【新唐人2012年7月27日訊】7.21暴雨引發北京「60年特大水災」，外界普遍認為，導致這次水災是三分天災，七分人禍。事發後不久，北京市長郭金龍、副市長吉林分別辭去、職務，並得到獲准，在水災最需要善後的情況下，他們的辭職格外的令人不解。下面我們來看一下專家的分析解讀。

25號中共喉舌媒體發佈消息，北京市市長郭金龍和副市長吉林辭職，但是卻沒有提及辭職的原因，也沒有提到兩人是否辭去黨內的職務。

郭金龍前不久被任命為北京市委書記，分析認為，按照中共慣例，在接任了新的黨內職務後，應該辭去原來的市長職務。

美國「哥倫比亞大學」政治學博士、時政評論家李天笑指出，他們的任免，實際上都是晉升，郭金龍晉升為市委書記，率先取得中共十八大政治局的入場券，而政協主席王安順晉升為市長。

時政評論家 李天笑：「 （郭金龍）他不是真辭職，真辭職就連北京市委書記一塊辭職了 ，他現在不能夠同時兼任市長和市委書記，他總得要辭，所以他看到民眾對死亡人數有質疑，中共下水道一直不管，藉這個事情來平息民憤，好像做出來一種姿態，跟國際接軌，實際上是玩維穩的這麼一個花招。」

時事評論員文昭也認為，北京市長的人事調換是有意誤導公眾，愚弄民意。

時事評論員 文昭：「也沒有交代他們有甚麼責任，但是也不說是一個正常的人事變動，好像讓你感到有一點他要承擔責任的意味，但是他又不解釋原因，他要的就是這種經濟效果。」

李天笑還指出，江澤民「血債幫」的大頭目劉淇也難辭其咎。劉淇是前任的北京市委書記。

李天笑：「很多事情並不是他（郭金龍）一個人幹的，劉淇等這些人一塊幹的，那麼劉淇是江澤民主要的『血債幫』的一個大的頭目，在北京市安插在那裏。這樣的話，劉淇實際上要對這些事情負主要責任，那麼現在劉淇不在了，他覺得他可能自己要替劉淇承擔他的責任覺得冤枉，這樣的話乾脆把責任推掉，臨陣逃脫，所以這裡邊有多種因素。」

此外，李天笑還表示，中共利用大量的資金控制訪民，迫害法輪功。維穩經費超過軍費，卻不在市政建設下任何功夫，拿老百姓的生命當兒戲。同時，按照一般的常規來說，郭金龍應該是把整個救災和善後的事處理好以後，才可以辭職。

李天笑：「在台灣大水災的時候，行政院長他本來當時就要辭職，但是，他說我到一個月之後再辭職，為甚麼呢，這個月裡邊，他把所有的水災之後的善後工作全部做好了，然後辭職，像當時的日本的官員他也是這樣，所以說他(郭金龍)是在最不應該的時候辭職，為甚麼？就是他想臨陣逃脫，推脫責任。」

文昭指出，如果，讓他們提前辭職是為了承擔責任，那將引起民眾對他們更大的問責風暴，對他們來說，這才是更大的「不穩定」，所以中共當局是有意對郭金龍等辭職的原因含糊、不解釋清楚，基本的意圖是十八大之前的「維穩第一」。

李天笑還表示，從各種微博傳播的信息可以看到，老百姓現在民怨鼎沸，但是老百姓沒有實質的辦法可以真正制約中共官員的為非作歹。北京市的防災措施能真正得到改善，只有等中共政權下臺以後了。

採訪編輯/常春 後製/薛莉

Experts Unveil Insider Information on Resignation of Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong

Heavy rain on July 21 has led

to devastating floods in Beijing.

Overseas observers widely believed that

the flood is 30% natural, and 70% manmade.

Soon after the flood, Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong,

and Vice Mayor Ji Lin resigned.

It’s hard to understand how they can resign when

the city needs urgent rehabilitation after the flood.

Let’s hear from the experts.

Chinese Communist Party (CCP) official

media released reports on July 25.

Beijing Mayor Guo Jinlong,

and Vice Mayor Ji Lin, have resigned.

The report didn’t give reasons, and didn’t mention

whether they have also quit their positions inside the party.

Guo Jinlong was appointed to be the CCP Beijing

Secretary shortly before the flood.

Analysts said that according to CCP convention, the mayor

will resign when they take over the party secretary’s position.

Current affairs’ commentator Li Tianxiao, based

at U.S. Columbia University, highlights that the

appointment and resignation in Beijing is a sign of promotion.

Guo Jinlong has been promoted to be Party Secretary.

This means he has received the ticket to be a member

of the Politburo in the CCP’s 18th National Congress.

Wang Anshun was promoted to Mayor from

City Chairman of the Political Consultative Conference.

Li Tianxiao: “It’s not a true resignation. If (Guo Jinlong) really

wants to resign, he will resign as the CCP’s secretary as well.

He cannot take the position of secretary and mayor in the

same time. He has to resign from one of the roles.

When he saw the people questioning the flood death toll,

and the government not taking care of the sewer system,

he wants to use the resignation to calm public anger.

He wants to use the resignation to give a gesture

that the CCP is matching international standards.

But in fact, this is the CCP’s trick to maintain stability.”

Wen Zhao, a current affairs’ commentator also highlighted

that changing the mayors is trying to mislead the public. It is fooling the public’s opinion.

Wen Zhao: “The government didn’t say which kind

of responsibility the resigning mayor took.

It didn』t say whether it’s a normal change, and so appears

that (Guo Jinlong) is taking part of the responsibility.

This is the effect they want to make.”

Li Tianxiao says that Liu Qi, a main leader in Jiang Zemin’s

“Blood Debt Faction", should also take responsibility.

Liu Qi is the former CCP Beijing secretary.

Li Tianxiao: “Many things were not done by (Guo Jinlong).

They were done by Liu Qi and other CCP officials.

As a main leader of Jiang Zemin’s

‘Blood Debt Faction’, Liu Qi was set in Beijing.

It means Liu Qi should have primarily taken responsibility.

Now, Liu Qi isn’t in Beijing, Guo Jinlong might think he will

take the responsibility which should be taken by Liu Qi. Then Guo Jinlong may feel innocent.

That’s the reason why he resigned the position

to remove responsibility. There are many reasons behind it.”

In addition, Li Tianxiao said the CCP spends a lot of money

controlling petitioners and persecuting Falun Gong.

Spending on maintaining stability

is much higher than the military budget.

The CCP didn’t work hard on the city’s construction.

It takes the lives of the people as a trifling matter.

According to international conventions,

Guo Jinlong shouldn’t resign before the matter of relief and rehabilitation has been finished.

Li Tianxiao: " The premier of Taiwan had planned

to resign, but there was a flood.

Then he said he would postpone

the resignation for one month. Why?

Because during this month, he can lead the government

to finish recovery from the flood. It’s the same in Japan.

That』s the reason why I say that this

is the very time Guo Jinlong should not resign.

Guo Jinlong wants to run away

and shirk his responsibility.”

Wen Zhao pointed out that if the resignation

is about taking responsibility, it will spark a bigger storm.

The people ask for those responsible.

This is the larger “instability” for the CCP.

So, it’s the CCP’s trick that didn’t explain

the reason why Guo Jinlong has resigned.

The basic purpose is the CCP is 『maintaining stability』

before the 18th National Congress.

Li Tianxiao also said that based on the information that

is spread on the internet, the Chinese grievances are huge.

Chinese people don’t have a realistic solution

to restrict CCP officials from committing evil.

The disaster prevention measures in Beijing can

only be improved after the CCP regime steps down.