【新唐人2013年12月14日訊】朝鮮二號人物張成澤已經被處死了。官方發佈的判決書聲稱他「試圖政變奪權」。但專家分析認為，張成澤被國際上視為改革派和親中派，有可能對最近朝鮮軍方激進的核武器發展策略不滿，而跟軍方和領導人金正恩發生衝突。另有傳言說，張成澤企圖扶持前領導人金正日的長子金正男上位，最終惹來殺身之禍。
張成澤被解除職務及開除出黨後沒有幾天，就傳出已被定罪及判處死刑，立即執行。
官媒形容權傾一時、左右朝鮮大局的張成澤，是「狗也不如」的人渣，是「千古逆賊」。官方發佈的判決書說，張成澤藉助美國和朝鮮的「戰略忍耐」政策、和「等待戰略」，用盡一切手段和方法，惡毒的企圖篡奪黨和國家的最高權力。
判決書指稱，在前領導人金正日選擇接班人的過程中，張成澤「心懷二意」。
復旦大學韓國朝鮮研究中心副教授蔡建相信，「政變奪權」是金正恩迅速處死張成澤的主要原因。
復旦大學韓國朝鮮研究中心副教授蔡建：「從他公布的罪名來說，是張成澤直接想發動政變，顛覆這個政權，要奪權。這樣的行為在朝鮮來講是無法容忍的，所以他迅速的高調的逮捕，並且審理，並且立即處決這個事情，也是為了強化他的政權，或震懾潛在的反對派的勢力。」
同時，蔡建認為，張成澤也很有可能意圖政變、推翻金正恩。
蔡建：「因為張成澤在國際社會經常被看成是改革派或者親中派，可能對金正恩或軍方推行的一些強硬路線，可能一直持比較反對的態度。如果實行那些路線的話，對朝鮮未來發展是不利的。其實如果從朝鮮今年做的一系列冒進活動來看，有可能招致他的不滿，有可能謀求試圖推翻金正恩的統治，用其他的溫和派或其他人取而代之，這種事十分有可能的。」
而韓國《先驅經濟報》引述朝鮮消息人士的話報導說，這次張成澤遭到肅清，和金正日長子金正男有關。金正恩政府上臺後，張成澤和金正恩之間，在經濟改革和對外政策上存在分歧。張成澤試圖讓金正男奪權，最近還派親信和金正男接觸，此事被金正恩發現後，才被整肅。
蔡建：「但是(金成澤)篡位之後或發動政變之後，由誰來擔任國家領導人？實際上從金正日去世前後，他在安排他的三代世襲的過程中間，展現了金正男跟金正恩之間的可能一種權力鬥爭。最後指定了金正恩。那麼金正男作為一個潛在的可能的選擇，可能也是有一些國家或勢力希望支持金正男來替代金正恩。」
韓國媒體報導，張成澤與金正男極親近。金正日和大他六歲，已經嫁人，並育有一子一女的成慧琳交往，產下金正男，引起了父親金日成的不滿。但是，張成澤一直積極擁護金正男，甚至提供金錢補助他在海外定居，保持著非常密切的關係。
另外，《朝鮮日報》分析，朝鮮勞動黨第一書記金正恩肅清張成澤，是為了收回他掌握的「權力」，以及「資金來源」。因為張成澤和他的親信，一直在管理金正日和金正恩父子的大部分海外秘密資金。
據了解，金正恩的海外秘密資金規模共達40億美元左右。而正式被暴露的只有2005年存在澳門匯業銀行的2500萬美元。2006年，聯合國安理會採取對朝鮮制裁措施以後，韓國和美國開始追查朝鮮金氏家族的秘密資金。結果，中國、俄羅斯、新加坡、瑞士、奧地利、盧森堡、列支敦士登等，全球數十個國家銀行裡的200多個匿名賬戶存有嫌疑。
韓國政府消息人士表示：「負責54局的張秀吉被處決，有可能和貪污金正恩的秘密資金有關。」就是說，張成澤及其親信有可能並沒有把賺來的外匯等資金，存入金正恩的秘密資金賬戶，或貪污了部分原有秘密資金，並且被發現。
採訪編輯/秦雪 後製/黎安安
Jang Song Thaek Executed For Coup Over Kim Jong-un
North Korea’s second most important person,
Jang Song Thaek has been executed.
Official verdict says he “attempted a coup".
Experts analyze that Jang was considered a reformist and
pro-China in the international world.
He recently expressed opposite opinions towards North
Korean nuclear weapon policy and had conflicts with the
military and leader Kim Jong-un.
There’s a rumor Jang Song Thaek helped Kim Jong-nam,
eldest son of former leader Kim Jong Il, to become leader,
which caused the fatal disaster.
A few days after Jang Song Thaek was sacked from work and
the party, his verdict and immediate execution was leaked.
North Korean official media says Jang was too powerful
and influential to North Korean politics, and called him
“less worthy than a dog" and “an usurper of the history".
The official verdict says Jang planned to usurp the highest
power of the party and country with the assistance and
strategies from the United States and South Korea.
The verdict says Jang had different opinion when former
leader Kim Jong Il was selecting the next leader.
Cai Jian, associate professor of North Korea research
center at Fudan University, believes a coup is the major
reason for Kim Jong-un to execute Jang so soon.
Cai Jian: “From the accusation, Jang wanted to do a coup
and seize the power, which is unacceptable in North Korea.
Thus, he was quickly arrested in high profile. The trial
opened, and he was soon executed.
(Kim Jong-un) is also reinforcing his regime,
or detering the potential opposition forces."
Meanwhile, Cai Jian believes that Jang very likely
planned a coup to turn over Kim Jong-un.
Cai Jian: “As Jang was considered a reformist or pro-China
in the international world, he was likely to oppose the hard
lines promoted by Kim Jong-un and North Korean military.
If North Korea follows those hardlines, it’s not good for their
development.
Actually, according to the aggressive activities North Korea
has done this year, Jang was possibly unsatisfied, and may
have attempted to turn over Kim Jong-un’s rule and to take
place with other people. It’s very likely."
The Korea Herald quotes a North Korean source that the
execution of Jang is related to the eldest son of Kim Jong II.
After Kim Jong-un stepped on stage, Jang and Kim Jong-un
had disagreements on economic and foreign policy reforms.
Jang tried to let Kim Jong-nam seize power,and recently
sent a trusted aide to get in touch with Kim Jong-nam.
He was arrested because Kim Jong-un found out about it.
Cai Jian: “Who’s going to be the leader if starting a coup?
In fact, after Kim Jong II passed away, it showed the power
struggle between Kim Jong-nam and Kim Jong-un.
Kim Jong-un was eventually assigned leadership.
Then, Kim Jong-nam, as a potential candidate, could possibly
then be supported by some countries or forces to take the
place of Kim Jong-un."
Korea media says Jang and Kim Jong-nam were very close.
Kim Jong-nam is son of Kim Jong II and Song Hye-rim, six
years older than Kim Jong II and had a son and a daughter
before with someone else.
Kim Jong II’s father Kim Il Sung was very unhappy with
their relationship.
But Jang had always actively supported Kim Jong-nam,
and even financially supported him for his living overseas,
keeping a very close relationship.
Korea media Chosun Ilbo analyzed Kim Jong-un executed
Jang to get his “power" and “financial resource" back.
Jang and his trusted aide managed most of the secret
overseas money belonging to Kim Jong II and Kim Jong-un.
Accordingly, Kim Jong-un’s overseas secret money has
reached around $4 billion.
According to formal reports, he had only $25 million
saved in Macau Bank in 2005.
In 2006, UN Security Council had sanctions against North
Korea, and Korea and the US started to investigate
the secret money of Kim’s family.
The result shows that more than 200 anonymous bank
account in dozens of countries in the world are suspected
to be owned by Kim’s family.
The countries include China, Russia, Singapore,
Switzerland, Austria, Luxembourg, and Liechtenstein.
Korea government source says: “Jang Su-gil in charge of the
54 bureau was executed.
He may be involved in laundering the secret money of
Kim Jong-un."
It means Jang and his trusted aide may not put the earned
money into Kim Jong-un’s secret bank accounts.
Or they were found to have corrupted part of the money
in the secret accounts.
Interview & Edit/QinXue Post-Production/LiAnan