【新唐人2011年11月26日訊】11月21號，美國、英國和加拿大宣佈對伊朗採取更多的制裁措施，法國也提議採取新的制裁措施，以迫使德黑蘭停止核專案。23號，中共外交部發言人在北京舉行的例行新聞發佈會上說，中方反對針對伊朗的單邊制裁。學者認為，受到孤立的中國和伊朗需要相互支援，同時，內外交困的中共政府可能在外交上會發出更強的「聲音」。
《路透社》23號報導說：「美國、英國和加拿大宣佈對伊朗能源和金融業實行新的制裁，法國則提議實行『前所未有的』新制裁，其中包括凍結伊朗中央銀行資產，中止購買伊朗的石油。」
早些時候，「國際原子能機構」（IAEA）發表報告說，伊朗有可能在秘密發展核武器。
中共外交部23號表示反對對伊朗實施單方面的制裁。
對此，美國「紐約城市大學」政治學教授夏明認為，冷戰結束後美國和西方社會面臨的最大挑戰來自中國和伊朗，他們同樣受到美國和西方的孤立，所以中國的政策是可以預見的。
夏明：「中國和伊朗基本上都面臨西方強勢的政治、經濟、文化的挑戰，所以這兩個國家在國際舞臺上基本上都是有一種協調，也就是相互在支持。所以我們看到，中國跟伊朗兩個國家協調非常多，在能源、軍火各方面、在國際舞臺上都有很多合作。」
《美聯社》23號也報導：「自2006年以來，聯合國對伊朗施加了4輪制裁，但伊朗的能源出口使伊朗沒有因被制裁受到嚴重損害。」
《法新社》則說：「中國支持伊朗，從伊朗購買大量的石油，同時中國也是伊朗最大的交易夥伴，兩國間的貿易總額達300億美元。
《美國之音》報導，據中國海關資料，今年﹙2011年﹚伊朗可能成為中國第二大原油供應國。
不過，伊朗對新一輪的制裁表示不屑。以色列和華盛頓表示，在其他努力無效的情況下，不排除軍事打擊。
令人費解的是，中國國防大學教授、海軍少將張召忠說，中國不惜三次世界大戰保伊朗。
夏明教授：「張召忠說不惜打一場第三次世界大戰，完全是為了國內的政治需要。從某種程度上說，通過這種完全無稽之談為自己壯膽。」
夏明教授分析指出，目前美國和西方社會可能對伊朗採取「茉莉花革命」的模式，類似走利比亞那樣的路。從利比亞模式看，北約不可能在伊朗捲入大規模的軍事行動，更不可能掀起一場新的戰爭。
實際上，一位駐德黑蘭不願透露姓名的高級歐洲外交官表示，伊朗政府實際上非常擔心遭到軍事打擊。分析家也說，普通民眾已經不太崇拜他們的領導人。
但是夏明教授表示，中共政府自己面臨的危機比伊朗要大得多。中共政府不僅面臨東南亞、南中國海、南亞各國的諸多挑戰，也面臨美國在人民幣匯率、出口、人權等問題上的壓力，同時也面臨國內問題的壓力。
夏明教授：「中國面對美國的壓力，同時國內目前的壓力也很大，尤其我們看到，從民間到社會上，包括對中國政府進行挑戰和反抗的力量也在成長，所以，中國政府確確實實面臨權力交接班18大要到來。那麼，它在外交上恐怕會發出一些比較強硬的聲音，一方面是回應美國的壓力，另一方面它也是為了滿足國內民族主義這批人的需求。」
俄羅斯則是伊朗的另一個盟友，對伊朗的政策跟中國相似。
新唐人記者陳漢、宋風、郭敬採訪報導。
World Medias see China opposed to Sanctions against Iran
On November 21st, America, UK and Canada
announced more sanctions against Iran.
France also proposed to adopt new sanctions to force Tehran
to stop it’s nuclear project.
On Nov 23rd, the spokesman of Chinese Communist Party
(CCP)』s Foreign Ministry said in a regular press conference held in Beijing that
China is opposed to unilateral sanctions against Iran.
Scholars believe that, being isolated,
China and Iran need mutual support.
Meanwhile, the CCP government, with internal and external difficulties,
may express an even tougher diplomatic “voice".
“Reuters" reported on Nov 23rd: “The United States,
UK and Canada have announced new sanctions
against Iran in the areas of energy and finance.
France proposed ‘unprecedented’ new sanctions,
including freezing the assets of the Central Bank of Iran
and suspending the purchase of Iran’s oil.
Earlier, the “International Atomic Energy Agency" (IAEA)
had issued a report that Iran may be secretly developing nuclear weapons.
On Nov 23rd, the CCP’s Foreign Ministry expressed opposition
to the imposition of unilateral sanctions against Iran.
In this regard, Xia Ming, a political professor from
“City University of New York" in America, believes that
since the Cold War, the United States and Western society’s
biggest challenges have been seen as being from China and Iran.
They are both isolated by the United States and the West.
Therefore, China’s policy is foreseeable.
Xia Ming says: “China and Iran are facing strong Western
challenges within politics, economy and culture.
So these two countries basically have a kind of coordination
on the international stage, to support each other.
So we can see that China and Iran coordinate a lot,
with a lot of cooperation in matters of energy, arms and so on."
“Associated Press" also reported on Nov 23rd: “Since 2006,
the United Nations have carried out 4 rounds of sanctions against Iran.
But with export of energy, Iran has not been severely
affected by the sanctions."
“AFP" said: “China supports Iran and purchases
large quantities of oil from Iran.
Meanwhile, China is Iran’s biggest trading partner.
Their bilateral trade totals up to $ 30 billion.
“Voice of America" reported, according to Chinese customs』
data, this year (2011) Iran could become China’s second largest crude oil supplier.
However, Iran disdains the new round of sanctions.
Israel and Washington said in the event that other efforts were not effective,
the possibility of military action would not be ruled out.
It』s puzzling to some that Major General Zhang Zhaozhong,
a professor from the Chinese National Defense University,
said China will not hesitate to protect Iran even
with a third World War.
Professor Xia Ming: “Zhang Zhaozhong said that
not hesitating to fight a third world war would be entirely for domestic political needs.
To some extent though, this would be completely
ridiculous to encourage"
Professor Xia Ming pointed out that the United States and
Western societies may deal with Iran by a method of “Jasmine Revolution", similar to what happened in Libya.
From the perspective of the Libya model,
NATO could not possibly involve itself in large-scale military action,
and it would be impossible to start a new war.
In fact, a senior European diplomat with anonymity
in Tehran said that the Iranian government was actually very worried about a military strike.
Analysts also say that ordinary people don』t worship
their leaders so much any more.
But Professor Xia Ming said that the CCP regime itself
is facing a much bigger crisis than Iran.
The CCP regime not only faces challenges from Southeast Asia,
the South China Sea, South Asia countries and so on,
but also faces the pressure from America for the RMB exchange rate, export, and human rights issues,
as well as the pressure of domestic issues meanwhile.
Professor Xia Ming says : “China is facing pressure
from America. Meanwhile, current domestic pressure is also very considerable.
In particular, we can see in civil society, the challenge to
the Chinese government and resistance forces are growing.
Therefore, the Chinese government is indeed facing the
arrival of a big power shift in the 18th session.
So, China may express a tougher diplomatic voice.
On the one hand, it is a reaction to pressure from America.
On the other hand, it needs to meet the demand of
domestic nationalist groups.
Russia is another ally of Iran, with similar policy to that
of China. Toward Iran.
NTD reporters Chen Han, Song Feng and Guo Jing
