大事件。審判薄熙來之前，文章出來力挺習李，是為下面打大的戰役作一定的鋪墊。」
不過，胡、溫的動作將有多大，是否敢於跨出實質性的步伐，仍然有待觀察。
文章還認為，當前中國政壇意識領域的衝突已經公開化、擴大化，逃避和長期拖延將極度危險。而作為先期的條件，加速審理薄案，並向全國大眾公開，已經迫在眉睫。
另外，還有消息傳出，習近平在一次內部講話中提到「民主問題」，並坦承﹕「民主」關係到中共的生死存亡，黨內阻力非常大，而他本人壓力也很大。
有評論分析指出，這是習近平在中南海分裂白熱化，處於無解的情況下出的「新招」。
不過，時事評論員夏小強認為，從中共的歷史和現實來看，中共高層在體制內採取化解危機的任何舉動，除了造成政治運動，給民眾帶來災難，或是造成另外更大的危機之外，從來沒有真正成功過。
採訪/常春 編輯/李明飛 後製/鐘元
Communist media mentions Wen Jiabao amidst the chaos.
The Chinese Internet is spreading a new ideology of
“seven forbidden topics” and the “new three anti-campaign.”
Along with interpretation of constitution and China dream,
they are widely debated on the Internet.
This intensified on-line fight between the rightists and the
leftists, mimics the debate during the Cultural Revolution.
An article titled, “P”remier Wen Jiabao is close by” on the 14th
by the state media, drawing much speculation.
Wen Jiabao warned before he left the office, “Without
political reform, the Cultural Revolution is likely to reoccur.”
The following is our analysis.
Since May, a new ideology of “seven forbidden topics” and
“new three anti-campaign” has been widely distributed on the Chinese Internet.
An article number 9 from the Propaganda Department
confirmed the order from the regime.
Suddenly, all the hustle and bustle on the Internet is
taking place like a new wave of Cultural Revolution.
Subsequently, articles criticizing the constitution swarmed
state media, causing backlash amongst the general public and serious debate of constitution on the Internet.
Xi Jinping’s China Dream, believed to balance left and right,
was thought to signal serious divisions and conflicts in the regime
China is suddenly in a chaotic political ideology fight from
Zhongnanhai to the general public.
Epoch Weekly was told by a source from Zhongnanhai that
the Communist regime is facing both the international crisis and the internal economical problems.
Xi Jinping is obviously challenged, on top of the elevated
division between the leftists and the rightists within the regime.
Commentator Sima Tai does not believe there is any way out
within the Communist system.
Xi Jinping can not escape this, but only become more
& more passive within their system.
Commentator Sima Tai:
“The economic development has come to an end.
Intellectually, Xi is limited in conducting any sort
of political reform.
Within the Communist regime, political reform is impossible.
He is also restricted by Jiang Zemin and Zhou Yongkang.
He has no way out."
June 14, the regimes mouthpiece People’s Daily, issued
an article talking about former Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao.
The timing and title of this article has caused
much speculation.
An overseas media analyzed the title, “Premier Wen Jiabao is
close by," implies two meanings.
First, Hu and Wen remain in power and have a
significant impact up on the regime.
Second, at any critical point this major political faction
will exert its political stance.
Commentator Ren Baiming: “Xi has just taken over office
and is facing challenges from the leftists.
He is facing the hatred from the Jiang faction triggered
by the former Railways Minister Liu Zhijun’s trial.
The upcoming Bo Xilai’s trial will be another major melee.
This article is setting up a tone to back up
Xi and Li prior to the battle."
However, how much Hu and Wen will engage
in this fracas, is yet to be seen.
The article has clearly pointed out the public and extended
ideological conflict within the regime.
Any delay will lead to further danger.
It is of imminent urgency to proceed with Bo’s trial
in a public manner.
In addition, it is said that Xi Jinping mentioned democracy
in a recent talk and admitted that it concerns the life and death of the Communist Party.
Both the Party and himself are facing much
resistance and pressure.
The new wave of ideology debate was analyzed to be a new tactic
of Xi Jinping under the intensified split in Zhongnanhai.
Commentator Xia Xiaoqiang indicates that in reality
and through the Chinese Communist Party’s history,
any move from the Communist leadership to resolve
this crisis, would only lead to another political movement,
major disaster to the nation, another subsequent major
crisis, but never success.
