【新唐人2012年5月2日訊】在中國，薄熙來倒臺事件還在持續，緊接著維權人士陳光誠逃出中共軟禁，再次震撼當局。最近有外媒發表一篇名為「四大震驚可能改變中國」的文章，內容提到在過去的四個月以來，中共經歷了四大震驚，而這些衝擊波很有可能會影響到中共在中國社會的「領導地位」。到底是哪四大震驚呢？現在就讓我們一起來了解。
文章所指的四大震驚，首先是在去年12月13號，廣東烏坎村民起義，趕跑了地方的貪官和警察，取得了烏坎的自主權。
第二個是2月27號，中共國務院「發展研究中心」與「世界銀行」合作，發出「中國2030（China 2030)）報告，公開警告說，中國自詡 中國2030的國家資本主義模式不能維持經濟增長，不能帶領中國進入下一個水平。
第三是，重慶市公安局長王立軍夜逃美領館，4月10號，重慶的共產黨領導人薄熙來被解除職務，趕出了中央政治局。
接著，4月27號，盲人維權人士陳光誠，在網友協助下避開警衛，逃出在山東農村被軟禁的家，抵達北京，進入美國大使館避難。文章指出，這四個衝擊可能改變中國。
經濟專家謝田：「你要說導致中國改變的話，我覺的鎮壓法輪功也是一點，六.四也是另外一點，不論怎麼說，我覺得他這個看法現在看到這個現象是準確的。中國的巨變在西方人看來，西方研究者看來中共馬上要垮臺，我們在海外研究中國問題學者和其他人來看，實際上已經不可逆轉在進行之中。」
中共接二連三發生的醜聞，已經讓中國人民厭倦腐敗和地方政府的無能。
時事評論員藍述表示，尤其是陳光誠事件，反映了凌駕於中國憲法之上的中共體制是一個極權統治。
時事評論員藍述：「中共和這個法治社會不相容和憲法徹底的對立，和中國社會的最大的農民群體的民主要求不可相容，這方方面面的體現出來的中共它已經走到了窮途末路了，這種情況之下，它表現出來，實際上是這個北京領導人它必須拋棄中共的這個舊的體制，它才有可能把中國社會引向未來，這個是一個非常值得北京領導人去思考的問題。」
藍述認為，改變中國的唯一的一條出路就是放棄這個共產主義的體制，拋棄共產黨，只有這樣做，中國才有未來。
時事評論員藍述：「現在很明顯中共的這個體制有相當一部分人不願意放棄它，是因為把持權利的這一批人裡面，有一批人他們手上沾有對中國的異議人士（包括法輪功）對他們鎮壓，他們手上有血債，他們害怕一旦放棄權力，或者說一旦進行改革失去權力之後，他們自己會受到清算。」
經濟專家謝田：「我同意當前分析，就是勢必涉及到這個周永康政法委的問題，最後江澤民整個的這個血債派，中共血債派的這些領導人。如果中國胡溫政權，他能真正的從現在開始把這個政法委毒瘤解除掉，甚至把共產黨從內部解體的話，我想對全中國人民和對他自己都是有好處的。」
謝田進一步表示，中共已經欠下太多的血債，胡溫應該在這個關鍵時刻跟「血債派」分裂，這樣才可能改變中國。
採訪/朱智善 編輯/黃容 後製/郭敬
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Media Reports Four Shocks That May Change China
With the effects of the Bo Xilai event spreading in China,
the escape of human rights activist Chen Guangcheng gave
another shock to the CCP.
Recently, a Forbes article was published entitled
“Four Shocks That Could Change China.”
This article mentioned that the CCP had experienced four
major shocks in the past four months.
These shock waves may affect the CCP』s
“leadership position” in China.
What are the four shocks? We discuss this together.
The first of the four shocks refers to the Wukan event.
On Dec. 13 2011, Wukan villagers in Guangdong started
an uprising.
They gained the autonomy of Wukan and drove away
local corrupt officials and police.
The second shock refers to the “China 2030” report
published by Development Research Center of the CCP
State Council and the World Bank.
The report warned publicly that CCP praising the national
capitalist model can neither sustain economic growth,
nor push China to enter the next level.
The third shock refers to the Wang Lijun event.
Wang Lijun from the Public Security Bureau in Chongqing
escaped to the U.S. Consulate at night.
On Apr. 10, Bo Xilai, the CCP leader in Chongqing
was removed from his position in the Politburo.
The last shock is that of Chen Guangcheng.
Chen is a blind human right activist.
On Apr. 27, he escaped from house arrest in rural Shandong
with the help of several friends recognized through internet.
After escape, he arrived in Beijing and entered into the U.S.
Embassy seeking asylum.
The Forbes article pointed out that these four shocks
may change China.
」 Economic expert Xie Tian: “When you mentioned
changes in China, I think one should be Falun Gong.
Another should be June 4th event.
Whatever the article pointed, I agree with the idea–western
researchers noted that the CCP is going to step down.
And from the points of overseas researchers on China
issues, the change is now irreversibly in process.”
With one CCP scandal after another, Chinese people are
now tired of corruption and local government incompetence.
Commentator Lan Shu said the Chen Guangcheng event
reflects the CCP』s totalitarian rule over the Constitution.
Lan Shu: “The CCP is incompatible with the Constitution,
and it is incompatible with democracy requirements。
from farmers, the largest group in Chinese society.
From all aspects, show that the CCP are walking towards its end.
Thus, the reality for Beijing』 leaders would be:
giving up the Communism system,
this is the only possible way which will lead China to a good future,
this indeed need to considered by Beijing』 leaders.”
Lan Shu thinks the only way to change China
is to give up the CCP system.
Only by doing so will China has a bright future.
Lan Shu: “Obviously, a considerable proportion of people
inside the CCP system do not want to give it up.
Some of the powerful people overwhelm
the dissidents, including Falun Gong.
They have blood in their hands. They are afraid of giving
up power, or losing power through reform.
They know they will be liquidated.”
Economic expert Xie Tian: “I agree with the current analysis.
These events are bound to involve Zhou Yongkang
and Politics and Law Committee.
They even involve Jiang Zemin and the total
『blood-debt group.』
If Hu-Wen starts to remove this malignant tumor
and disintegrate the CCP internally, it will be benefit
to all the Chinese and themselves.”
Xie Tian further pointed out that the CCP
owes too much blood.
At this critical moment, Hu-Wen should draw a line under
the “blood-debt group”, then they can change China.