【新唐人2012年11月06日訊】中共副主席習近平預計在十八大之後出任中共總書記。日前，《新華社》公布了「七中全會」閉幕的消息，提到習近平主持修改黨章。同一天，中共媒體發表文章，指稱所謂「黨建」（中國共產黨的建設）將成為十八大的重要話題。因此，有分析認為，如何管理好中共自身，將是中共新晉「當家人」習近平上位後的第一要務。
《新華社》在11月4號傍晚發表的快訊說，在十七屆七中全會上，習近平就《中國共產黨章程（修正案）》討論稿作了說明。但報導並沒有透露黨章修正案的細節。
當天，《中國新聞網》 發表題為「黨建，十八大濃墨重彩之筆」的文章，指稱官僚主義、形式主義、以權謀私、貪污腐敗等黨員幹部的醜陋現象，都讓中共的執政權力受到威脅。而薄熙來、劉志軍等中外矚目的案件，更暴露出制度監管的缺失。
因此，文章說，中共再次站到了歷史關頭，「黨建」事關中共存亡的迫切問題，也必將成為十八大的重要話題。「黨建」指的是所謂中國共產黨的建設。
各大中共媒體紛紛轉載了這篇報導，也掀起外界對習近平上位後的執政理念和首要任務的討論。
《北京之春》雜誌主編 胡平：「我不覺得他會有甚麼不同的做法，他會提一些新的口號，但是都大同小異，沒有甚麼太大值得我們注意的方面。沒看出他有甚麼進行大的改革的意思。」
《世界新聞網》報導，分析人士認為，作為擁有8000萬黨員執政黨的新晉「當家人」，如何管好如此一個「龐大軀體」，無疑是習近平的第一要務。
報導說，登上中共「大位」前，習近平就是直管「黨建」的「最高首長」，他主持的黨校刊物曾抨擊中共黨內「潛規則」。據統計，最近半年來，習近平至少六次公開談到中共「黨建」工作，並強調要「保持和發展」所謂的「黨的先進性和純潔性」。
但中國當前的問題，是否能透過中共「黨建」工作而有所改善或改變呢？
美國「哥倫比亞大學」政治學博士李天笑：「它只不過是通過所謂的改革來加強黨的領導，使黨的領導更有效率，這個實際上不但對老百姓沒有好處，而且可能更加加劇這種專制的效率，共產黨更有效的集中它的權力，黨的執政能力更強，它對人民的壓迫更加有效率。它主要意圖是緩解外部老百姓對它的不滿和對它的各種抗爭。」
一位不願透露姓名的中國社科院專家在接受《中央社》採訪時說，中共的內部監督不可能發揮應有的效力，因為「一個人的左手，不可能管好右手」。
網絡作家荊楚：「黨的內部監督是國際笑話，那是讓醫生給自己開刀做手術嘛。其實很簡單，不需要你管甚麼，你比如把新聞體制放開啊，把出關管制放鬆啊，把網路特務撤掉啊，這個民族的思想活力就發展起來了。不是需要他們做甚麼，而是需要他們不做甚麼。」
不過，美國「哥倫比亞大學」政治學博士李天笑指出，反過來講，中共所謂的改革一旦啟動，也可能會產生一種連中共都意想不到的「反」效應。
李天笑：「一方面（老百姓）會從各種形式破開封鎖，現在海外的資源對老百姓已經起到很大作用了，很多人都翻牆出來看講真相的媒體，像《新唐人》、《大紀元》這些﹔另外一方面，它這種壓制一旦很嚴的話，老百姓覺得很難過下去的時候，老百姓就會組織起來進行抗暴，這個抗暴對中共來說就等於是要埋葬它。」
李天笑說，改革的「反」效應對中共來講是可怕的，中共也可能因為改革而垮臺。
採訪/劉惠 編輯/王子琦 後製/王明宇
CCP Vice President Xi Jinping is set to become CCP’s
new Secretary General after the 18th Assembly.
Recently, Xinhua News Agency reported upon
the 7th Plenary Conference,
mentioning Xi Jinpings presidings over the revision of
CCP’s Party Charter.
The same day, CCP mouthpiece media published an article,
saying how the “party building" will be a central topic for the 18th Assembly.
Some analysts believe that it will be Xi’s first priority
to administer CCP itself after he takes power.
Nov. 4th, Xinhua News said in a newsletter,
how Xi Jinping briefed an amendment of CCP’s Charter
on 7th Plenary Conference.
However, the report does not disclose further details
of the revision.
The same day, China News website published an article titled,
“Party Building: Keyword of 18th Assembly.”
The article pointed out, CCP’s rule is shaken by
bureaucratism, formalism, abuse of power, and corruption amongst Party members.
The scandals about Bo Xilai and Liu Zhijun further expose
the true lack of supervision within CCP itself.
The article says CCP once again has come to an historical
moment.
“Party building" becomes a critical problem for CCP’s survival,
and will become a keyword of the 18th Assembly.
“Party building" refers to the development of CCP itself.
Major CCP mouthpiece media all reproduced this report,
triggering a discussion over Xi Jinping’s political philosophy and primary task.
Chief Editor of “Beijing Spring" Magazine: “I do not think
he will perform differently.
He might propose some new slogans, but largely the
same as before, unworthy of attention.
I do no see him planning to carry out any significant reform.”
According to “World News," analysts believe,
as new head of 80 million CCP members,
it will be Xi’s primary task to manage such a huge entity.
Reports say that Xi Jinping is already the highest official in
charge of Party building even before he becomes new president.
The CCP’s journals he oversees, have published articles
criticizing the" hidden rules" within CCP.
In the last half a year, Xi Jinping has on at least six occasions,
talked publicly about CCP’s Party building,
stressing the importance of “maintaining and developing
CCP’s advanced nature and purity.”
Will Party building solve the current problems of China?
Dr. Li Tianxiao, Columbia University: “Through these
so-called reforms, CCP only tries to strengthen its leadership with more efficiency.
This will in no way benefit the people, and will even
exacerbate the situation of CCP’s dictatorship.
CCP’s main purpose is solely to pacify public dissatisfaction
and anger against itself.”
An unnamed scholar from Chinese Academy of Social
Sciences said in an interview with the Central News Agency,
the CCP’s internal supervision will never be effective,
since “one’s left hand can not supervise his right hand.”
Internet writer Jing Chu: “Internal supervision within CCP is
only a joke, like a doctor doing surgical operations upon himself.
Actually CCP does not need to do much. As long as it revokes
censorship over news and publication, loosens customs deregulation,
and abandons its internet police, the Chinese nation will revive
its intellectual vigor once more.
It is not that they (CCP) should do anything,
but that they should stop doing what they are doing now.”
However, Li Tianxiao, doctor of political science from
Columbia University points out,
the CCP’s “reforms” might also produce a counter-effect,
which even CCP would find an unexpected surprise.
Li Tianxiao: “On the one hand, (people) will break open
information blockages in order to access overseas resources.
Many people are already doing so by visiting oversea’s media,
such as NTD and Epoch Times.
On the other hand, when CCP’s repression comes to an extreme
point and people feel it is difficult to continue on with their lives,
they will organize amongst themselves to resist any further
CCP’s violent rule, and aim to bury it.”
Li Tianxiao says, the “side-effects” of reform are more
formidable to CCP, since they could potentially bring an end to CCP.