【新唐人2012年11月3日讯】外界盛传,大陆央行行长周小川在十八大之后即将卸任。最近,他出版的新书中指称,“调控货币供应量与央行保持物价稳定之间,并无必然联系。”他这个说法,被专家讥笑,认为,这个央行行长不过是国务院的出纳。
近年,大陆通货膨胀不断高涨,尤其是今年年初以来,不断上涨的物价令百姓叫苦连天。不少专家批评指出,中共当局投放大量救市的热钱所衍生的问题,是罪魁祸首。据报导,大陆经济界一些人士也在检讨,人民币是否有“货币超发”引起通膨的现象。
对于这个质疑,周小川在他的新书中声称,货币供应不仅应满足实物经济需要,还需满足服务业及金融市场需要﹔而人民币的流动性也应能满足后两者,因此没有超发问题。
但经济学家,美国“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田则指出,在经济体制正常的任何一个国家,货币供应量都是由央行控制,目地是控制通货膨胀,让经济有一个平稳的发展。
美“南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院”教授谢田:“货币供应量和社会的物价水平和通货膨胀是直接密切联系的。就是说,中国央行行长这个时候抛出这种说法,显然,是为中共政权它们制造的通货膨胀找借口,或者粉饰太平、掩盖通货膨胀很恶劣这样的一个真相。”
谢田分析,一旦发生通膨,会稀释下层百姓一生辛苦的积蓄,只有特权阶层才能从中取得更大的利益。因此,正常国家央行行长不会有周小川这样的论点。
谢田:“经济学家也会指出这个说法错误、荒谬的地方。但是,这是出自于中国中央银行行长之口,我们并不奇怪。因为,实际中共的特权和统治集团、利益集团,就是利用这个机会,把中国的财富都劫取到自己的手中。”
而中国人民银行作为国务院的组成部门,在国务院的领导下独立执行货币政策。对于这样的安排,周小川认为,这比较符合中国作为发展中国家和转轨经济国家的现实需要。
经济学家,美“普林斯顿大学”社会学博士程晓农指出,周所谓的“独立”执行货币政策,是它独立于其他政府部门。
美“普林斯顿大学”社会学博士程晓农:“它这个字要这样理解,他没说独立于国务院﹔要懂得读中国官僚的话语。央行的独立是指独立于中央政府,当然独立于其他政府部会﹔他现在总算和财政部算分开,但并没有独立于国务院,所以它是假独立。”
程晓农还不认同周小川所说﹕“不管未来会怎么发展,至少在现阶段,当前这个体制是符合中国国情的,也是被实践证明行之有效的。”程晓农指出,行之有效的结果是﹕中国货币过量投放。
程晓农:“政府要他有效的发行货币,要他发多少就发多少,他忠实的做到了。作为政府的出纳,是不是有效,当然有效。”
另外,程晓农还指出,曾经有大陆记者指问周小川,中国的央行能不能独立﹖周回答﹕“你逼我无语”。
程晓农:“你明明知道我没法独立,非要问我这句话,我只好什么也不说。如果用周小川这句话来理解,就是说,他是一个当政府钱口袋的央行行长,他只是个出纳。他的书一钱不值。”
作为出纳,对钱的来去没有发言权。因此,程晓农指出,作为一个不能独立的央行行长,他的观点不具重要性。
采访编辑/梁欣 后制/钟元
Ridiculed: Zhou Xiaochuan claimed currency supply has
nothing to do with inflation
It is widely rumored that Mainland Chinese central bank
governor Zhou Xiaochuan will retire after the 18th Congress.
Recently in his new book he claimed no connection between
controlling money supply and maintaining price stability.
His viewpoint is ridiculed by the experts.
They laughed at this central bank governor only the state
council’s cashier.
In recent years, inflations increased greatly in mainland China.
Especially from the start of this year, increasing prices made
everyday people suffer severely.
Many experts critically say the problem is made by the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) issuing money to save the market.
Mainland economists reviewed whether there existed “the
currency oversupply” phenomena to lead to the inflation.
For this query, in his new book, Zhou claimed currency supply
should not only cater to material economy, but also cater for the services and financial markets.
The mobility of RMB could cover the later two,
so the currency oversupply didn’t exist.
However, economist at University of South Carolina – Aiken
School of Business (USCASB) professor Xie Tian disagreed with the viewpoint.
He pointed out that in any normal economic system country,
the central bank controlled the currency supply in order to
control inflation and made the economy develop steadily.
USCASB professor Xie Tian: “it’s close connection between the
currency supply and social price degree and inflations.
The timing when the mainland central bank governor
made this statement is obviously to look for excuse for the inflation made by the CCP regime.
Or give a false peace and mask the wicked truth of inflation.”
Xie Tian analyzed that once inflation happened it will dilute
The laborious saving of the poorer people.
Only the privileged class could gain profits from (the inflation).
So, normal central bank governor didn’t have such viewpoints.
Xie Tian: “economists may also point out this wrong and
absurd viewpoint.
However, it’s not strange that the viewpoint was
spoken by the mainland central bank governor.
In fact, the CCP’s privileged class and interest group took
advantage of the chance to take Chinese social fortune into their own hands.”
As one department of state council, the People’s Bank of
China independently carries out currency policy led by state council.
For such arrangement, Zhou Xiaochuan thinks it’s in line with
reality required for a developing country and transition economy country like China.
Economist, sociology Dr. of Princeton University
Cheng Xiaonong says,
so-called independently carrying out currency policy,
is that it looks independent from other state department.
Cheng Xiaonong: “You can understand ‘independent’ like this,
he didn’t say it was independent from the state council;
you should study to understand the Chinese bureaucratic saying.
So-called independent, is independent from the central
government, of course it’s independent from other departments;
Now, it separated from Ministry of finance, but it isn’t independent
from state council, so it’s fake independence.”
Cheng Xiaonong disagreed with Zhou saying that no matter
how society developed, at least in this period,
the current system is in line with Chinese situations,
it’s proven effective.
Cheng Xiaonong also pointed out that the result of ‘effective’
is too much currency was issued.
Cheng Xiaonong: “The government asks it to issue currency, it
issued according with the government’s require, he did indeed.
As the cashier of the government, of course it’s effective.”
Also, Cheng points that mainland journalist has also asked
Zhou whether the mainland central bank could be independent?
Zhou answered, “you forced me to be speechless.”
Cheng Xiaonong: “you know clearly that it can’t be independent,
but you still ask such question, he has to say nothing.
If understanding from Zhou’s saying,
that as a central bank governor,
he is only a government money pocket,
he is a cashier. So his book is worthless.”
As a cashier, he has no speaking right to
where the money goes.
So, Cheng pointed out as a non-independent central bank
governor, his viewpoint is not important.