【新唐人2014年09月18日訊】大陸富人近年來移民成風。一項最新的統計數據顯示，目前有近半數的中國+富豪打算在未來的五年之內移居其他國家。如果再加上近三分之一已經移民海外的富豪，高達70%的大陸富人移民比例，已經稱得上「世界之最」。有評論指出，安全感的缺失，使移民成了中國富人的「自衛手段」。

9月17號上午，因為要在美國上市，而被媒體炒得火熱的阿里巴巴集團，忽然在官方微博發表聲明說，該集團總裁馬雲的戶口目前在杭州，未來也不會有任何移民計劃。聲明還表示，網上熱傳的「馬雲已經移民香港」的消息，存在「失實」。

這個聲明是針對香港媒體《信報》前一天的一篇報導發出的。報導說，馬雲現身阿里巴巴在香港的路演時透露，已經通過投資移民落戶香港，預計在明年底就會正式成為香港永久居民。報導還說，馬雲還透露已經在香港置業，並希望晚年在香港度過。

一則「爆料」，一份「闢謠」，截然不同的兩種說法，引發了網民的關注和熱議。有趣的是，大多數網民相信馬雲已經移民，理由是「如果能走，誰會不走? 」。也有的網民認為，阿里巴巴集團的聲明是在放「煙霧彈」，因為聲明自始至終沒有出現「不移民香港」幾個字。加上馬雲隨後發文又聲稱「移民香港」應該說是「移居香港」，令網民更加篤定，馬雲是在玩文字遊戲。

不管馬雲是否真的移民香港，但大陸富豪熱衷移民卻是不爭的事實。據國際知名金融公司巴克萊(Barclays)最新發表的調查報告稱，中國大陸有47%的富人正在考慮，在未來的五年內移民到發達國家。這個數字，遠遠高於受調查的其他國家29%的平均比例。

中國問題獨立評論員李善鑒：「我個人的看法，比例它說50%，可能這還是十分保守的，如果在被調查的人的隱私被充分的保證的時候，我相信這個比例還會更高。」

另外，今年年初的「胡潤研究院」調查報告顯示，中國+富豪移民比例高達64%，其中有1/3身價超過億元的富豪已經移民。

中國富人為甚麼熱衷於移民呢？

中國金融智庫研究員鞏勝利：「第一個問題是政治環境發生了變化，一個是中國現在那些有錢人，很多是發的不義之財，這是一個的重要因素。第二個是中國的土地、空氣、還有水土啊，這種大自然的環境也發生了變化，這種變化使人類的生存可能都比較麻煩。還有一個情況就是，中國現在這個所謂的法制建設，因為在一黨之下，法制環境沒有制衡，所以這個人文環境也發生了變化。」

而巴萊克的調查報告則顯示，受訪的大陸富人移民海外的最主要原因分別是：使子女獲得更好的教育和就業機會，佔78%；經濟安全，佔73%；理想氣候環境，佔73%；以及更好的醫療保障和福利，佔18%。

雖然在各種因素中，「子女教育」佔據比例最高，但有分析指出，除了讓子女接受西方國家優質的教育之外，富豪們更多的是想藉助子女給自己留後路。因為大部分評論觀點都認為，大陸富豪移民的根本原因，是出於安全感的缺失。

李善鑒：「很多人其實他把孩子送出來，他也是覺得孩子將來在國外如果是能夠立足，那對他來講是一個後路。因為在中國，無論是多有權的人，還是多有錢的人，都會對自身的將來對自身的安危，充滿了不確定性的擔憂。」

中國問題獨立評論員李善鑒指出，大陸獨有的政治環境，決定了僅僅憑著遵守法紀的經商和投資，是無法成為億萬富翁的。往往派系鬥爭的失敗，會使通過官商勾結和不正當手段得來的億萬家財付之一炬，有些被「惦記」上的富豪甚至會性命不保。這種情況，即使是重新建立法律體系，也是無濟於事的。唯一「自保」的方法，只有逃離中國。

採訪編輯/張天宇 後製/李智遠

Jack Ma’s Immigration Hoax; The Exodus of China’s Rich

China has been seeing a trend of rich mainlanders

leaving the country in recent years.

Recent statistics show that nearly half of China richest

intend to relocate to other countries within the next five years.

Add to that the nearly 30 percent of Chinese tycoons who’ve

already emigrated, and you’ve got 70 percent

of China’s wealthy population going abroad, which can be said

to be the largest proportion of wealthy emigrants in the world.

Observers say that emigration has become the means of

self-defense for Chinese wealthy who feel unsafe in China.

On the morning of Sept. 17, Alibaba Group, which will soon

be listed in the U.S., has unexpectedly posted on its official

page on Weibo, China’s version of Twitter, saying that

the Group’s President Jack Ma has a permanent residence

registered in Hangzhou, and has no plans to emigrate.

The statement also said that popular online rumors

claiming that Ma had emigrated Hong Kong are false.

This statement a response to a previous report

by the Hong Kong Economic Journal.

The report said that Ma’s immigration to Hong Kong

via investment was revealed during a promotional event

for Alibaba in Hong Kong, and he will become a permanent

resident of Hong Kong at the end of next year.

The report also said Ma also revealed that he purchased

a house in Hong Kong and wants to live out his old age there.

The two opposing arguments, one claiming to “break news"

and one claiming to “refute rumors" have attracted much

attention and discussion among netizens.

Interestingly, the majority of netizens say that Ma has left,

reasoning that most who are able to emigrate from China do.

Some netizens say the statement by Alibaba Group is a smoke

screen, as it has no mention any immigration to Hong Kong.

Additionally, Ma subsequently stated he’d move

to Hong Kong instead of immigrating,

making netizens assured Ma is playing with words.

It’s an indisputable fact that wealthy mainlanders are keen to

emigrate, regardless of whether Ma immigrated to Hong Kong.

A survey report by the international finance corporation

Barclays says that 47 percent of rich mainland Chinese people

are considering emigrating to the developed countries

within the next five years.

This figure is much higher than the average ratio of 29 percent

from other surveyed countries.

Li Shanjian, independent China commentator: “My personal

opinion is that 50 percent is very conservative.

I believe the ratio would have been even higher if the privacy

of the respondents was fully guaranteed."

Additionally, the Hurun Research Institute’s survey this year

showed that the proportion of wealthy Chinese immigrants

is up to 64 percent, one third of whom are worth more than

1 billion yuan ($162.8 million) and have already immigrated.

Why are wealthy Chinese so keen on emigrating?

Gong Shengli, Chinese financial think-tank researcher:

“The first reason is the political environment has changed.

Many of today’s rich Chinese made their wealth

from ill-gotten gains, and this is an important aspect.

Second is the damage to the natural environment, including air,

land, and water, making human survival more troublesome.

Lastly, because of one-party rule,

there are no checks and balances in the legal environment,

and so the culture itself has also been changed,."

The investigative report from Barclays reveals that the main

reason Chinese responders say they want to emigrate is

to have their children get a better education and employment

opportunities, accounting for 78 percent of responses;

economic security and an ideal climate each accounted for

73 percent; and better health care and benefits accounted

for 18 percent of responses.

Although for a variety of factors, concern for children’s

education took the highest proportion, analysts say that

in addition to good education in Western countries,

the rich want to take advantage of the children

to leave themselves a way out.

Most observers say that the main reason for wealthy mainland

Chinese immigrants is their feeling a lack of security.

Li Shanjian: “Many people actually got themselves

a way to escape by sending their children out.

Because in China, no matter how much wealth or power one

has, one is full of uncertainty for one’s own future and safety."

Li says the mainland’s unique political environment decides

that people can’t become a billionaire by merely complying

with the law of business and investment regulations.

Often factional struggle will destroy the massive wealth

received through collusion or unfair means.

Some billionaires can’t even ensure their own safety.

In that case, even the re-established legal system is useless.

The only means of self-protection is to flee China.

Interview & Edit/Zhang Tianyu Post-Production/Li Zhiyuan