【新唐人2012年12月17日訊】日前，一年一度的中共「中央經濟工作會議」在北京京西賓館召開，中共當局總結了今年的經濟工作，並部署了2013年的經濟發展規劃。外界認為，這次會議傳遞了在此之前中共總書記習近平，在黨內提出的6條工作方向，成為新的經濟政策信號。一起來看看專家的分析。
「中央經濟工作會議」，是中共最高層級的經濟決策會議，出席者包括省市地方黨政官員、中共中央和國務院各部委負責人等。按照中共現有體制，中央政治局在每年年底的會議中，要提出下一年的年度經濟工作方向，這將成為新年度經濟政策的指導綱領。
今年的會議在12月15號召開，是17年來最晚舉行的一次。
香港《明報》透露，這次會議由副總理李克強主持，中共總書記習近平作主旨講話，總理溫家寶作今年總結及明年部署。
外界普遍認為，在面向中央部委負責人和地方諸侯的「中央經濟工作會議」上，習近平會正式而完整的展示他的施政理念。
而12月4號舉行的中共「中央政治局會議」上，習近平已經就經濟問題提出了6條工作方向，被媒體稱為「習六條」。「習六條」強調，要維持總體經濟政策的連續性和穩定性，以拚內需為主，推動農村「城鎮化」和擴大基礎建設，並提高民生保障，加強房地產市場調控。
原《21世紀經濟報導》駐北京財經記者穆文斌認為，當局透露出的這些所謂經濟措施和發展方向並沒有新意。
原《21世紀經濟報導》駐北京財經記者穆文斌：「這些東西也是老一套的，胡錦濤和溫家寶都在提，都是一樣。甚麼拉動內需，刺激經濟增長，重大科技課題，都是差不多。這都是一些怎麼說都沒有錯誤的話，所以我覺得他也沒甚麼新意。」
巧的是，就在中共「中央經濟工作會議」召開前一天，地產大亨「華遠地產」董事長任志強就炮轟當局。他在「2013網易經濟學家年會論壇上」，總結了過去10年北京的宏觀調控措施，而得出的結論是，每一次調控都是錯的，原因是中共的所謂「調控」，都是以短期行為作為目標，留下了後遺症。
美國「南卡羅萊納大學」艾肯商學院教授謝田：「房地產的現狀實際是中共特權的壟斷和操控造成的。出現今天的結果，實際上跟中共的財政政策，土地政策，片面追求GDP的政策，是連在一起的。」
今年的中國經濟增長逐季放緩，雖然官方預計全年可以完成7.5%以上的增長目標，但這是1999年以來的最低增速。
「興業銀行」首席經濟學家魯政委向《南方日報》表示，明年經濟目標定在7%最好，因為中國經濟最大的問題是結構調整問題，高增長並不能解決這一問題。
謝田：「恰恰是中共的存在，既得利益集團的利益同中國人民的利益對立，才導致了中國經濟目前的現狀，導致中國貧富差距如此之大。如果這個利益集團的政策還繼續的話，那中國人民永遠會受到中共的壓榨和掠奪。中共所希望的改變內需，改變中國社會經濟結構，這基本上都是空話。」
穆文斌則表示，中共在政治和人權方面一塌糊塗，已經激起了民眾的強烈不滿；同時，現在中國大陸的經濟形勢更是不容樂觀，如果接下來經濟出現衰退，可能成為中共倒臺的直接導火索。
採訪/常春 編輯/李明飛 後製/王明宇
The Guidelines Of The EconomicPolicies-“Xi Jinping’s Six Directions”
Recently, the annual Central Economic Work Conference
(CEWC) of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) was held at Jingxi Hotel in Beijing.
CCP authorities summarized this year’s economic work
and deployed the economic development plan for 2013.
Outsiders believe, this conference conveys that the six
working directions brought in before by Xi Jinping
will become the signal of the new economic policies.
Let’s take a look at the expert analysis.
CEWC is the economic policymaking conference at the
CCP’s highest level.
The attendees include the provincial and local party and
government officials, the leaders of the Central Committee and the State Council ministries and commissions.
According to the CCP’s existing system, during the conference
at the end of every year, the political bureau of the CCP
Central Committee will set the economic working directions
for the next 12 months.
These will become the guidelines of the
economic policies of the new year.
This year’s conference was convened on December 15th,
which is the latest convening date during the past 17 years.
Hongkong’s Mingbao News unveils that Vice Premier
Li Keqiang presided this conference.
Xi Jinping gave the keynote speech, and Premier Wen Jiabao
summarized the work of this year and deployed the work for next year.
Outsiders widely believe, at the CEWC meeting,
Xi Jinping formally and completely showed his policy ideas.
In the Politburo meeting held on December 4th, Xi already
proposed his six working directions to address the economic problems, which is called “Xi’s six directions” by the media.
“Xi’s six directions” emphasized to maintain the continuity
and stability of the overall economic policy, to fight domestic
demand as the main task,
to promote rural urbanization and infrastructure expansion,
to improve livelihood security, and to strengthen regulation of the real estate market.
Mu Wenbin, the former finance reporter in Beijing of
“21st Century Business Herald", thinks that there is
nothing new for those so-called economic measures
and development directions revealed by the authorities.
Mu Wenbin: “Those things are the same as the old ones that
both Hu jintao and Wei Jiabao mentioned before.
They are all the same. Things like promoting domestic
demand, stimulating economic growth, and working on major
scientific and technological projects, are almost the same.
Those words are no error no matter how they are said,
so I think he is not innovative, either.”
Coincidentally, on the day before the convening of the CCP
CEWC, Ren Zhiqiang, the real estate tycoon and chairman of Huayuan Real Estate, questioned authorities.
In the 2013 Netease economist annual meeting forum,
he summarized Beijing’s macro-control regulations in the past 10 years.
He concluded that every regulation was ere wrong.
The reason is that the so-called “regulations” by the CCP
all had short-term behaviors as targets and left sequel.
Xie Tian, the professor of Aiken Business School at
the University of South Carolina, US:
“The real estate of the status quo is actually caused by
the privileged monopoly and manipulation of the CCP.
Today’s results, in fact, are connected with the CCP’s
fiscal policy, land policy, and the policy of one-sided pursuit of GDP.”
This year China’s economic growth slowed down
quarter by quarter.
Although the official predicted that the annual growth target
of more than 7.5% could be achieved.
However, it is the lowest growth rate since 1999.
Industrial Bank’s chief economist Lu Zhengwei told
Nanfang Daily that it would be the best to set next year’s economic goal at 7%.
Because the biggest problem of China’s economy is the
structural adjustment problem.
The high growth can’t solve this problem.
Xie Tian: “It is the CCP’s presence and the antagonism
between the interests of the vested interest group and
the interests of the Chinese People that led to the current status
quo of China’s economy and such a large gap between the rich and the poor in China.
If the vested interest group’s policy continues, the Chinese
people will always be pressed and plundered by the CCP.
The changes that the CCP expected to the domestic demand
and the Chinese socio-economic structure are all empty talks.”
Mu Wenbin said, the CCPPC has made a mess in terms of
political and human rights.
It has aroused strong dissatisfaction of the people;
Meantime, the economic situation in mainland China
is not optimistic.
If the next economic recession comes,
it may become the direct fuse of the downfall of the CCP.