【新唐人2014年08月09日訊】日前,黨媒《人民日報》刊登一篇評論員文章,指周永康案公布之後,要打好「三大戰役」,用中共黨史上具有重要地位的「三大戰役」,來表述周永康案後 的走勢和行動,而公布周永康只是「戰役」的開端。外界認為,黨媒的這篇文章,罕見的透露了「北戴河會議」,中共高層即將討論的議題。
8月6號,《人民日報》刊登了題為《周永康後,中國要打好「三大戰役」》的評論文章。文章開篇便說,早在去年底,周永康案已經近乎蓋棺論定,只是實際操作中步步為營罷了。
這篇文章將查辦周永康,比喻為國共內戰中的「遼瀋戰役」,而周永康案只是開端,往後還有三大仗要打。第一大戰役是四中全會與法治社會,可以視為「遼瀋戰役」的延續。第二大戰役是﹕促進高效市場經濟與優化分配。第三大戰役則是外交空間與和平崛起。
美國哥倫比亞大學訪問學者陳破空:「可以做兩種理解,積極的理解,從依法治國來看,那麼在法律面前人人平等,反腐零容忍,沒有不可以打的老虎,但是三大戰 役中的另外兩大戰役,卻表明似乎它要轉向,似乎在反腐打虎方面告一段落,要轉向到經濟和外交領域,下文怎麼樣我們還是要拭目以待。」
文章說,現在的反腐運動其實只是治黨、治軍的策略,中國社會的腐敗根深蒂固、範圍極廣,需要運動反腐、制度反腐、群眾反腐的結合,而目前,不少地方政府出現了不作為,挑戰眾多。
大陸《亞洲新聞週刊》總監黃金秋:「如果從這個角度理解的話,它這樣規劃還是蠻好的,但是有一點,它即使在第一步反腐,那也只是萬里長城走完第一步,那周 永康不是第一個大老虎,也不是最後一個大老虎,也不是最大的老虎,還有更艱鉅的老虎在後面等著。說要建立一個反腐機制,對共產黨來講是不可能的,它是一種 製造腐敗的機制,除非它民主改革。」
據報導,除中共總理李克強外,中共6位常委已經抵達「北戴河」。大陸媒體說,「打老虎」和「保增長」將是「北戴河會議」的焦點,而如何處理周永康也是各方的期待。
從目前的情況看,打虎隊和惡虎們正處於你死我活的白熱化狀態。中共領導人習近平的很多講話,只能通過地方媒體來表達。例如習近平的「與腐敗作鬥爭,個人生死,個人譭譽,無所謂。」的言論,在網路多次遭到刪除,8月4號《長白山日報》才得以公開。
有消息傳出,中共軍中由於恐懼習近平反腐,涉嫌貪腐的高層軍官暗地煽動、聯絡和策劃政變,企圖衝擊正在召開的「北戴河會議」。
美國「哥倫比亞大學」訪問學者陳破空撰文指出,當下的北京與上海,拉鋸為兩大權力中心,前者是以習近平為首的現政權,後者是以江澤民為核心的舊勢力,陰魂不散的老人政治。
陳破空分析指出,從前一陣北京與上海之間大量取消航班,以及北京每15分鐘就要清理一次垃圾桶等嚴密安檢措施來看,習近平陣營可能快速阻擊了某種政變。
而上個月,中共將設在越南附近的鑽井平臺撤了回來,同時也與日本磋商如何改善中、日關係。
陳破空:「習近平上臺這兩年來,外交關係非常緊張,其中一個重要原因就是周永康在其中搗鬼,煽動了所謂的暴力抗日示威,給習近平出難題,把周永康打掉了,權力鬥爭取得了階段性的勝利,外交關係也重新做調整了,重新走上和周邊國家和平共處的道路。」
大陸的《亞洲新聞週刊》總監黃金秋指出,要想在中國真正實現依法治國,平衡各種利益的糾紛,以及實現習近平的中國夢,必須先建立民主體制。
採訪編輯/劉惠 後製/蕭宇
The Three Big Battles are Good Start For Beidaihe?
Recently, the Communist Party mouthpiece People’s Daily
published a commentator’s article, pointed out three major
battles after Zhou Yongkang case publication.
They used the three battles which have important history
position in Chinese Communist Party (CCP) history to
describe Zhou Yongkang case trend and action.
The publication of Zhou Yongkang case is just beginning
of the battle.
It’s believed that the party media’s article unusually revealed
CCP senior level discussion issue in Beidaihe meeting.
August 6, People’s Daily published a review article entitled
three battles for Beijing following Zhou Yongkang’s fall.
The article said as early as the end of 2013, Zhou case has
been almost the final nail, but the practical operation of every
step Bale.
The article compared the Zhou Yongkang case as Chinese
Civil War of Liaoning-Shenyang Campaign.
The Zhou Yongkang case is just start, there are still three battles
to fight.
The first of the battles is the upcoming fourth plenum of the
18th National Congress and the legal society which can be
seen as the extension of Liaoning-Shenyang Campaign.
The second major battle facing the party is economic, and
specifically how to develop an efficient market economy with
optimal resource allocation.
The third major battle facing the party is managing diplomatic
space and China’s peaceful rise.
Columbia University visiting scholar Chen Pokong: “We can
understand in two views.
The positive understanding is zero tolerance in anti-corruption
and everybody is equal before the anti-corruption without any untouchable tiger from the legal society point.
However, based on the other two battles of the three battles, it
shows they will change direction to the economic and diplomatic
area by stopping anti-corruption.
We still need to wait and see what will happen next."
The article said that the current anti-corruption campaign is
just the policy for the party and army.
The corruption in China is deep-rooted and wide range which
needs anti-corruption campaign, anti-corruption system, the
masses anti-corruption combined
Also, several local governments don’t act which gave
anti-corruption more challenges.
Mainland Asian News Week director Huang Jinqiu: “The
anti-corruption strategy is good from this point.
However, even the first step of anti-corruption is still the first
step of going through the Great Wall.
Zhou Yongkang is not the first big tiger, nor the last one or
the biggest tiger, there is a more daunting one waited.
It’s impossible to establish a anti-corruption system for the
Communist Party unless it has democratic reform because
the Communist Party is a corruption manufacture. “
It’s said in addition to the CCP Premier Li Keqiang, the 6
Standing Committee have arrived Beidaihe.
Beating tigers and keeping growth will be the focus of Beidaihe
meeting; plus how to sentence Zhou Yongkang is also
expectation for everybody.
Based on the current situation, the tiger fight team and the
tigers became white-hot.
The CCP leader Xi Jinping’s speech can only be expressed
through the local media.
For example Xi Jinping’s remark “To against corruption, personal
life and reputation are not important" has been repeatedly been
deleted online.
August 4, it was published in Changbai Mountain Daily.
It’s said there is secret agitation, liaison and planning coup
from the suspected senior level corruption in military due to
the scare of Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption.
They attempted to attack Beidaihe meeting.
Chen Pokong pointed out, Beijing and Shanghai are two power
centers.
Beijing is headed by current regime of Xi jinping; Shanghai
is centered by the haunting old politics Jiang Zemin.
Chen Pokong analyzed Xi camp might quickly block a coup
based on previous a large number of canceled flights between
Beijing and Shanghai, as well as clean trash every 15 minutes
in Beijing.
And last month, the CCP pulled back the drilling platform
close to Vietnam and talked with Japan on how to improve
relations.
Chen Pokong: " the diplomatic relation is very tense recent two years since Xi Jinping came to power.
It was because Zhou Yongkang incited so-called violent demonstration to make Xi Jinping headache.
Now, their power struggle won for current after Zhou Yongkang’s
sack and the diplomatic relation is re-adjusted to coexist with
neighboring countries."
Huang Jinqiu pointed out, we must establish democratic
institution first to realize legal society, balance various interests
and realize Xi Jinping’s China dream.
Interview & Edit/LiuHui Post-Production/XiaoYu