【新唐人2013年09月04日訊】中國大陸這一段時間陸續爆出「石油幫」成員遭到調查的消息，引起外界廣泛關注。隨著中石油集團系統4名高管相繼被拘，最近，又傳出原中石油集團公司董事長、國資委主任蔣潔敏，因涉嫌嚴重違紀正在接受調查的消息。3號，中共中央組織部宣佈免去蔣潔敏國資委主任一職。分析認為，此番調查，矛頭不僅指向前中共常委周永康，還牽出了作為江系一派幕後總軍師的中共高層曾慶紅。
香港《明報》報導，蔣潔敏被視為「石油幫」的所謂新星之一，掌管的石油國企，市值高達人民幣數十億。而他的陞遷，主要靠中共前國家副主席曾慶紅和前政法委書記周永康的提攜。
報導指出，曾慶紅被視為前中共前黨魁江澤民親信，與周永康在「石油幫」都曾經工作超過30年，而曾慶紅是所謂「石油幫」幕後龍頭。
時事評論員夏小強：「港媒傳出的對曾慶紅不利的消息，我認為這不是現在中共高層立刻要動曾慶紅的信號，它僅僅是中共高層在全力處理周永康的時候，在向曾慶紅髮出警告和不要輕舉妄動的一種信號。」
據外界觀察和分析，曾慶紅是江澤民集團幕後的總軍師，他策劃了江派陣營的大部分重要政治行動。
2002年上半年，江澤民面臨在中共16大可能退位的危機，讓他非常不安。此外，政協主席李瑞環也是江的一塊心病。李瑞環不僅在哪裏都或明或暗地敲打江澤民，最讓江澤民擔憂的是，李瑞環沒有公開發表過迫害法輪功的言論，而江澤民是力主迫害法輪功的。
曾慶紅向江澤民獻策，謀劃了政治局委員「七上八下」的黨內潛規則，也就是政治局委員67歲還可以留任，到68歲就必須退休，迫使李瑞環下臺。在16大會議上，曾慶紅和應該退休的軍委副主席張萬年突然提出「特別動議」，讓江保留了中央軍委主席的職位繼續幕後掌權。
夏小強：「據媒體透露，在2006、07、09年至少有三次，曾慶紅策劃了對胡錦濤的暗殺。到2012年的薄王事件後，直到現在，江澤民陣營和胡錦濤、習近平陣營的搏擊空前的激烈，江派針對胡、習所有的動作，背後都有曾慶紅的影子。」
一年多來，香港青年關愛協會干擾法輪功學員講真相的事情不斷傳來，而曾慶紅是幕後的指使者。據了解，曾慶紅授意中共地下黨員—香港特首梁振英，暗中扶植青關會成員，不顧警方勸告，經常干擾法輪功學員的和平活動。
時事評論員邢天行：「（曾慶紅）他一向都是江澤民的軍師，很多時候在江澤民不出來，病重成植物人這一段期間，很多攪局的運作都是曾慶紅在統帥，江澤民幹的那些壞事，應該是每一件都有他的份。」
那麼，中共當局在拋出周永康的同時，是否也把曾慶紅作為「大老虎」來打呢？
夏小強：「從現在習近平所謂反腐的實際的運作來看，已經進行到了周永康。至於未來會不會動曾慶紅，可能會根據需要和局勢發展而定，至今外界還沒有看到針對曾慶紅的太多實際性的動作。」
此外，夏小強還指出，習近平陣營反腐打「大老虎」，除了為清算參與政變計劃的薄黨人員、穩固自己的權力等政治因素外，他認為，中共之所以拿「石油幫」開刀，還有一個重要的因素，是為了給中共國務院總理李克強的經濟改革開路。
夏小強：「因為目前可能造成中共政權崩潰的重要原因之一，就是中國的經濟問題。中國目前的經濟發展已經到了走不下去的地步。李克強的經濟改革要觸動的恰恰是周永康、曾慶紅、江澤民這些人的家族利益，因為他們這些家族掌控了中國的經濟命脈。」
時事評論員邢天行認為，曾慶紅跟江澤民和周永康之間，有密不可分割的政治權力和經濟利益上的瓜葛。根據目前的情況分析來看，夏小強猜測，曾慶紅已經出現危機。
採訪編輯/常春 後製/陳建銘
Chinese Regime “Petroleum Clique" Purged. Zeng Qinghong On Verge Of Fall
Recently, China has continuously seen news on
the investigation into members of the “petroleum
clique” of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
This has drawn public attention worldwide.
Four executives from the China National
Petroleum Corp (CNPC) have been detained.
Jiang Jiemin, former CNPC President, is reportedly
under investigative probes for serious disciplinary violation.
On September 3, the CCP central authorities announced
the removal of Jiang from his position as head of State-
Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission.
Commentators suggest the investigation is targeting former
Politburo Standing Committee member Zhou Yongkang.
Furthermore, this action has pulled out Zeng Qinghong,
the mastermind of the CCP faction headed by Jiang Zemin.
Hong Kong’s Ming Pao reported that Jiang Jiemin has
been called the new star of the CCP “petroleum clique”.
Jiang once controlled state-owned petroleum
businesses worth several Billion yuan.
Zeng Qinghuong and Zhou Yongkang played key
roles in the promotion of Jiang, says the news.
Ming Pao says Zhou Yongkang and Zeng Qinghong,
trusted follower of Jiang Zemin, had worked in
the petroleum industry for over 30 years.
Zeng was the real unseen head of the
“petroleum clique”, according to the report.
Xia Xiaoqiang, commentator: “Hong Kong’s
negative news about Zeng Qinghong doesn’t
signal that the CCP is moving against him.
It is only a warning against Zeng, as the CCP
is now in the process of taking down Zhou Yongkang.”
Observers think that Zeng is the mastermind
of the faction headed by Jiang Zemin.
For Jiang’s faction, Zeng has planned the most
important political actions over the past years.
In 2002, Jiang Zemin was facing supposed retirement
at the 16th Party Congress, this made him upset.
Meanwhile, Li Ruihuan, the then Chairman
of the National Political Consultative
Conference, was a strong opponent of Jiang.
Besides, Li Ruihuan has never openly supported
the CCP crackdown against Falun Gong.
This was a particular concern for Jiang Zemin,
who himself had launched the persecution.
Zeng Qinghong then proposed a new
hidden rule on the CCP Politburo personnel.
That is, Politburo members’ retirement age became
sixty eight, which forced Li Ruihuan to leave his post.
At the 16th Party congress, Zeng and Zhang Wannian,
then Vice Chairman of Central Military Commission
(CMC), unexpectedly made a “special motion”.
The proposal helped Jiang Zemin to
stay on in his post as CMC Chairman.
Xia Xiaoqiang: “Media has reported that
Zeng Qinghong had planned at least three
assassinations of Hu Jintao, between 2006-2009.
Ever since the political scandals of Bo Xilai and
Wang Lijun broke out in 2012, the battle between
Jiang Zemin’s faction and the faction under
Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping have been very fierce.
Zeng Qinghong has been deeply involved in all
actions staged by Jiang’s faction against Hu and Xi.”
For over a year in Hong Kong, the CCP-backed
Hong Kong Youth Care Association has sabotaged
Falun Gong practitioners’ exposing the truth of persecution.
Reportedly, Zeng Qinghong had instructed Leung Chun-ying,
underground CCP member and Hong Kong Chief Executive,
to secretly support the Youth Care Association’s vandalism.
Xing Tianxing, commentator: “Zeng has
long worked as Jiang’s mastermind.
During Jiang’s serious illness, Zeng was behind many
disruptive activities, and responsible for Jiang’s evildoings.”
Has the CCP considered Zeng Qinghong as
a “big tiger", when taking down Zhou Yongkang?
Xia Xiaoqiang: “Now Xi Jinpings’ anti-corruption
drive seems to be reaching Zhou Yongkang.
Will Zeng Qinghong be the next target?
This may depend on the CCP’s needs
and the development of the situation.
We have yet to see overt moves against Zeng.”
Xia Xiaoqiang further suggests that Xi combating
“big tigers” is aimed at purging Bo Xilai’s followers.
It is to cement Xi’s own status.
Besides, Xi axing the “petroleum clique” is paving a way
for CCP Premier Li Keqiang’s economic reform, he says.
Xia Xiaoqiang: “Currently, China’s economic problem
may become a crucial factor leading to the CCP’s collapse.
China’s economy is now at a dead end.
Li Keqiang’s economic reform precisely
affects the family benefits of Zhou Yongkang,
Zeng Qinghong and Jiang Zemin.
Their extended families now control
China’s crucial economic sources.”
Xing Tianxing says that Zeng Qinghong has inextricable
political and economic relationships with Jiang and Zhou.
Based on the current situation, Zeng Qinghong is
on the verge of a fall, according to Xia Xiaoqiang.