【新唐人2013年04月12日訊】最近，朝鲜半島局勢持續升級，4月9號，朝鲜方面發表聲明說:朝鲜目前處於「熱核戰爭前夕」，並要求旅韓外國人儘快疏散。對此，美、日、韓已全部進入嚴防狀態。中方則表示，反對任何一方採取有損於朝鲜半島和平穩定的行動。評論人士認為，中共當局沒有針對朝鲜的挑釁行為作出任何譴責，而再三強調「各方責任」，說明中共當局不想放棄對朝鲜的支持。
4月9號，朝鲜亞太和平委員會發言人發表談話，聲稱「半島局勢一觸即發」，戰事一旦點燃，將發展成一場「全面戰爭」，因此敦促在南韓的外國人採取避難、撤離措施。
對此，南韓政府方面表態指稱朝鲜是在打心理戰，大多數評論人士也認為朝鲜只是在「虛張聲勢」。
北京時政觀察人士 華頗：「朝鲜肯定不敢向美韓真正動手，它雖然叫囂的很高，大家知道朝鲜根本不敢、也沒有實力向美韓發動攻擊 。」
政論家 伍凡：「我看打的可能性不高，連美國都放話，說它（朝鲜）打的可能性不高，但是美國還是做最大的防備了，估計它是不會打。現在還是在叫的時候，還在叫板，還在演戲。」
北京時政觀察人士華頗認為，朝鲜數次挑釁行為，甚至廢除了停戰協議，目地是想繞過南韓，直接和美國達成和平協議，但因美、韓有約在先，因此美國是不會向朝鲜妥協的。
華頗：「他這樣做的真實目地是甚麼呢？就是想讓美國跟它談判。可以說它是把這種事態進行升級，達到一種戰爭邊緣，從而讓美國答應他的要求。因為美國看出了朝鲜的這種訛詐的態度，所以不理不睬。」
除了是否會爆發戰爭，各國政府和媒體最關心的就是中國對朝鲜的態度，外界普遍認為，從中共當局的幾次表態看，一直停留在「希望各方擔起責任」、「敦促各方不要採取升級行動」等空話，卻一直迴避評論朝鲜，包括「核試驗」在內頻頻挑釁的行為。由此可見，中國有可能依然繼續支持朝鲜。
華頗：「通過習近平的講話、王奕的講話，而且《央視》、各大新聞舉辦的一些訪談節目，說明中國起碼在宣傳輿論上邊是十分的偏袒朝鲜的，我想這種情況之下中國是不願意拋棄朝鲜的，中國不會坐視美國對朝鲜動武。」
伍凡：「北京有份雜誌叫做《學習實事》，是中央黨校的一份刊物。有一個副審編寫了一篇文章，他說現在應該檢討中共對朝鲜的政策，他的意見就要把丟掉朝鲜、拋棄掉，這個文章出來之後，這個審編馬上給辭職，也就是說，他的想法習近平不同意。」
對於中共當局支持朝鲜的原因，評論人士有兩種觀點，第一個觀點認為，朝鲜是中國扶植的「傀儡」，雖然變得越來越不聽話，中共也不能讓「外人」毀掉它。
伍凡：「中共是要朝鲜這塊地方。第一：從軍事政治上做緩衝國﹔第二：經濟上把它作為經濟殖民地—-投資，拿它的礦產，利用它的港口，利用它的碼頭，對外擴張，說的難聽點，中共把朝鲜當看門狗來對付美國、南韓和日本，這一點至今為止60多年來沒有改變。」
第二種觀點則認為，中朝之間在演出雙簧，朝鲜其實是在中共的撐腰下才敢公然挑戰美、韓。
華頗：「中國認為，尤其是日本和菲律賓，為甚麼在東海、南海上頻頻對中國進行挑釁？其實背後撐腰的是美國。0852中國既然認為美國通過日、菲這些馬前卒子來挑戰自己，那我也有兄弟，它就讓朝鲜試射導彈、核爆來挑戰美國。」
《人民日報》海外版刊文指出，美國，不要火上澆油﹔日本不要趁火打劫﹔南韓不要錯失焦點。由此可見中方的立場。
China’s Stance Clearly Shown on Pyongyang’s War Threat ***
The situation in the Korean Peninsula continues to escalate.
On April 9, Pyongyang made an announcement.
It said: “it is on the eve of thermo-nuclear war,” and they
has warned domestic foreigners to evacuate.
The U.S., Japan and South Korea have all begun to
take measures in preparation for contingencies.
The Chinese Communist Party has said that it opposes
any actions detrimental to the peace and stability in the Korean Peninsula.
Analysts say that the CCP regime hasn’t condemned
North Korea’s provocative action.
Rather, it repeatedly stressed “the parties’ responsibilities”.
This shows that the CCP won’t give up its
support of N. Korea.
On April 9, the North Korean Asia-Pacific Peace Committee
issued a statement.
It claimed that the Korean peninsula
“is inching close to a thermo-nuclear war”.
Once a war is ignited on the peninsula,
it will evolve into an “all-out war”.
It requested all foreigners in South Korea
“to take measures for shelter and evacuation".
South Korean authorities have alleged that N. Korea is
using psychological warfare.
Many commentators view Pyongyang’s threats as
merely bluster and sabre rattling.
Hua Po, Beijing political observer: “N. Korea won’t dare to
wage war against the U.S. and S. Korea.
It has clamored and threatened loudly,
but everyone knows it has no real strength.”
Critic Wu Fan: “I think it’s unlikely, as the U.S. has
calculated that N. Korea is unlikely to do it.
But the U.S. has still made full preparations against
the threat, I think N. Korea is just staging an act.”
Hua Po comments on N. Korea’s previous
provocative actions which included the abolition of the armistice agreement.
He says Pyongyang’s goal was to bypass S. Korea, and
to directly reach a peace agreement with the U.S..
The U.S has a prior commitment to defend S. Korea,
it won’t yield to N. Korea.
Hua Po: “What’s N. Korea’s real purpose ?
To force the U.S. to negotiate with it directly.
In other words, by escalating the situation to the brink
of war, it wants the U.S. to nod to its demand.
But the U.S. has discerned this intended coercion,
and is just ignoring it. ”
Currently, China’s stance on the issue has been
a focus for nations and global media.
Reportedly, China’s several statements have been
considered empty talk.
All the time, the CCP authorities have dodged commenting
on N. Korea’s provocative moves, including its nuclear tests.
China can be seen to be resolutely continuing
its support of N. Korea.
Hua Po: “Xi Jinping’s speech and other senior officials’
talks, on CCTV or in other major media programs show that China fully takes sides in N. Korea, at least in propaganda.
So in this case, I do not think China is willing to
give up it’s support for N. Korea.
China clearly won’t sit back and watch the U.S.
taking military action against N. Korea.”
Wu Fan: “The Current Affairs Study journal, sponsored by
CCP Central Party School, has published an article.
The article is authored by its associate senior editor, saying
now is the time to review the CCP’s policy on N. Korea.
The author implied that China should
desert N. Korea.
After the article was published, the associate senior editor
was forced to resign.
This forced resignation makes it clear that
Xi Jinping doesn’t agree with the editor’s view. ”
Commentators hold two views on the reasons for the
CCP’s support for N. Korea.
One is that “puppet" N. Korea has become increasingly
disobedient, but the CCP still won’t let “outsiders” interfere.
Wu Fan: “The CCP wants to control N. Korea.
Firstly, using it as a buffer zone;
Secondly, occupying it as an economic colony and a
military asset, plundering its mineral resources, exploiting its ports and docks as a platform for world domination.
Put simply, the CCP uses N. Korea as a watchdog to
keep the U.S., S. Korea, and Japan in their place.
This has been the CCP’s policy,
all along for the last 60 years. ”
The second view is that the CCP and N.Korea are
playing a two-man act.
N. Korea dares to openly challenge the U.S. and S. Korea,
feeling safe in the CCP’s back up and support.
Hua Po: “China thinks it was the U.S. that encouraged
Japan and the Philippines to take proactive approaches against China in the East and South China Seas.
In reality, it is indeed true that
the U.S. does encourage and support them.
So China ,in turn, challenges the U.S., through it’s
ally N. Korea’s launching of nuclear tests.”
The overseas edition of the People’s Daily has published
an article.
It has warned the U.S. not to add fuel to the fire;
it has warned Japan not to fish in troubled water;
it has also warned S. Korea not to miss the focal point.
China’s stance has without doubt been fully shown.
