【新唐人2014年09月17日訊】中共十八屆四中全會將在10月份召開。日前，香港媒體引述消息說，這次四中全會不僅會對部分人事進行調整，同時，也會宣佈開除原中共政治局常委周永康的黨籍，並移送司法機關。請看報導。

9月14號，香港《文匯報》報導說，參照以往四中全會的傳統，這次會議也會有高層任命，為中共高層進一步的人事洗牌做鋪墊。

大陸時政觀察人士華頗表示，四中全會應該會有一場風暴。從中共政治局常委到軍委，應該會有一個大的調整。

自中共十八大以來，已有40多名省部級及以上高官落馬。包括原中央政治局常委周永康；中央政治局委員徐才厚；中央委員蘇榮、蔣潔敏、李東生；中共中央前候補委員萬慶良、李春城、王永春等人。外界觀察到，這些人員基本上都是中共前黨魁江澤民利益集團的人馬。

針對以上這些官員的黨內處分，根據中共黨章的規定：對中共中央委員會委員、候補委員，給以開除黨籍的處分，必須由本人所在的委員會全體會議三分之二以上的多數決定。在特殊情況下，可以先由中共中央政治局作出處理決定，之後，等到召開中共中央委員會全體會議時再給以追認。

而接下來的一次中央委員全體會議，就是預定10月份在北京召開的第十八屆四中全會。這一日程由中共政治局會議在7月29號決定。而當天也是周永康的「落馬日」，當局正式宣佈對他立案審查。

除了高層異動，這兩天有關四中全會的另一大消息，是當局可能在會議上宣佈對周永康的處理。

9月份出刊的香港《紫荊》雜誌引述消息人士的話說，按照既定程序，相信在四中全會上，會對周永康宣佈開除黨籍，並移送司法等事項。

大陸時政觀察人士華頗：「這些落馬官員基本上都是些死老虎了。四中全會上，這個不是特別重要的東西。在四中全會上頂多就是走個手續，走個程序而已。他們的命運已經是注定的了。」

中共中央委員被開除黨籍，並被四中全會追認後，會有遞補中共中央委員的聯動程序。《紫荊》雜誌報導說，中共國家統計局局長馬建堂，和國家宗教局局長王作安，可能被遞補為中共中央委員。

華頗：「它這是按規定來替補，中央委員倒了，沒了之後，當然設位，上位。這個方面是很正常的。我倒是關注的中共常委級人員有沒有變動，政治局委員這一級人員有沒有變動，和中央軍委有沒有人員變動，這三個問題才是非常非常重要的。」

時事評論員陳明慧：「四中全會，會有甚麼變動，取決於江系到底出了甚麼狀況，這是最重要的環節。如果說過兩天又和以前沒事，出來了。四中全會，不會有甚麼大的變動，因為它還要保持這個穩定。除非江系真的出了狀況，要麼成了植物人，要麼真的出現了去世，這個會有實質的改變。」

外界指出，回顧中共黨史，多次常委級別的換屆，就是在四中全會上顯露信號的。

採訪/陳漢 編輯/凱欣 後製/舒燦

Two Major News Items Disclosed Before the Communist Party Conference

The 4th plenary session of 18th Chinese Communist Party

(CCP) conference has been scheduled in October.

Hong Kong media cited sources that the agenda of

plenary session will include personnel changes and member

of Standing Committee, Zhou Yongkang’s expulsion from the CCP,

as well as handing him over to judicial organs.

Let’s take a look.

Hong Kong’s Wenweipo newspaper reported that traditionally,

the 4th plenary session will appoint new high-level officials,

to get ready for further high-level personnel reshuffles.

Hua Po, China-based current political affairs observer says

there would be a political storm at the plenary session.

From Politburo Standing Committee to Central Military

Committee, personnel would be changed greatly.

Since the 18th CCP conference, over 40 senior officials above

provincial level had been purged.

It includ Zhou Yongkang, Standing Committee;

Xu Caihou, member of Politburo;

Su Rong, Jiang Jiemin and Li Dongsheng, members

of Central Party Committee;

and other members of the Central CCP Committee.

Li Chuncheng and more people.

The majority of them belonged

to Jiang Zemin faction.

The punishment of these officials follows the CCP

procedure: if their position was in central Party Committee,

they will be expelled from the Party, with a 2/3rd majority.

In special circumstances, central Standing Committee can

make the decision first,which will be approved

by the CCP national conference later.

The start date of the 4th plenary session of 18th National

Conference was announced on July 29.

The same day, Zhou Yongkang was removed and

officially investigated.

Further news about the 4th plenary sessions is that the

regime will announce the punishment of Zhou Yongkang.

In September, Hong Kong’s Bauhinia magazine cited

an insider that according to confirmed procedure,

he believes that the 4th plenary session will

announce Zhou Yongkang’s expulsion from the CCP,

and hand him over to the judiciary.

Hua Po:"These removed officials are mainly ‘dead Tigers’.

At the 4th plenary session, this will not be an important issue.

It is just a formality.

Their fate has been decided already."

The decision to remove members of the Central Party

Committee has been made, it will be formally approved

at the 4th plenary session.

Meanwhile, new members will be appointed.

The Bauhinia magazine said that Ma Jiantang, director of

the national statistic bureau, and

Wang Zuoan, director of the national religious bureau likely

would be appointed to the Central Party Committee.

Hua Po: “It is normal to appoint new members of

the Central Party Committee if the position is available.

I am most concerned if there is any change

in Standing Committee or Politburo level,

or the Central Military Committee.

These three areas are very important."

Chen Minghui, current affairs commentator: “Any change

at the 4th plenary session depends on

what’s happened to the Jiang faction.

This is a very important point.

If the scenario is that Jiang Zemin appears again in the

next couple of days and nothing happens.

There will be no big changes at the 4th plenary session.

Because the regime needs to maintain the ‘stability’.

Unless something has really happened to Jiang,

he is either in a persistent vegetative state or has died,

this will bring a substantial change."

Observers point out that in CCP history, several times that

Standing Committee level’s personnel had changed,

the signals were sent via the 4th plenary session.

Interview/ChenHan Edit/KaiXin Post-Production/ShuCan