【新唐人2012年6月5日訊】今年是「六四事件」23週年，中共政權在「六四」血腥鎮壓學生請願之後，對民間言論一直採取「壓制」而不是「疏導」的手段。今年「六四」之前，貴州、福建、山東、北京等地都有民眾聚集，要求「平反六四」。中共當局對六四的態度似乎出現鬆動。也有傳言指稱，習近平上任後可能平反六四。

最新一期的「亞洲週刊」報導，北京盛傳國務院總理溫家寶提議「平反六四」，又傳將於中共十八大上位總書記的習近平，會在任期2、3年的時候「平反六四」。

時事評論員夏小強分析，這釋放出兩個信息，一方面，外界都在呼籲胡溫進行政改，胡溫釋放出「平反六四」的信號作為初步動作，但是，夏小強表示，不能忽視信號後面存在的背景。

夏小強：「這個背景就是，胡溫這屆政府和習近平下一屆政府，不願意延續江澤民、周永康『血債幫』迫害法輪功的政策，而與其切割，展開的對『血債幫』的全面清算。在這個背景下，這些消息只是為了維持政局與社會短期的穩定，同時打擊『血債幫』的一個手段。」

其次，夏小強認為，放出「在習近平手中平反六四」的消息，還可以解讀為，江澤民、周永康等人試圖拖延受清算的時間，因為習近平接班是在十八大之後。

夏小強：「大家知道，『六四問題』只是『血債幫』面臨清算的第一個問題，而『法輪功問題』，是江澤民、周永康『血債幫』最恐懼的問題，也是胡、溫這屆政府必須在任期內－－也就是十八大前，必須面對、必須解決的問題。這問題不解決，那麼薄熙來之後，胡溫所做的一切動作和努力都等於是白費了。」

當年「六四」屠城，鄧小平、李鵬、楊尚昆、陳希同被併稱為「四大元兇」。李鵬在被中共禁止出版的『李鵬日記』中指出，當時是鄧小平下令軍隊進京，在北京實行戒嚴，而他自己則是被人用陰謀推到了鎮壓的第一線。另外，近期保外就醫的前北京市委書記陳希同也在香港出書，表白自己在「六四事件」中沒有向鄧小平謊報軍情，同時否認他是戒嚴部隊的總指揮。

這些當年鐵腕實施「鎮壓六四」的官員，紛紛開始推卸責任，外媒分析認為，這說明中國局勢在變。大陸著名經濟學家茅於軾6月1號對香港媒體表示，他認為「六四」可能今年就能平反。

不過，獨立評論員周陽提出了相反的看法，他認為，寄希望於現在的中共政權「平反六四」是不可能的，首先，中共選拔幹部的方法，不可能產生銳意改革的政治家，上馬的官員只注重個人或小集團的經濟利益。

獨立評論員周陽：「他們對待六四這樣的問題，包括台灣、西藏、新疆等等紛爭，都是採取的一個策略——拖，繞開問題走，那問題留給後代去解決 ，他先享受享受再說吧。」”

其次，周陽認為，太多過去的教訓顯示，不能對中共報以樂觀的想法。

周陽：「這方面教訓我們經歷的已經是很多很多了，共產黨做法一貫是，私底下和臺面上是兩回事。我還是勸大家，不要上表面現象的當。要想解決六四、法輪功等等很多問題，必須先得解體中共建立民主制度。」

今年，在美國留學的20個80後大陸留學生，聯名致信中共胡錦濤、習近平，要求在十八大中平反「六四」。也有網民通過網絡了解「六四」真相後，舉辦演唱會紀念「六四」。「六四事件」過去了23年，在中國大陸仍然是被封鎖的秘密。

採訪/常春 編輯/尚燕 後製/柏妮

Can Xi Jinping Redress June 4?

This year is the 23rd Anniversary

of the Tiananmen Square Massacre.

After the CCP regime brutally repressed the students,

“suppression” replaced “mediation” as the only way for CCP to deal with freedom of speech.

Before June 4 this year, people in Guizhou, Fujian, Shandong,

Beijing and other places got together to ask for June 4 incident to be redressed.

The CCP’s attitude on the June 4 incident

seems to be loosening.

Some rumors suggest Xi Jinping may redress

the June 4 incident after he takes office.

The latest edition of “Asian Weekly” reported rumors from

Beijing that Wen Jiabao has proposed to redress the June 4 incident.

Xi Jinping, who will become CCP General Secretary

in the 18th CCP National Congress, will redress the June 4 incident in the second or third year in his term.

Commentator Xia Xiaoqiang said there

have been two signals released.

On the one hand, the outside world is calling for Hu

and Wen to make political reform.

Therefore, Hu and Wen released the “redressing”

message as a preliminary action.

However, Xia Xiaoqiang said that the existing background

behind the message cannot be ignored.

Xia Xiaoqing: “The background is that the Hu-Wen

government and the forthcoming Xi Jinping government

do not want to continue the policy of persecuting Falun Gong.

This policy was started by Jiang Zemin, Zhou Yongkang

and other 『blood-debt’ faction members.

They want to expose and criticize the 『blood-debt- faction.

With this background, such news is just a means to maintain

short-term stabilization and attack the 『blood-debt’ group.”

On the other hand, Xia Xiaoqiang thought that the news

shows that Jiang Zemin and Zhou Yongkang are trying to delay their punishment.

This is because Xi Jinping will take office

after the 18th CCP National Congress.

Xia Xiaoqing: “As we know, the June 4 incident is just

one issue the 『blood-debt’ faction faces.

The Falun Gong issue should be the most worrying

thing which Jiang and Zhou currently face.

The Falun Gong issue must be solved within the term of the

Hu-Wen government before the 18th CCP National Congress.

If this issue cannot be solved, then all the efforts

from Hu and Wen will be in vain after the Bo Xilai event.”

Deng Xiaoping, Li Peng, Yang Shangkun and Chen Xitong

are the “four culprits” in the June 4 Massacre.

Li Peng addressed this in his diary, which was prohibited

by the CCP from being published by CCP.

It was Deng Xiaoping who ordered the army to go to Beijing,

and make the imposition of martial law in Beijing.

Li Peng said he himself was just pushed

into the first repression line caused by a conspiracy.

Chen Xitong, former CCP Secretary in Beijing, published

a book in Hong Kong after medical parole.

He mentioned in the book that he did not send untrue

information on the Tiananmen incident to Deng Xiaoping.

He denied that he was the commander

of the martial law troops.

The officials who implemented the repression policy

with iron fists began to shirk their responsibility.

Overseas media thought that this phenomena shows

that China is changing.

Mao Yushi, a famous economist in mainland China,

spoke to Hong Kong media.

He thought the June 4 incident

will be redressed this year.

However, Zhou Yang, an independent commentator,

put forward a contradictory view.

He thought that it is impossible for the

current CCP regime to redress the June 4 incident.

First, it is impossible to produce a reform-minded

politician within the CCP method of selecting officials.

The selected officials only focus on economic

interests of individuals or small groups.

Zhou Yang: “Delaying is the only strategy they choose

for dealing with June 4 incident, Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang.

They bypass the issue and leave them to future generations.

What they are concerned with is enjoying life.”

Secondly, Zhou Yang thought that too many past lessons

show that people should not feel optimistic towards the CCP.

Zhou Yang: “We have many lessons.

The fact is that the CCP can say one thing and do another.

I advise that we should not believe

the surface phenomenon.

If we want to solve June 4, Falun Gong and other issues,

then we should disintegrate the CCP. We should establish a democratic system.”

This year, twenty 1980’s students from mainland China

who study in the U.S. wrote a joint letter to Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping.

They ask for redressing the June 4 incident

during the 18th CCP National Congress.

Some mainland people get the truth

on the June 4 incident through the internet.

They organized concerts to

commemorate the incident.

The June 4 incident was 23 years ago, but it is still

a secret blocked in mainland China.