【新唐人2012年8月29日訊】受人矚目的「北戴河會議」結束之後，中共中央政治局常委、國務院總理溫家寶，以及廣東省委書記汪洋，就一直不停的忙碌著。8月24號，溫家寶又一次赴廣東考察指導工作。並強調，廣東迫切需要進一步深化改革開放。溫家寶和汪洋倡導的改革合拍，被外界稱為——老溫小汪「改革二人組」。

8月22號，溫家寶在主持國務院常務會議上表示，決定取消和調整314項部門行政審批項目，並批准廣東省試辦行政審批制度改革。

8月24號，廣東省委書記汪洋在《人民日報》發表長文，推廣廣東特色的發展之路。

24號至25號，溫家寶再一次赴廣東考察指導工作。據了解，這是繼2003年以來，溫家寶擔任總理後第16次赴廣東視察。

眾所周知，中國經濟正面臨著嚴重的危機。而溫家寶這次到廣東，調研的題目正是「穩定外需、加快外貿轉型升級」。

79年大陸「民主牆」創辦人之一蔡桂華分析指出，目前中國經濟處於四大危機的非常時期。

「民主牆」創辦人之一蔡桂華：「第一製造業危機，採購經理人指數百分之四十七點幾，低於百分之五十，第二個就是房地產泡沫的危機，房地產泡沫眼前看來，越來越明顯趨於一種崩潰的狀態，此外，地方債務危機，也趨於一種很嚴峻的狀態，最後一個危機，就是產能過剩。」

蔡桂華還進一步指出，在這樣一個嚴峻的背景下，溫家寶和汪洋想通過改革，挽救已經腐朽透頂的共產黨獨黨專制體制，其實是很難的，他認為，老溫小汪不是中共的救命「稻草」。

蔡桂華：「我可以感覺的出來，像現在想通過他們倆個那種體制改革，來挽救共產黨最終覆滅的命運，我想他是做不到的。我不看好溫家寶跟汪洋能夠挽救得了這麼一個即將被掃出歷史政治舞臺的這麼一個機器，挽救不了共產黨最終會被推翻，這麼一個命運。」

蔡桂華表示，中共現在面臨著前所未有的政治和經濟的雙重危機，這個獨裁體制行將就木，已經難以維繫下去了。

蔡桂華：「在這樣一個很嚴峻的，很糟糕的一個經濟形勢的狀態下面，又出現了中共黨內，很多這些派系的非常激烈的爭鬥，中共統治的危機很顯而易見的，可以看得出來，這麼一個腐敗墮落的一個社會制度的政治體制危機，可以說時間不會太長久。」

今年5月，廣東省委書記汪洋發表「破除人民幸福是黨恩賜」的言論，此後不久，又提出要在廣東試點推行「官員財產申報制度」，再次觸動中共政改的敏感地帶。但是，外界認為，在中共體制內叫政改，恐怕難有真正成效。

此外，《世界新聞網》報導指出，這事本是副總理王岐山分管，從這一點上來看，溫家寶這次到廣東，另有所圖。並分析說，溫家寶這次到廣東，主要是來跟省委書記汪洋合計，如何推動和加強行政審批制度的改革。這項改革，是中共「十八大」即將到來的時刻，溫家寶和汪洋重要的合作。

那麼，溫家寶為何與汪洋「把臂而行」呢？

報導進一步分析指出，除了經濟因素外，另外一點是，溫家寶就要告別現有的政治舞臺，人之將走，其言既悲且壯。朱鎔基當年要走時，唯一的希望是：以後大家「不會說他是一個貪官」。現在溫家寶要走，唯一的希望是留下一個改革形象。

而對於汪洋來說，分析認為，汪洋執政廣東期間憑藉「騰籠換鳥」、「幸福廣東」等舉措，為他自己已經漸漸樹立開明的改革派大員形象。

採訪編輯/常春 後製/薛莉

Wen and Wang’s Reforms—Last Straw in Saving CCP?

After the Chinese Communist Party(CCP)’s most attractive

Beidaihe Meeting, Premier Wen Jiaobao—also a member of

the CCP Politburo’s Standing Committee—and Wang Yang,

the CCP secretary of Guangdong Province, were kept busy.

On August 24, Wen Jiabao went to Guangdong Province

for investigations again, emphasizing that Guangdong needs reforming further.

Wen Jiabao and Wang Yang are advocating for the reform,

which the public is calling the “reform of two”.

On August 22, Wen Jiabao held an executive meeting of

the CCP State Council,

who decided to cancel and adjust 314 regulations

relating to administrative approval;

initiating Guangdong Province to test the

reformed approval system.

On August 24, Wang Yang, the CCP secretary of Guangdong,

published a long article in the CCP mouthpiece newspaper—

the People’s Daily, to promote the Guangdong-style

development path.

On August 24 and 25, Wen Jiabao made his 16th visit since

taking up his position as premier in 2003, to Guangdong, for investigations and guiding developments.

As many know, the Chinese economy is facing a serious crisis;

the subject of Wen Jiabao’s visit is “Stabilizing the external

demands, and accelerating the transforming and upgrading of the foreign trades.”

Cai Guihua, co-founder of China’s 『Democracy Wall』 in 1979

points out, it is now a critical time for the Chinese economy.

[Cai Guihua]: “First is China’s manufacturing crisis—

the purchasing managers index is a bit higher than 47%, but lower than 50%.

Second is the real estate market crisis—the market bubble is

clear; it’s ever more obvious that it’s on the brink of bursting;

the local debt crisis is also in a serious situation.

And the third crisis is over capacity.

Cai Guihua further points out that, in such a grim situation,

Wen Jiabao and Wang Yang’s wanting to save the extremely

corrupt communist dictatorship is very difficult;

Wen and Wang aren’t the CCP’s last straw in saving itself.

[Cai Guihua]: “I can feel that Wen and Wang want

to use reform to change the CCP’s fate—its inevitable fall—which is impossible.

I don’t think those two can save the CCP regime,

which will be swept out of history soon;

the final fate of the CCP’s overturn cannot be changed.”

Cai Guihua says the CCP is facing unprecedented due-crisis

which is political and economic.

The dictatorship is dying and the economy, hard to maintain.

[Cai Guihua]: “In such a grim and terrible economic situation

with the very fierce fighting among the different CCP factions,

the crisis of the CCP’s ruling is obvious. We can see that

the end of this corrupt, reprobate party is coming.”

In May, Wang Yang did a report themed: “Get rid of the idea

that the public’s happiness is given by the communist party”.

Soon afterwards, Wang launched a tested policy:

“Officials claim their assets”—also touching on the CCP’s sensitive areas—

but the public say, it is hard to gain any achievement

with political reform from within the CCP.

In addition, World Journal reported that, foreign trade is

charged by the vice premier, Wang Qishan.

From this point, it can be said that there were other reasons

for Wen Jiabao’s visit to Guangdong Province.

The report analyzes that, Wen Jiabao’s Guangdong trip

was mainly focused on the cooperation with Wang Yang for the reform of the political approval system.

This reform was an important cooperation link between

Wen Jiabao and Wang Yang before the 18th Nation Congress.

Then why did Wen choose to cooperate with Wang?

The World Journal report further analyzes that,

alongside the economic crisis,

Wen Jiabao is leaving the political arena—people

will say some sad but brave words before leaving.

When Zhu Rongji left his premier position, his wish was

for people not to say, “he was a corrupt official”.

Now Wen Jiabao will be leaving and he wishes

to give people an image of reform.

Analysts comment that, Wang Yang had created an

image of reform through his policies in Guangdong,

which included “Empty the cage for new birds”,

“Happy Guangdong”, etc.