【禁聞】18大前胡錦濤軍中佈局 暗藏交易?

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【新唐人2012年8月1日訊】7月30號,中共中央軍委舉行晉升上將軍銜警銜儀式,胡錦濤頒發命令狀,6軍頭被晉升上將。其中主張民主自由並力挺胡錦濤的「國防大學」政委劉亞洲,和曾發表疑似「 唱紅」文章、被看作薄熙來人馬的成都軍區政委田思修,同時晉升上將,讓外界吃驚不小。學者指出,軍中根基不深的胡錦濤想再當兩年軍委主席,就不得不做交易。

這次晉升上將的是:總政治部副主任杜金才、「國防大學」政治委員劉亞洲、濟南軍區政治委員杜恆巖、成都軍區政治委員田修思和武警部隊司令員王建平、政治委員許耀元。

劉亞洲是中共元老李先念女婿,2003年劉亞洲晉升為空軍中將軍銜。他曾在2010年在媒體刊文批評中共現行政治體制,並有「 一個政治制度若不能讓公民自由呼吸等『必然滅亡』」的言論。今年4月,他在中共黨媒《求是》雜誌發表名為《增強講政治顧大局守紀律的自覺性和堅定性》的文章,其中兩次提到胡錦濤,被認為是中共軍方紅二代對中央高調表態「 效忠」的表現。

劉亞洲曾赴美做過訪問學者,得出美國成功之道,「 不在於華爾街,也不在於矽谷,而在於長盛不衰的法治和法治背後的制度。」他曾大膽預測,十年內中國將從威權政治轉型民主政治。

這次未能晉升上將的廣州軍區司令員徐粉林中將,雖然夠晉升資格,但因他具有江澤民背景,未獲晉升外界並不感到意外;而北京軍區政委劉福連,被外界稱之為胡錦濤最信賴的人,未能升任上將,出乎預料。

不過,成都軍區政治委員田修思的晉升則令外界看不懂。香港《明報》海外版日前報導,田修思今年4月發表類似「 唱紅」的文章,他先對「國防文化」大肆吹捧,然後,話鋒一轉又提到了「 紅歌」。他被外界視為薄派人馬。

《中國事務》主編伍凡:「包括和薄熙來有關的劉源、成都軍區的政委,還有連重慶警備區司令也出來了,等等,這是非常明顯的一種政治交易。他不追究了,範圍就縮小到薄熙來一個人。他這樣的好處是甚麼呢?對胡錦濤第一個:穩住軍隊了,軍隊現在跟他走,第二,它可以再做兩年軍委主席。」

伍凡指出,胡錦濤本身軍中的根基不是很深,他想再幹兩年軍委主席,需要得到多數將領的支持,所以,他赦免了與薄熙來有關係的軍中一切將領。

不過,香港《蘋果日報》表示,中共軍頭授上將銜的授銜儀式一延再延,加上外界言之鑿鑿的「北戴河會議」也未能如期在25號舉行,顯示中共高層在黨、政、軍高層人事安排上還在激鬥。

時事評論員文昭:「18大中央軍委的大部分人也面臨著換屆問題,所以軍隊內部存在著誰上誰下的問題,在將領當中存在著謀晉升、也存在這種躁動不安的情緒。所以,這種情況下,軍隊中的派系和黨內的政治派系互相串聯,形成彼此支持的一種格局,所以,引起局面就非常複雜。」

文昭指出,今年,胡錦濤才得到郭伯雄、徐才厚等軍方負責人的支持,他要如何通過晉升將領來掌握軍隊,並且又能安定軍心,胡錦濤面臨艱難處境。而提升軍隊裡自己的人馬,是18大軍委換屆的重要環節,也是胡錦濤18大整體權力佈局的一部分。

《明報》認為,在武警部隊歷史上,司令、政委同時晉升上將屬於首次,這與武警近年來在「維穩」中角色吃重有關。

而《蘋果日報》則明說,當局會在管制傳媒、網絡、民眾請願等方面的「維穩」,維持高壓。

採訪/陳漢 編輯/宋風 後製/周天

Hu Jintao Appoints Six Army Generals

A ceremony for conferring the rank of General was held by

military authorities of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).

Hu Jintao delivered commissions at the ceremony

on July 30th to six new Generals.

One of them is Liu Yazhou, who advocates democracy

and freedom, and openly supports Hu Jintao.

Another one, Tian Sixiu, who was seen a “red-culture” follower

of Bo Xilai, made a big surprise with his promotion to the public.

Commentators say, a political deal was made behind the promotion,

as Hu Jintao tries to hold military head tenure for two more years.

The six newly promoted Generals are:

Du Jincai, deputy director, the General Political Department,

Liu Yazhou, political commissar, the National Defense University,

Du Hengyan, political commissar, the Jinan Military Region,

Tian Xiusi, political commissar, the Chengdu Military Region,

Wang Jianping, commander, the Armed Police Force, and

Xu Yaoyuan, political commissar, the Armed Police Force.

Liu Yazhou, the son-in-law of Li Xiannian, one of

the CCP’s veterans, was promoted to the rank of Air Force lieutenant general in 2003.

In his articles published in 2010, Liu criticized the existing

political system,

saying “a political system is doomed

if it prohibits the citizens from breathing freely.”

This April, Liu Yazhou twice mentioned Hu Jintao in his article

published in the Qiushi Journal, an official media of the CCP.

Liu’s remarks were considered as “loyal pledge” to Hu Jintao

on behalf of the 2nd generation of the CCP’s revolutionary cadres.

Liu Yazhou once went to the U.S. as a visiting scholar.

He attributed the American success to

“the thriving rule of law and the establishment behind it.”

Liu even predicted that within a decade, China will have

a transformation from authoritarian to democracy.

Xu Fenlin, Guangzhou Military Region commander,

unsurprisingly failed to be promoted for having close ties with Jiang Zemin.

While Liu Fulian, political commissar of the

Beijing Military Region,

known as the most reliable minor of Hu Jintao,

unexpectedly did not get promotion.

Tian Xiusi’s elevation puzzled the public.

Hong Kong’s “Ming Pao" has reported that Tian praised

“singing red-songs” in his article published this April, who was deemed under Bo Xilai’s force.

Wu Fan (Chief Editor, China Affairs): “People who have ties with

Bo Xilai, like LiuYuan, Chengdu Military Region political commissar,

and even the Chongqing Garrison Commander, have all shown up.

This is a very obviously political deal indicating that

Hu Jintao will make no further investigation on Bo Xilai’s case.

Hu thus gained two benefits:

1. Having controlled and stabilized the military;

2. Stays on as Military head for extra two years.”

Wu Fan notes that Hu Jintao does not have

deep foundations in the army.

If he wants to keep the military chief post,

he needs the support from the majority of the army generals.

That is why Hu pardoned all military generals linked to Bo Xilai.

However, Hong Kong’s Apple Daily commented that

this investiture ceremony has been repeatedly delayed.

Plus the CCP’s Beidaihe meeting was not held

as scheduled on July 25.

This showed an intense fighting is stilling going on

among the CCP’s top-level for the personnel assignments in the Party, its regime and the army, said the news report.

Wen Zhao (Critic): “The Central Military Commission(CMC) is

also facing a leadership transition at the CCP’s 18th congress.

That involves the issue of internal promotion.

So the army factions colluded with the political cliques to

form a mutual supportive situation, which gave rise to a very complex reality.”

Wen Zhao says that Hu Jintao gained support from army

top seniors including Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou.

But Hu faces a difficult balancing act between getting an overall

military control by rank promotions and stabilizing the army.

For Hu Jintao, having his men elevated into the CMC

is an important part at the 18th congress.

It is also a component of Hu’s plan of overall power divisions,

according to Wen Zhao.

The Ming Pao said, it was the first time in the history of

the CCP’s armed police force that

its commander and political commissar were both

promoted at the same time.

This is related to its heavier role that the armed police force

have played for “stability preservation” over recent years, the article commented.

The Apple Daily warned that the regime’s high-handed

“stability preservation” policy will continue on the media, the internet, and on the public petitions.

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